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Typhoon USAGI (05W) - Update #02

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  • Typhoon2000.com (Michael Padua)
    ... Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #002 Name: TYPHOON USAGI [05W/0705] Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) MON 30 JULY 2007 Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) TUE
    Message 1 of 1 , Jul 30, 2007

      Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #002 
      Name: TYPHOON USAGI [05W/0705] 
      Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) MON 30 JULY 2007
      Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) TUE 31 JULY
      Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #008
      _______________________________________________________________________
       
       
      TYPHOON USAGI (05W) GAINED MORE STRENGTH AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTH-
      WESTWARD...THREAT TO JAPAN CONTINUES
      .

      + FORECAST OUTLOOK: USAGI is expected to continue moving towards
      the NW for the next 2 to 3 days in the direction of Southwestern
      Japan particularly Shikoku and Western Honshu. The advance 3 to
      5-day long-range forecast shows USAGI turning more Northerly,
      becoming a Category 4 system with winds of 230 km/hr before
      making landfall over the western part of Shikoku Thursday eve-
      ning, Aug 2. It shall then traverse Western Honshu Friday mor-
      ning, Aug 3 - passing very close to Hiroshima, Japan. USAGI shall
      be off the Northwestern coast of Honshu or over the Sea of Japan
      Friday afternoon Aug 3


      + EFFECTS: USAGI over-all circulation continues to expand
      with its Eastern outermost bands still affecting the
      Agrihan and other small islands of Northernmost Mariana
      .

      + MONSOON INTENSITY FORECAST: N/A.

      Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
      outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
      cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

      _______________________________________________________________________

      TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 30 JULY
      LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 20.3º N...LONGITUDE 141.3º E
      DISTANCE 1: 735 KM (397 NM) NW OF SAIPAN
      DISTANCE 2: 500 KM (270 NM) SOUTH OF IWO TO, JAPAN
      DISTANCE 3: 2,020 KM (1,090 NM) EAST OF BASCO, BATANES
      MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 140 KM/HR (75 KTS)
      PEAK WIND GUSTS: 165 KM/HR (90 KTS)
      SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY TWO (2)
      MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 967 MILLIBARS (hPa)
      RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 17 KM/HR (09 KTS)
      GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHERN JAPAN
      STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 650 KM (350 NM)/AVERAGE
      MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 22 FEET (6.7 METERS)
      VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 PM JST MON JULY 30
      TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
        
      PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
                 
      12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
      2 AM (18 GMT) 31 JULY: 21.4N 139.9E / 165-205 KPH / NW @ 20 KPH
      2 PM (06 GMT) 31 JULY: 23.1N 138.3E / 185-230 KPH / NW @ 20 KPH
      2 PM (06 GMT) 01 AUGUST: 26.9N 134.9E / 220-270 KPH / NNW @ 24 KPH

      REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 30 JULY POSITION: 20.0N 141.8E.
      ^TYPHOON (TY) 05W (USAGI) HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY AT A
      CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND DEVELOPED
      TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING DURING THAT PERIOD. TY USAGI HAS
      TRACKED ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STEERING
      RIDGE. A MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGE DEPICTED A DEVELOPING
      EYE. A LONGWAVE TROUGH HAS CONTINUED TO DIG IN OVER JAPAN,
      WHICH HAS CREATED A FAVORABLE OUTFLOW PATTERN, AIDING IN
      THE INTENSIFICATION OF THE STORM. THIS TROUGH HAS ALSO
      INFLUENCED A MORE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOVEMENT OVER THE
      PAST 06 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED TOWARD A WEAK-
      NESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE..
      .(more info)

      >>
      color=#000080>USAGI
      {pronounced: usa-gi}, meaning: Lepus (rabbit)
        
      Name contributed by: Japan.

      _______________________________________________________________________
      _______________________________________________________________________

      RECENT TRACKING CHART:


      _______________________________________________________________________________________

       
      RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


      > Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      NOTES:
       
        ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
            latest warning.
       
        * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
            # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
            being hoisted.
      For more explanations on these signals, 
            visit:
      http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

       ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
            its center.

      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      >>
      To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
         used on this update visit the ff:

          http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
          http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
          http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

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      For the complete details on TY USAGI (05W)...go visit
      our website @:

      >
      href="http://www.typhoon2000.com/">http://www.typhoon2000.com
      href="http://www.maybagyo.com">http://www.maybagyo.com

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