TYPHOON NIDA (CARINA) UPDATE NUMBER 012 Issued at: 7:00 PMPhT(11:00 GMT) Monday 01 August 2016 Next Update: Tuesday Morning, 02 August2016
NIDA (CARINA) has strengthened into a Typhoon while traversing the warm waters of Northern South China Sea.
This cyclone will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) that will bring on and off, light to moderate to at times heavy rains over the western sections of Southern Luzon andVisayasespecially along the western coastal areas for the next 24 hours.
Where is NIDA (Carina)?
As of 5:00 PMPhTtoday, Aug 01...0900 GMT. The center was locatedover the northern part of the South China Sea (near 21.6N 117.0E), about 520 km northwest ofPagudpud, Ilocos Norte or 311 km east-southeast of Hong Kong, China.
How strong is it?
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-minavg):120kphnear the center...Gustiness:150kph
Where is it heading?
West-northwest @ 25kph,towards Southeastern China
What areas will be mostly affected?
Hong Kong and the rest of the central-southern part ofGuandongProvince, China –beginning tonight Monday (Aug 01).
Storm Surge Info
2-Day Forecast Outlook
TY NIDA (CARINA) is expected to change its course towards the west-northwest and shall continue to move in this direction throughout the outlook period.On the forecast track, NIDA (CARINA) shallmake landfall over the central shores ofGuandongProvince early Tuesday morning(Aug 02),and shall move further inland acrossGuandongand Guangxi Provinces through Wednesday (Aug 03).
TY NIDA (CARINA) shall weaken significantly as it moves over the landmass of Southeastern China.
2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary*
TUESDAY AFTERNOON:Weakens into a Tropical Storm as it traversesGuandongProvince…about 225 km west-northwest of Hong Kong, China[2PM AUG 02: 23.2N 112.1E @ 95kph].Confidence Level:HIGH.
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON:Dissipates over Guangxi Province…just an area of low pressure…about 423 km north-northeast of Hanoi, Vietnam[2PM AUG 03: 24.6N 107.3 @ 35kph].Confidence Level:MEDIUM.
*Important Note: Please be reminded that theForecast Outlookchanges every 6 hours, and theDay 2 and 3 Forecast Trackhas anaverage error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while thewind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/hrper day. Therefore,a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Other Storm Info
- 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center):25 to 225 mm [Moderate to Heavy]
-Minimum Central Pressure:972millibars(hPa)
- Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]:715 km (Medium)
- Area of Damaging Winds (100kphor more wind gusts):130 km from the center.
Time/Date:5:00 PMPhTMon Aug 01, 2016 Location of Center:Near 21.6°NLat117.0°E Lon Distance 1:363 km E ofMacau, China Distance 2:570 km NW ofViganCity, Ilocos Sur Distance 3:535 km WNW ofBasco, Batanes Distance 4:532 km NW ofLaoagCity, Ilocos Norte Distance 5:883 km NNW of Metro Manila