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Typhoon USAGI (05W) - Update #01

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  • Typhoon2000.com (Michael Padua)
    ... Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #001 Name: TYPHOON USAGI [05W/0705] Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) MON 30 JULY 2007 Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) MON
    Message 1 of 1 , Jul 29, 2007

      Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #001 
      Name: TYPHOON USAGI [05W/0705] 
      Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) MON 30 JULY 2007
      Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) MON 30 JULY
      Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #006
      _______________________________________________________________________
       
       
      THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NORTH OF THE MARIANAS WHICH DEVELOPED
      INTO A TROPICAL STORM, HAS BECOME THE 4TH TYPHOON OF 2007 NAMED
      USAGI
      (05W)...THREATENS SOUTHERN JAPAN
      .

      + FORECAST OUTLOOK: USAGI is expected to turn towards the WNW
      to NW'ly within 24 to 48 hours on a path towards Southern Japan.
      The advance 3 to 5-day long-range forecast shows USAGI turning
      more to the NNW to Northerly and becoming a Category 4 system
      with winds of 230 km/hr. The core is forecast to make landfall
      over the eastern part of Shikoku and traversing Honshu - passing
      very close to Kyoto, Japan early Friday mornning, Aug 4. USAGI
      shall be off the Northern coast of Honshu or over the Sea of
      Japan early Saturday morning, Aug 5


      + EFFECTS: USAGI over-all circulation continues to expand with
      its Western outer bands still affecting the Agrihan and other
      small islands of Northernmost Mariana
      .

      + MONSOON INTENSITY FORECAST: N/A.

      Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
      outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
      cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

      _______________________________________________________________________

      TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 30 JULY
      LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 18.9º N...LONGITUDE 142.6º E
      DISTANCE 1: 520 KM (280 NM) NW OF SAIPAN
      DISTANCE 2: 670 KM (360 NM) SSE OF IWO TO, JAPAN
      DISTANCE 3: 2,210 KM (1,195 NM) ENE OF APARRI, CAGAYAN
      MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS)
      PEAK WIND GUSTS: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
      SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY TWO (2)
      MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 974 MILLIBARS (hPa)
      RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 19 KM/HR (10 KTS)
      GENERAL DIRECTION: SOUTHERN JAPAN
      STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 610 KM (330 NM)/AVERAGE
      MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 20 FEET (6.0 METERS)
      VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 AM JST MON JULY 30
      TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
        
      PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
                 
      12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
      2 PM (06 GMT) 30 JULY: 19.6N 141.2E / 140-165 KPH / NW @ 20 KPH
      2 AM (18 GMT) 31 JULY: 21.1N 139.6E / 165-205 KPH / NW @ 20 KPH
      2 AM (18 GMT) 01 AUGUST: 24.9N 136.7E / 215-260 KPH / NNW @ 24 KPH

      REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 30 JULY POSITION: 18.7N 143.1E.
      ^SYSTEM WAS UPGRADED TO TY STATUS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
      ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS AND EVIDENCE OF A DEVELOPING EYE ON
      THE MOST RECENT TRMM MICROWAVE IMAGE..
      .(more info)

      _______________________________________________________________________
      _______________________________________________________________________

      RECENT TRACKING CHART:


      _______________________________________________________________________________________

       
      RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


      > Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      NOTES:
       
        ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
            latest warning.
       
        * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
            # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
            being hoisted.
      For more explanations on these signals, 
            visit:
      http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

       ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
            its center.

      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      >>
      To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
         used on this update visit the ff:

          http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
          http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
          http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

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      For the complete details on TY USAGI (05W)...go visit
      our website @:

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