TD PEIPAH (DOMENG) Update #020
for Thursday, 10 April 2014 [8:05 AM PhT]TROPICAL DEPRESSION PEIPAH (DOMENG) UPDATE NUMBER 020
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
Issued at: 6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Thursday 10 April 2014
Next Update: 6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Thursday 10 April 2014
Tropical Depression PEIPAH (DOMENG) has weakened slightly while remaining quasi-stationary over the South Philippine Sea during the past 12 hours...continues to be a disorganized system over unfavorable atmospheric conditions. Still, after 2 to 3 days - PEIPAH is forecast to head towards Eastern Visayas and dissipate over Eastern Samar.
Residents and visitors along Eastern Visayas and Bicol Region should closely monitor the development of TD Peipah (Domeng).
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CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines with possible or ongoing effects caused by the current tropical cyclone.
EASTERN VISAYAS including DINAGAT & SIARGAO ISLANDS / SOUTHERN BICOL: Moderate to Heavy rains of 30 to 50 mm are likely to occur beginning Friday morning until Monday morning. Residents in these areas are advised to be always on alert and closely monitor the weather situation for possible changes in its forecast.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 AM PhT today...2100 GMT.
Location: Over the northern part of the South Philippine Sea (near 8.4N 130.5E)
About: 465 km east of Bislig City, Surigao Del Sur...or 600 km southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 45 kph near the center...Gustiness: 65 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and west of the center): 2 to 400 mm [Slight to Extreme]
Size (in diameter): 500 km (Small)
Past Movement: East @ 02 kph (Quasi-Stationary)
Forecast Movement: North-Northwest to Northwest at 05 kph
Towards: Eastern Samar
3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
Peipah (Domeng) is expected to resume moving north-northwest to northwest within the next 12 to 24 hours...and shall turn west-northwestward throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the core of TD Peipah will move across the southern edge of the East Philippine Sea on early Saturday morning until Sunday morning.
Peipah (Domeng) is expected to maintain its strength within the next 12 hours...and shall strength during the next 48 hours. By 72 hours, the depression may dissipate into an area of low pressure due to land interaction. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to just 35 kph by early Sunday morning.
The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:
FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Gain a little of strength as it moves NNW to NW across the northern edge of the South Philippine Sea...about 400 km ESE of Siargao Island [2AM APR 11: 9.4N 129.7E @ 55kph].
SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Maintains its strength while moving NW to WNW across the southern part of the East Philippine Sea...about 220 km East of Guiuan, Eastern Samar [2AM APR 12: 11.0N 127.7E @ 55kph].
SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Makes landfall over Eastern Samar...dissipates into an area of low pressure...about 75 km SE of Catarman, Northern Samar [2AM APR 13: 12.2N 125.2E @ 35kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
ADDITIONAL DISTANCES & TECHNICAL INFO
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Thu Apr 10, 2014
Class/Name: TD Peipah (Domeng)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Location of Center: Near 8.4º N Lat 130.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 445 km ENE of Cateel, Davao Oriental
Distance 2: 465 km E of Bislig City
Distance 3: 510 km ESE of Siargao Island
Distance 4: 570 km ESE of Surigao City
Distance 5: 600 km SE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
T2K/WP StormTrack (for Public): GIF__________________________________________________________________________________________________
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
_____________________________________________________________________________CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
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