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Typhoon FENGSHEN (FRANK) now over South China Sea [Update #008]

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  • Typhoon2000.com (Michael Padua)
    ... Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #007 Name: TYPHOON FENGSHEN [FRANK/07W/0806] Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) MON 23 JUNE 2008 Source: JTWC TROPICAL
    Message 1 of 1 , Jun 22, 2008

      Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #007
      Name: TYPHOON FENGSHEN [FRANK/07W/0806] 
      Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) MON 23 JUNE 2008
      Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #018
      Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
      _____________________________________________________________________________
       
       
      TYPHOON FENGSHEN (FRANK) CONTINUES TO TRY REORGANIZING OVER THE SOUTH
      CHINA SEA, DESPITE UNFAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL WINDS (VERTICAL WIND SHEAR)
      OVER THE AREA. THE CENTER IS NOW MOVING AWAY FROM WESTERN LUZON...MAY
      THREATEN SOUTHERN CHINA OR NORTHWESTERN TAIWAN.

      Click
      HERE to view zoom past track map on where the typhoon passed over
      Luzon!

      **Based on actual observation, calm conditions have been observed in Quezon City and
      nearby areas of Metro Manila around 6:00-8:00 AM yesterday morning. Latest official
      satellite fix confirms that around 7:30 AM (23:30 GMT) June 22 - the cloud-filled EYE
      passed over Quezon City.

      + FORECAST OUTLOOK: FENGSHEN is expected to remain a weak Typhoon as it
      moves NW'ly across the South China Sea within the next 24 hours. The
      2 to 5-day long-range forecast shows the system recurving towards the
      NE, and shall pass over Taiwan Strait on Wednesday morning, June 25.
      It shall then weaken into a Tropical Storm as it enters the cooler sea
      surface temperatures of the East China Sea and begin Extratropical
      transition on Thursday, June 26. On Saturday, June 28, FENGSHEN shall
      make landfall over Honshu, Japan as an Extratropical Cyclone.

      + EFFECTS: FENGSHEN's main circulation has returned back to sea and is
      now reorganizing over the South China Sea, with only its Eastern Outer
      (Rain) Bands spreading across Western Luzon. Passing moderate to heavy
      rains with winds not exceeding 40 km/hr can be expected within the
      outer bands today. Residents in low-lying areas must seek higher
      grounds for possible flooding & landslides due to the anticipated heavy
      rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must remain
      implemented today. Far-fetched storm surge is possible along coastal
      areas of Western Luzon with surf reaching 2-4 feet at most.

      + CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: The Southwest (SW) Monsoon continues to be
      enhanced by FENSGHEN, affecting Western & Southern Luzon, Mindoro, Bicol
      Region, Palawan & Western Visayas. Cloudy skies with light to moderate
      passing rains & SW'ly winds not exceeding 40 km/hr may be expected.
      Landslides, mudflows (lahars) and flooding is likely to occur along
      steep mountain/volcano slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone
      areas of the affected areas. Meanwhile, big sea waves or surges gene-
      rated by this monsoon can affect the coastal and beach-front areas of
      the abovementioned areas. Strong ITCZ (aka. Monsoon Trough) affecting
      the whole Philippines - may continue to bring scattered rains and
      chances of scattered thunderstorms - most especially in the afternoon
      or evening
      .

      Important Note:
       Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
      effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
      every 06 to 12 hours!
      _____________________________________________________________________________
      _____________________________________________________________________________

      TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 23 JUNE
      LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 16.9º N...LONGITUDE 118.1º E {Sat Fix}
      DISTANCE 1: 235 KM (127
      NM) WNW OF SAN FERNANDO, LA UNION, PH 
      DISTANCE 2: 255 KM (138 NM) WSW OF VIGAN CITY, PH 
      DISTANCE 3: 255 KM (138 NM) NW OF DAGUPAN CITY, PH
      DISTANCE 4: 300 KM (162 NM) SW OF LAOAG CITY, PH  
      DISTANCE 5: 270 KM (145 NM) NW OF IBA, ZAMBALES, PH    
      DISTANCE 6: 725 KM (390 NM) SE OF HONG KONG, CHINA    
      DISTANCE 7: 410 KM (222 NM) NW OF MANILA, PH    
      MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
      PEAK WIND GUSTS: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
      SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1) 
      MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 974 MILLIBARS (hPa)
      RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 22 KM/HR (12 KTS)
      GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTH CHINA SEA
      STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 445 KM (240 NM)/AVERAGE
      MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 14 FEET (4.2 METERS)
      VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM MANILA TIME MON JUNE 23
      TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD  

      PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
      #02 - NORTHERN ZAMBALES, WESTERN PANGASINAN, & LA UNION.
      #01 - ILOCOS SUR, ILOCOS NORTE, ABRA, BENGUET, REST OF PANGASINAN, 
            REST OF ZAMBALES, & TARLAC
      .

      12, 24, 48, 72 HR. FORECAST:
      2 PM (06 GMT) 23 JUNE: 18.8N 117.5E / 120-150 KPH / N @ 15 KPH
      2 AM (18 GMT) 24 JUNE: 20.4N 117.3E / 120-150 KPH / NNE @ 13 KPH
      2 AM (18 GMT) 25 JUNE: 23.2N 119.0E / 120-150 KPH / NE @ 19 KPH
      2 AM (18 GMT) 26 JUNE: 26.3N 122.0E / 100-130 KPH / NE @ 19 KPH

      REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 23 JUNE POSITION: 17.1N 118.5E.
      ^TYPHOON (TY) O7W HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY FAIRLY WELL OVER THE PAST
      12 HOURS AS IT TRACKED OVER WESTERN LUZON. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE
      IMAGERY DEPICTS DECREASING CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AND A LARGE BURST
      OF DEEP CONVECTION SHEARING WESTWARD. HOWEVER, RECENT MICROWAVE
      IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER WITH WELL-
      DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IN
      THE VICINITY OF THE STORM INDICATED MAXIMUM WINDS LESS THAN 20 KNOTS
      AND MINIMUM SLP NEAR 994 MB.
      ..
      (more).

      >> color=#000080>FENGSHEN {pronounced: feng~shen}, meaning: God of Wind
         
      Name contributed by: China.

      _____________________________________________________________________________

      PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
       
      > 4 AM (20 GMT) 23 JUNE: 16.4N 118.4E / WNW @ 17 KPH / 120 kph

      :: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 
         
      http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
      _____________________________________________________________________________


      RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM T2K TRACKING CHART:


      _______________________________________________________________________________________

       
      RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


      > Image source:  NOAA Satellite and Information Service (http://www.goes.noaa.gov/)
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      NOTES:
       
        ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
            latest warning.
       
        * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
            # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these 
            signals, visit:
      http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

       ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
            its center.

      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      >>
      To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
         used on this update visit the ff:

          http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
          http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
          http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

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      For the complete details on TY FENGSHEN (FRANK)...go visit
      our website @:

      >
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