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Typhoon FITOW (10W) - Update #001

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  • Typhoon2000.com (Michael Padua)
    ... Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #001 Name: TYPHOON FITOW [10W/0709] Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) THU 30 AUGUST 2007 Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT)
    Message 1 of 1 , Aug 29, 2007

      Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #001
      Name: TYPHOON FITOW [10W/0709] 
      Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) THU 30 AUGUST 2007
      Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) FRI 31 AUGUST
      Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #005
      _______________________________________________________________________
       
       
      NEWLY-FORMED FITOW (10W) RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING OVER
      THE FAR NORTHWEST PACIFIC...BECOMES THE SEVENTH
      TYPHOON OF 2007
      ...MAY BECOME A THREAT TO SOUTHERN
      JAPAN IN THE COMING DAYS.

      + FORECAST OUTLOOK: FITOW is expected to resume tracking
      Northerly within 12 hours and shall turn abruptly to the
      NNW in response to a developing high pressure steering
      ridge situated to the North of Fitow. The 2 to 5-day
      forecast shows the system turning more Westerly or WNW
      in the direction of Southern Japan - reaching Super
      Typhoon status (Category 4 - 240 km/hr) on Tuesday early
      morning, Sep 4

      + EFFECTS: FITOW's western rainbands continues to affect
      the tiny island of Marcus. Increasing winds with rains
      will continue to prevail over the island today. Coastal
      Storm Surge flooding of 04 to 05 feet above normal tide
      levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves
      can be expected near and to the north of FITOW's projec-
      ted path particularly along Marcus Island.

      + CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: N/A
      .

      Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
      outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
      cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

      _______________________________________________________________________

      TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 30 AUGUST
      LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 23.8º N...LONGITUDE 156.8º E
      DISTANCE 1: 300 KM (162
      NM) ESE OF MARCUS ISLAND
      DISTANCE 2: 1,520 KM (820 NM) NE OF SAIPAN
      DISTANCE 3: 1,575 KM (850 NM) ESE OF IWO TO
      DISTANCE 4: 2,100 KM (1,135 NM) SE OF TOKYO
      DISTANCE 5: 3,650 KM (1,970 NM) ENE OF LUZON, PH
      MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS)
      PEAK WIND GUSTS: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
      SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
      MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 974 MILLIBARS (hPa)
      RECENT MOVEMENT: NNE @ 17 KM/HR (09 KTS)
      GENERAL DIRECTION: NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN
      STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 295 KM (160 NM)/SMALL
      MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 17 FEET (5.1 METERS)
      VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 AM JAPAN TIME THU AUGUST 30
      TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
        
      PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
                 
      12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
      2 PM (06 GMT) 30 AUGUST: 25.1N 156.6E / 150-185 KPH / NNW @ 13 KPH
      2 AM (18 GMT) 31 AUGUST: 26.4N 155.8E / 195-240 KPH / NW @ 17 KPH
      2 AM (18 GMT) 01 SEPTEMBER: 28.5N 152.6E / 215-260 KPH / WNW @ 17 KPH

      REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 30 AUGUST POSITION: 23.4N 156.9E.
      ^TYPHOON FITOW WILL TURN MORE POLEWARD IN THE FIRST 12-24
      HOURS AS THE STORM REACHES THE EDGE OF THE NER. THE STORM
      WILL THEN TURN WESTWARD AS IT IS PICKED UP AND STEERED BY
      THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) ANCHORED EAST OF JAPAN. THE
      OBJECTIVE AIDS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO, HOWEVER,
      EGRR PREDICTS THE WESTWARD TURN 24 HOURS EARLIER THAN THE
      OTHER AIDS. THE FORECAST TRACK IS SLIGHTLY NORTH OF THE
      CONSENSUS. TY FITOW WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATO-
      LOGICAL RATE THROUGH 24 HOURS. AFTERWARDS, THE STORM IS EX-
      PECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A SLOWER RATE AS THE TUTT CELL PRE-
      VIOUSLY TO ITS NORTHEAST MOVES TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM,
      SUPPRESSING POLEWARD OUTFLOW. ADDITIONALLY THE PRESENCE OF
      THE TUTT COULD ALLOW FOR INTRUSION OF MORE STABLE, SUBSIDENT
      AIR...(more)

      >> FITOW {pronounced: fee~tow}, meaning: Yapese name for a
         beautiful fragrant flower. Name contributed by: Malaysia.
      _______________________________________________________________________
      _______________________________________________________________________

      RECENT TRACKING CHART:


      _______________________________________________________________________________________

       
      RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


      > Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      NOTES:
       
        ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
            latest warning.
       
        * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
            # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
            being hoisted.
      For more explanations on these signals, 
            visit:
      http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

       ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
            its center.

      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      >>
      To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
         used on this update visit the ff:

          http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
          http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
          http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

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      For the complete details on TY FITOW (10W)...go visit
      our website @:

      >
      href="http://www.typhoon2000.com/">http://www.typhoon2000.com
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