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Typhoon NEOGURI (AMBO) to make landfall over Western Guangdong this PM... [Update #007]

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  • Typhoon2000.com (Michael Padua)
    ... Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #008 Name: TYPHOON NEOGURI [AMBO/02W/0801] Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) SAT 19 APRIL 2008 Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE
    Message 1 of 1 , Apr 18, 2008

      Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #008
      Name: TYPHOON NEOGURI [AMBO/02W/0801] 
      Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) SAT 19 APRIL 2008
      Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 020
      Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
      _____________________________________________________________________________
       
       
      TYPHOON NEOGURI (AMBO) WEAKENS TO CATEGORY ONE AS IT APPROACHES THE
      SHORELINE OF WESTERN GUANGDONG...THREATENS HONG KONG AND MACAU.
      HONG KONG UNDER STRONG WIND SIGNAL NUMBER THREE.

      + FORECAST OUTLOOK: NEOGURI is expected to continue moving NE'ly,
      weakening further into a storm and make landfall over Western Guang-
      dong or about 100 km. West of Macau this afternoon (approx 3-4 PM HK
      time). The dissipating core (eye & eyewall) of this system shall make
      its closest point approach (CPA) to Hong Kong at around 11 PM to 12
      midnight tonight with a distance of 115 km. to the NE. NEOGURI is
      forecast to disspate just NE of Hong Kong by tomorrow afternoon,
      April 20th. 

      + EFFECTS: NEOGURI's shrinking circulation is now in between the
      coasts of Hainan and Western Guangdong. The inner bands of this
      typhoon has left eastern Hainan and is now spreading across Western
      Guangdong, with its disorganized Northern Eyewall just along the
      shores of Western Guangdong. Moderate to heavy rains accompanied with
      tropical storm force winds reaching 100 km/hr can be expected along
      Western Guangdong, Macau & Hong Kong this morning, increasing to mi-
      nimal Typhoon force winds in the afternoon through the evening. Mean-
      while, Its outer bands continues to spread across much of Southern
      China. These bands will continue to bring widespread rains & thun-
      derstorms with light to moderate winds across the area today. Dete-
      riorating weather conditions can be expected tonight until tomorrow
      as the typhoon makes landfall over Western Guangdong. People living
      in low-lying areas of Southern China particularly Western Guangdong,
      Macau & Hong Kong must seek higher grounds for possible flooding due
      to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this storm. Precau-
      tionary measures must be fully implemented. Coastal Storm Surge floo-
      ding of 4 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and
      dangerous battering waves can be expected near and to the north of
      NEOGURI's projected path particularly on where the center makes
      landfall in Western Guangdong. Minimal damage is possible on this
      type of storm surge. Far-fetched storm surge is also possible along
      coastal areas of Hainan & Southern China.
       
      Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
      effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
      every 06 to 12 hours!

      _____________________________________________________________________________

      TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 19 APRIL
      LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 20.4º N...LONGITUDE 111.8º E
      DISTANCE 1: 275 KM (148
      NM) SW OF MACAU, CHINA 
      DISTANCE 2: 325 KM (175 NM) SW OF HONG KONG, CHINA 
      DISTANCE 3: 170 KM (92 NM) SE OF ZHANJIANG, CHINA  
      DISTANCE 4: 160 KM (85 NM) ENE OF HAIKOU, HAINAN IS. 
      MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 140 KM/HR (75 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
      PEAK WIND GUSTS: 165 KM/HR (90 KTS)
      SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1) 
      MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 967 MILLIBARS (hPa)
      RECENT MOVEMENT: NNE @ 15 KM/HR (08 KTS)
      GENERAL DIRECTION: WESTERN GUANGDONG
      STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 500 KM (270 NM)/AVERAGE
      MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 18 FEET (5.4 METERS)
      VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM MANILA TIME SAT APRIL 19
      TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 36 HRS LEAD  
      PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: NONE

      12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:
      2 PM (06 GMT) 19 APRIL: 21.6N 112.5E / 110-140 KPH / NE @ 17 KPH
      2 AM (18 GMT) 20 APRIL: 23.1N 113.4E / 75-95 KPH / NE @ 17 KPH
      _____________________________________________________________________________
      _____________________________________________________________________________


      RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:


      _______________________________________________________________________________________

       
      RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


      > Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      NOTES:
       
        ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
            latest warning.
       
        * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
            # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
            being hoisted.
      For more explanations on these signals, 
            visit:
      http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

       ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
            its center.

      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      >>
      To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
         used on this update visit the ff:

          http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
          http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
          http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

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      For the complete details on TY NEOGURI (AMBO)...go visit
      our website @:

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