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Typhoon FITOW (10W) - Update #002

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  • Typhoon2000.com (Michael Padua)
    ... Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #002 Name: TYPHOON FITOW [10W/0709] Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) FRI 31 AUGUST 2007 Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT)
    Message 1 of 1 , Aug 31, 2007

      Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #002
      Name: TYPHOON FITOW [10W/0709] 
      Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) FRI 31 AUGUST 2007
      Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) SAT 01 SEPTEMBER
      Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #011
      _______________________________________________________________________
       
       
      TYPHOON FITOW (10W) HAS TURNED NORTHWEST AS IT REACHED
      WIND SPEED OF 150-KM/HR...THREATENS JAPAN.

      + FORECAST OUTLOOK: FITOW is expected to continue on its
      WNW track in response to a building high pressure steering
      ridge situated to the North of Fitow, or just to the East
      of Japan. The 2 to 5-day forecast shows the system conti-
      nuing moving WNW in the direction of Japan, turning NW'ly
      on Tuesday afternoon (Sep 4). It shall reach Category 3
      status (205 km/hr) on Wednesday afternoon Sep 5. Initial
      Impact Forecast (IIF) calls for a Southern Honshu landfall
      on Sep 6

      + EFFECTS: FITOW's rainbands continues to affect the tiny
      island of Marcus. Increasing winds with rains will continue
      to prevail over the island tonight. Coastal Storm Surge
      flooding of 04 to 05 feet above normal tide levels...along
      with large and dangerous battering waves can be expected
      near and to the north of FITOW's projected path particu-
      larly along Marcus Island.

      + TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: The new Tropical Disturbance
      (LPA/1008 MB) over the South China Sea, or just to the
      West of Subic Bay, PH has been drifting Southward during
      the past 6 hours and continues to organize. It was estima-
      ted about 325 km West of Quezon City (14.7N 118.0E). With
      sustained winds of 30 km/hr, this system is showing signs
      of developing into a Tropical Depression (TD). Provinces
      of Pangasinan, Zambales, Tarlac, Pampanga, Bataan and
      Metro Manila can expect rains and thunderstorms tonight
      or tomorrow due to its developing outer bands. More up-
      dates soon as the system continues to develop. Kindly
      check out the latest zoomed satellite pic here.

      Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
      outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
      cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

      _______________________________________________________________________

      TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 31 AUGUST
      LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 27.3º N...LONGITUDE 154.4º E
      DISTANCE 1: 370 KM (202
      NM) NNW OF MARCUS ISLAND
      DISTANCE 2: 1,335 KM (720 NM) ENE OF IWO TO
      DISTANCE 3: 1,675 KM (903 NM) SE OF TOKYO
      DISTANCE 4: 3,460 KM (1,867 NM) ENE OF LUZON, PH
      MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
      PEAK WIND GUSTS: 185 KM/HR (100 KTS)
      SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
      MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 963 MILLIBARS (hPa)
      RECENT MOVEMENT: NW @ 11 KM/HR (06 KTS)
      GENERAL DIRECTION: JAPAN
      STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 590 KM (320 NM)/AVERAGE
      MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 24 FEET (7.3 METERS)
      VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 PM JAPAN TIME FRI AUGUST 31
      TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
        
      PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
                 
      12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
      2 AM (18 GMT) 01 SEPTEMBER: 27.8N 153.3E / 160-195 KPH / WNW @ 13 KPH
      2 PM (06 GMT) 01 SEPTEMBER: 28.4N 151.8E / 165-205 KPH / W @ 13 KPH
      2 PM (06 GMT) 02 SEPTEMBER: 28.9N 148.7E / 175-215 KPH / WNW @ 11 KPH

      REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 31 AUGUST POSITION: 27.1N 154.8E.
      ^TYPHOON (TY) 10W (FITOW) HAS TAKEN A SHARP WESTWARD TURN
      DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS AND SLOWED SLIGHTLY, WITH WEAK SUB-
      TROPICAL RIDGING TO THE NORTHEAST NOW PROVIDING THE DOMINANT
      STEERING INFLUENCE. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY REVEALS THAT
      UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING TO THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM HAS RESTRICTED
      EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, POLEWARD OUTFLOW HAS SHOWN SIGNS
      OF IMPROVEMENT ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTH
      OF THE STORM
      ...(more)

      >> FITOW {pronounced: fee~tow}, meaning: Yapese name for a
         beautiful fragrant flower. Name contributed by: Micronesia.
      _______________________________________________________________________
      _______________________________________________________________________

      RECENT TRACKING CHART:


      _______________________________________________________________________________________

       
      RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


      > Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      NOTES:
       
        ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
            latest warning.
       
        * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
            # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
            being hoisted.
      For more explanations on these signals, 
            visit:
      http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

       ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
            its center.

      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      >>
      To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
         used on this update visit the ff:

          http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
          http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
          http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

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      For the complete details on TY FITOW (10W)...go visit
      our website @:

      >
      href="http://www.typhoon2000.com/">http://www.typhoon2000.com
      href="http://www.maybagyo.com">http://www.maybagyo.com

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