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Typhoon NEOGURI (AMBO) lashing Eastern Hainan... [Update #006]

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  • Typhoon2000.com (Michael Padua)
    ... Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #007 Name: TYPHOON NEOGURI [AMBO/02W/0801] Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) FRI 18 APRIL 2008 Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE
    Message 1 of 1 , Apr 18, 2008

      Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #007
      Name: TYPHOON NEOGURI [AMBO/02W/0801] 
      Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) FRI 18 APRIL 2008
      Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NUMBER 018
      Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
      _____________________________________________________________________________
       
       
      TYPHOON NEOGURI (AMBO) HAS STARTED LOSING STRENGTH AS IT PASSES VERY
      CLOSE TO THE EASTERN SHORELINE OF HAINAN...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY
      RAINS POUNDING THE ISLAND...AIMING TOWARDS WESTERN GUANGDONG.

      + FORECAST OUTLOOK: NEOGURI is expected to continue moving Northerly
      passing very close to the northeastern coast of Hainan late tonightt.
      The core (eye & eyewall) shall weaken slightly as it enters the Coast
      of Southern China tomorrow morning and make its final landfall along
      Western Guangdong tomorrow afternoon. The 2-day forecast shows NEOGURI
      turning NNE'ly across Mainland China and dissipate by Sunday morning
      (Apr 20). 

      + EFFECTS: NEOGURI's strong compact circulation is over the Eastern
      Coast of Hainan. The inner bands of this typhoon has been spreading
      across eastern Hainan with its strong western eyewall just along the
      coast. Moderate to heavy rains accompanied with tropical storm force
      winds reaching 100 km/hr can be expected along Eastern Hainan overnight.
      Meanwhile, Its outer bands continues to spread across the whole of Hai-
      nan and Guangdong Province including Macau & Hong Kong. These bands will
      continue to bring widespread rains & thuderstorms with light to mode-
      rate winds across the area overnight. Deteriorating weather conditions
      can be expected tonight until tomorrow as the typhoon's inner bands and
      its core moves closer to Western Guangdong. People living in low-lying
      areas of Hainan and Southern China must seek higher grounds for possible
      flooding due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this storm.
      Precautionary measures must be implemented. Coastal Storm Surge flooding
      of 6 to 8 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous
      battering waves can be expected near and to the north of NEOGURI's pro-
      jected path particularly on where the center makes landfall in Eastern
      Hainan/Western Guangdong. Moderate damage is possible on this type of
      storm surge. Far-fetched storm surge is also possible along coastal
      areas of Northern Vietnam & Southern China.
       
      Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
      effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
      every 06 to 12 hours!

      _____________________________________________________________________________

      TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 18 APRIL
      LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 19.0º N...LONGITUDE 111.3º E
      DISTANCE 1: 85 KM (45
      NM) ESE OF QIONGHAI, HAINAN IS. 
      DISTANCE 2: 160 KM (85 NM) SE OF HAIKOU, HAINAN IS. 
      DISTANCE 3: 270 KM (145 NM) SSE OF ZHANJIANG, CHINA  
      DISTANCE 4: 430 KM (233 NM) SW OF MACAU, CHINA 
      DISTANCE 5: 475 KM (255 NM) SW OF HONG KONG, CHINA
      MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 160 KM/HR (85 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
      PEAK WIND GUSTS: 195 KM/HR (105 KTS)
      SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY TWO (2) 
      MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 959 MILLIBARS (hPa)
      RECENT MOVEMENT: NNW @ 11 KM/HR (06 KTS)
      GENERAL DIRECTION: WESTERN GUANGDONG
      STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 555 KM (300 NM)/AVERAGE
      MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 23 FEET (7.0 METERS)
      VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 PM MANILA TIME FRI APRIL 18
      TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 48 HRS LEAD  
      PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: NONE

      12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
      2 AM (18 GMT) 19 APRIL: 20.1N 111.3E / 130-160 KPH / N @ 15 KPH
      2 PM (06 GMT) 19 APRIL: 21.7N 111.6E / 100-130 KPH / NNE @ 15 KPH
      2 PM (06 GMT) 20 APRIL: 24.6N 112.8E / 35-55 KPH / NNE @ 15 KPH
      _____________________________________________________________________________
      _____________________________________________________________________________

      RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:


      _______________________________________________________________________________________

       
      RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


      > Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      NOTES:
       
        ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
            latest warning.
       
        * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
            # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
            being hoisted.
      For more explanations on these signals, 
            visit:
      http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

       ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
            its center.

      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      >>
      To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
         used on this update visit the ff:

          http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
          http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
          http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

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      For the complete details on TY NEOGURI (AMBO)...go visit
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