2002TD PEIPAH (DOMENG) Update #019
- Apr 9, 2014
for Wednesday, 09 April 2014 [1:46 PM PhT]TROPICAL DEPRESSION PEIPAH (DOMENG) UPDATE NUMBER 019
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
Issued at: 6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Wednesday 09 April 2014
Next Update: 6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Thursday 10 April 2014
Tropical Depression PEIPAH (DOMENG) not looking healthy as it moves very slowly across the South Philippine Sea...remains a threat to Eastern Visayas.
Residents and visitors along Northeastern Mindanao, Visayas and Bicol Region should closely monitor the development of TD Peipah (Domeng).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines with possible or ongoing effects caused by the current tropical cyclone.
EASTERN & CENTRAL VISAYAS including SURIGAO PROVINCES, DINAGAT & SIARGAO ISLANDS: Moderate to Heavy rains of 30 to 50 mm are likely to occur beginning Friday morning until Monday morning. Residents in these areas are advised to be always on alert and closely monitor the weather situation for possible changes in its forecast.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 PM PhT today...0900 GMT.
Location: Over the northern part of the South Philippine Sea (near 8.6N 130.1E)
About: 410 km east-northeast of Cateel, Davao Oriental...or 550 km southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 55 kph near the center...Gustiness: 75 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and west of the center): 2 to 480 mm [Slight to Extreme]
Size (in diameter): 610 km (Small)
Past Movement: North-Northwest @ 05 kph
Forecast Movement: North-Northwest at 05 kph
Towards: Eastern Visayas
3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
Peipah (Domeng) is expected to continue moving very slowly, north-northwestward within the next 12 hours...and shall turn northwestward throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the core of TD Peipah will move across the southern edge of the East Philippine Sea on Friday and Saturday.
Peipah (Domeng) is expected to maintain its strength within the next 48 hours...and shall start to weaken through 72 hours. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to just 45 kph on Saturday afternoon.
The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:
THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Maintains its strength as it moves across the northern edge of the South Philippine Sea...about 395 km ESE of Siargao Island [2PM APR 10: 9.5N 129.7E @ 55kph].
FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Moving across the southern part of the East Philippine Sea...about 300 km ESE of Siargao Island [2PM APR 11: 10.5N 128.4E @ 55kph].
SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens further as it approaches the coast of Eastern Samar...about 185 km ESE of Borongan City, Eastern Samar [2PM APR 12: 11.4N 127.1E @ 45kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
ADDITIONAL DISTANCES & TECHNICAL INFO
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Wed Apr 09, 2014
Class/Name: TD Peipah (Domeng)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Location of Center: Near 8.6º N Lat 130.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 410 km ENE of Cateel, Davao Oriental
Distance 2: 420 km ENE of Bislig City
Distance 3: 475 km ESE of Siargao Island
Distance 4: 520 km ESE of Surigao City
Distance 5: 550 km SE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
T2K/WP StormTrack (for Public): GIF__________________________________________________________________________________________________
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
_____________________________________________________________________________CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
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