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TD OMAIS (AGATON) - Update #013

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  • Typhoon2000.ph (Michael V. Padua)
    ... for Friday, 26 March 2010 [1:30 PM PhT] ... Get the latest 6-Hrly SMS Storm Alerts on AGATON! For more details: Text T2K
    Message 1 of 1 , Mar 25, 2010
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      for Friday, 26 March 2010 [1:30 PM PhT]

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      Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Fri March 26 2010):

      Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12 AM PhT) on TD OMAIS (AGATON).


      OMAIS (AGATON) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

      + USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
      + Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
      + Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
      + Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
      + Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
      + Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
      + Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 kph

      TROPICAL DEPRESSION OMAIS [AGATON/02W/1001]
      T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 015

      12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Fri 26 March 2010
      Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #018
      View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)

      Tropical Depression OMAIS (AGATON) struggling over the Northern Philippine Sea...likely to dissipate by tomorrow.

      *Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.


      Current Storm Information

      Time/Date: 12:00 PM PhT Fri Mar 26 2010
      Location of Center: 18.3º N Lat 131.6º E Lon
      Distance 1: 970 km (525 nm) NE of Gota, Caramoan
      Distance 2: 1,035 km (560 nm) ENE of Casiguran, Aurora
      Distance 3: 1,040 km (562 nm) NE of Metro Naga/CWC
      Distance 4: 1,045 km (565 nm) East of Aparri, Cagayan
      Distance 5: 1,200 km (648 nm) ENE of Metro Manila
      MaxWinds (1-min avg):
      55 kph (30 kts) near the center
      Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
      6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 220 mm [Heavy]
      Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
      Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TD
      Present Movement: NNE @ 20 kph (11 kts)
      Towards: Central Philippine Sea
      Size (in Diameter): 295 km (160 nm) / Small
      Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 ft (3.6 m)
      Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]

      T2K TrackMap #007 (for Public): 12 PM PhT Fri Mar 26

      + Forecast Outlook: OMAIS (AGATON) is expected to weaken w/in the next 12 hours and will completely dissipate by tomorrow morning, with its remnants being absorbed into the approaching Cold Front and the NE Monsoon [8AM MAR 27: 18.5N 131.9E...1,060 km ESE of Basco, Batanes]. Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.

      + Effects & Hazards: OMAIS' decaying rainbands remain over the sea...no effects & hazards are in place. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 100 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the its rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 220 mm (heavy rain) situated along the northeastern periphery of OMAIS' (AGATON) center. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount.

      + Current NE Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE
      >> Partly Sunny to mostly cloudy skies with occasional drizzles-showers-rains can be expected along the following affected areas: BATANES GROUP, CAGAYAN, ISABELA, AURORA, QUEZON, BICOL REGION & NORTHERN SAMAR. Light to moderate NE winds (not in excess of 40 kph) can be expected along these areas. Large ocean waves of up to 8 to 10 feet along the beach-front areas of the affected areas are likely to occur beginning today until Monday.

      [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
      External Links for TD OMAIS (AGATON)

      View NOAA-CIRA's
      Latest Wind Analysis

      JTWC Latest Tracking Chart:
      wp0210.gif
      Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Fri Mar 26
      TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 24 hrs Ahead
      Zoomed Satellite Pic:
      NOAA's Near Real-Time
      Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop



      JTWC (US NAVY / AIR FORCE) 12 & 24 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:

      8 PM (12 GMT) 26 MARCH: 18.1N 131.7E / 45-65 KPH (TD) / NNE @ 04 KPH 
      8 AM (00 GMT) 27 MARCH: 18.5N 131.9E / 35-55 KPH (LPA)

      REMARKS (for Meteorologists): 8 AM (00 GMT) FRI 26 MARCH POSITION: 17.5N 131.5E.

      *OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, TD 02W HAS WEAKENED UNDER INCREASED VERTICAL
      WIND SHEAR AND HAS DRIFTED NORTH TOWARDS THE APPROACHING BAROCLINIC
      ZONE EVIDENT IN ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY. WHILE THE LOW LEVEL
      CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WAS SHEARED FROM MAIN CONVECTION AT THE
      BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD, THE SYSTEM HAS RE-DEVELOPED CENTRAL
      CONVECTION OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS, POSSIBLY DUE TO AN ENHANCED
      THERMAL GRADIENT CAUSED BY THE GRADUAL ENTRAINMENT OF COOLER AIR FRO
      THE NORTHWEST. HOWEVER, THE DEEP CONVECTION IS STILL STREAMING OFF
      TO THE NORTHEAST DUE TO GREATER THAN 30 KNOTS OF VERTICAL WIND
      SHEAR, LEAVING THE LLCC PARTIALLY EXPOSED. THE CURRENT POSITION IS
      BASED ON A 252326Z TRMM MICROWAVE IMAGE AND THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS
      BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW, RJTD, AND KNES RANGING FROM 30
      TO 35 KNOTS...
      (
      more)

      >> color=#000080>OMAIS, meaning: Palauan word for "wandering around"Name contributed by: United States of America.
      _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

      PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
       
      > 10 AM (02 GMT) FRI 26 MARCH: 17.7N 132.2E / NNE @ 11 kph / 65 kph

      :: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 
         
      http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml   
      _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


      RECENT TYPHOON2000.COM TRACKING CHART
      :

      _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

       
      RECENT MTSAT-1R "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE:


      > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
      ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

      RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION


      > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
      ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
      LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP) 



      > Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
      ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
      NOTE:
       
        * - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

         
      http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
         
      http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
          http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
          http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      For the complete details on TD OMAIS (AGATON)...go visit our website @:

      >
      color=#800080>http://www.typhoon2000.com
      http://www.maybagyo.com

      :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
         
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