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Ex-TD BAVI (BETTY) Final Update

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  • Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)
    *for Wednesday, 18 March 2015 [8:22 PM PhT]*
    Message 1 of 1 , Mar 18, 2015


      for Wednesday, 18 March 2015 [8:22 PM PhT]

      WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

      TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (LPA) {Formerly TD BAVI/BETTY} UPDATE NUMBER 005 [FINAL]
      Issued at: 6:30 PM PhT (10:30 GMT) Wednesday 18 March 2015

      BAVI (BETTY) has dissipated into a Tropical Disturbance (aka. Low Pressure Area) as it moves slightly west-northwestward across the not-so-warm Philippine Sea. Its remnants will reach Bicol and Quezon Provinces this weekend and bring slight to moderate rain showers to the area.

      *Unless regeneration occurs, this will be the last update on Bavi (Betty).

      Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


      CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

      Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.


      None.


      CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

      As of 5:00 PM PhT today, Mar 18...0900 GMT.

      Classification/Name: LPA...Ex-TD Bavi (Betty)
      Location: Over the central part of the Philippine Sea (near 16.0N 131.2E)
      About: 790 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes...or 970 km east of Casiguran, Aurora
      Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 35 kph near the center...Gustiness: 55 kph
      24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and north of the center): 5 to 30 mm [Slight to Moderate]
      Minimum Central Pressure: 1004 millibars (hPa)
      Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 150 km (Midget)
      Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
      Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 18 kph
      Forecast Movement: West to West-Southwest @ 10 kph
      Towards: Central Philippine Sea


      2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

      The Low Pressure Area (LPA) [formerly TD Bavi (Betty)] is expected to move generally west to west-southwest throughout the forecast outlook. On the forecast track, this LPA will be tracking across the Central and Western parts of the Philippine Sea on Thursday through Friday (Mar 19-20).

      The LPA will continue to dissipate within the next 12 to 24 hours. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 20 kph on Friday afternoon.

      The following is the 2-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

      THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Continues to decay over the Central Philippine Sea as it tracks due westward...about 565 km northeast of Virac, Catanduanes [2PM MAR 19: 15.7N 129.1E @ 30kph].
      FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Decaying further into a shallow low pressure area as it turns west-southwestward across the western part of the Philippine Sea...about 210 km north-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes [2PM MAR 20: 15.1N 125.5E @ 20kph].

      *Current WPF Forecast Confidence Level: HIGH.

      Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

      Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


      ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

      Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Wed Mar 18, 2015
      Location of Center: Near 16.0º N Lat 131.2º E Lon
      Distance 1: 865 km ENE of Legazpi City
      Distance 2: 900 km ENE of Metro Naga
      Distance 3: 915 km ENE of Daet, CamNorte
      Distance 4: 1025 km ENE of Infanta, Quezon
      Distance 5: 1025 km ENE of Baler, Aurora

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      CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

      https://ec.yimg.com/ec?url=http%3A%2F%2Fweather.com.ph%2Fimages%2F20150318104648.gif&t=1512962195&sig=2b05FoSjpvhCBVh7vYs_oQ--~D

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      CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

      https://ec.yimg.com/ec?url=http%3A%2F%2Fweather.com.ph%2Fimages%2F20150318104909.GIF&t=1512962195&sig=qzB9ZWYfp_rhqS_IIAsn_A--~D

      __________________________________________________________________________________________________

      CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE
      :


      https://ec.yimg.com/ec?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ssd.noaa.gov%2FPS%2FTROP%2Ffloaters%2F03W%2Fimagery%2Frbtop0-lalo.gif&t=1512962195&sig=MyQRHbPBb8rnEnYcZp3r2w--~D


      __________________________________________________________________________________________________


      NOTE:

      >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

         
      http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
         
      http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      For the complete details on Ex-TD BAVI (BETTY)...go visit our website @:

      >
      http://www.typhoon2000.com
      http://www.maybagyo.com

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