RE: [ufodiscussion] Six Numbers In Search Of A Theory
- Isn't time a dimension too? I thought we live in four dimensions, 3 of space
and 1 of time. So right off the bat he is off... and I may be off here but
if I am thinking correctly as it is late, I read an article just recently
where a scientist in India had proved that Einstein's theory was only
correct when speaking in terms of nuclear particles and that matter can be
created. So that means ?=1 is not 1=1. And for that matter how do they
know that the excess matter in our universe isn't flowing out in some manner
to create other universes?
[mailto:firstname.lastname@example.org]On Behalf Of Light Eye
Sent: Saturday, September 30, 2006 11:19 AM
To: email@example.com; Global_Rumblings@...;
Subject: [ufodiscussion] Six Numbers In Search Of A Theory
Lee says that we need to think "outside" the box. Re-member this - when
you think outside the box, the box goes away...
Love and Light.
Six Numbers in Search of a Theory
By: MICHAEL SHERMER, The New York Sun
'); } //--> As the public spokesperson for the Skeptics Society and
Skeptic magazine, I participate in a series of collegiate debates around the
country with theologians and intelligent design advocates on the existence
(or lack thereof) of a deity or intelligent designer, which may or may not
be one and the same. In my opinion, the single best argument my debate
opponents have is the apparently fine-tuned characteristics of nature.
Indeed, they quote no less a personage than Sir Martin Rees, Britain's
Astronomer Royal, who argues
in his 2000 book, "Just Six Numbers," that "our emergence from a simple
Big Bang was sensitive to six 'cosmic numbers.'Had these numbers not been
'well tuned,'the gradual unfolding of layer upon layer of complexity would
have been quenched." These six numbers are:
? = 1, the amount of matter in the universe, such that if ?? were greater
than one, it would have collapsed long ago, and if ? ? were less than one,
no galaxies would have formed
e = .007, how firmly atomic nuclei bind together, such that if epsilon
were .006 or .008, matter could not exist as it does.
D = 3, the number of dimensions in which we live, such that if D were 2 or
4, life could not exist.
N = 1036 , the ratio of the strength of gravity to that of
electromagnetism, such that if it had just a few less zeros, the universe
would be too young and too small for life to evolve.
Q,= 1/100,000, the fabric of the universe, such that if Q were smaller,
the universe would be featureless, and if Q were larger, the universe would
be dominated by giant black holes.
l = 0.7, the cosmological constant, or "antigravity" force that is causing
the universe to expand at an accelerating rate, such that if lwere larger,
it would have prevented stars and galaxies from forming.
Change these relationships, and stars, planets, and life could not exist.
Thus, this is not just the best of all possible worlds, it is the only
One answer to this argument comes from string theory, which holds that the
fundamental constituents of matter are vibrating strings of extremely small
scale, perhaps even at the unimaginably small Planck length, or 10-35
meters. According to one model of string theory, there could be 10500
possible universes, all with different self-consistent laws and constants.
That's a 1 followed by 500 zeroes possible universes (12 zeroes is a
trillion!). Also, through string theory there may be an underlying principle
behind all the fine-tune equations and relationships that will be
forthcoming when the grand unified theory of physics is discovered. In a
unified theory there will not be six mysterious numbers, there will just be
For many years now I have invoked string theory as my authority from
whence this unification may come. I may now have to look for another source.
According to two new books, there is much to be skeptical about in string
In Not Even Wrong (Basic Books, 291 pages, $26.95), the Columbia
University mathematician Peter Woit invokes Wolfgang Pauli's famous critique
of a paper: "This isn't right. It's not even wrong." String theory, Woit
argues, is not only based on nontestable hypotheses, it depends far too much
on the aesthetic nature of its mathematics and the eminence of its
proponents. In science, if an idea is not falsifiable, it is not that it is
wrong; it is that we cannot determine if it is wrong, and thus it is not
even wrong. In an engaging, albeit challenging, narrative, Woit recounts the
history of string theory, concluding: "Since 1973, the field has failed to
make significant progress, and in many ways has been the victim of its own
Woit is not alone. No less a physics god than the late Cal Tech Nobel
physicist Richard Feynman cautioned, "Now I know that other old men have
been very foolish to say this is nonsense. I am going to be very foolish,
because I do feel strongly that this is nonsense! I can't help it, even
though I know the danger in such a point of view. So perhaps I could
entertain future historians by saying I think all this superstring stuff is
crazy and is in the wrong direction." More succinctly, Feynman quipped:
"String theorists don't make predictions, they make excuses." What did he
mean by this stinging rebuke?
I don't like that they're not calculating anything. I don't like that they
don't check their ideas. I don't like that for anything that disagrees with
an experiment, they cook up an explanation - a fix-up to say, 'Well, it
still might be true.'For example, the theory requires ten dimensions. Well,
maybe there's a way of wrapping up six of the dimensions. Yes, that's
possible mathematically, but why not seven? When they write their equation,
the equation should decide how many of these things get wrapped up, not the
desire to agree with experiment. In other words, there's no reason
whatsoever in superstring theory that it isn't eight of the 10 dimensions
that get wrapped up and that the result is only two dimensions, which would
be completely in disagreement with experience. So the fact that it might
disagree with experience is very tenuous, it doesn't produce anything; it
has to be excused most of the time. It doesn't look right.
That was in 1987. According to Woit, not much has changed since. Echoing
Feynman, Woit concludes: "The fundamental reason that superstring theory
makes no predictions is that it isn't really a theory, but rather a set of
reasons for hoping that a theory exists."
If anyone would be sympathetic to the struggles of bringing to fruition a
revolutionary idea like string theory it would be Lee Smolin, the Yale
University and Pennsylvania State University physicist who went on to
co-found the innovative Perimeter Institute of Theoretical Physics, located
in Quebec and "dedicated to extending theories of space, time and matter."
In The Trouble with Physics (Houghton Mifflin, 392 pages, $26), Smolin
argues that string theory has unjustly used up a disproportionate amount of
time, resources, money, and young physicists, which, at this point, could be
put to better use on other topics that have a better chance of bearing
experimental fruit. "String theory now has such a dominant position in the
academy that it is practically career suicide for young theoretical
physicists not to join the field."
The failure of string theory "is not so much a particular theory but a
style of doing science that was well suited to the problems we faced in the
middle part of the 20th century but is ill suited to the kinds of
fundamental problems we face now." According to Smolin, there are five such
fundamental problems for which we need a new style of science to solve:
1. Combine general relativity and quantum theory into a single theory that
can claim to be the complete theory of nature. This is called the problem of
2. Resolve the problems in the foundations of quantum mechanics, either by
making sense of the theory as it stands or by inventing a new theory that
does make sense.
3. Determine whether or not the various particles and forces can be
unified in a theory that explains them all as manifestations of a single,
4. Explain how the values of the free constants in the standard model of
particle physics are chosen in nature.
5. Explain dark matter and dark energy. Or, if they don't exist, determine
how and why gravity is modified on large scales.
"These five problems represent the boundaries to present knowledge. They
are what keep theoretical physicists up at night. ... Any theory that claims
to be a fundamental theory of nature must answer each one of them." String
theory, says Smolin, has failed to do so.
Yet, for Smolin, the deeper problem is not string theory per se; it is in
the social structure of science itself. In a penultimate chapter on "how
science really works," Mr. Smolin sings the praises of thinking outside of
the box, including and especially the staid and delimiting box of academia.
The system is set up to create scientists who are risk-averse, and granting
tenure doesn't help: "Too much job security, too much power, and too little
accountability for older people. Too little job security, too little power,
and too much accountability for younger people in the prime of their
creative, risk-taking years."
Smolin concludes that we must do two things: "We must recognize and fight
the symptoms of groupthink, and we must open the doors to a wide range of
independent thinkers, being sure to make room for the peculiar characters
needed to make a revolution." How can you spot one of these young
revolutionaries? Easy. Find someone already doing science this way, or "find
at least one accomplished person in the candidate's field who is deeply
excited about what the candidate is trying to do," and, just to be sure,
"find at least one professor who thinks the candidate is a terrible
scientist and bound to fail."
This brings to mind the first of Arthur C. Clarke's famous three laws:
"When a distinguished but elderly scientist states that something is
possible, he is almost certainly right. When he states that something is
impossible, he is very probably wrong."
But is he not even wrong?
Michael Shermer is the publisher of Skeptic magazine (www.skeptic.com) and
a monthly columnist for Scientific American. His latest book is Why Darwin
Matters, available from Times Books.
The New York Sun
©The Evening Bulletin 2006
[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]