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TD HENRY almost stationary east of Bicol...[Update #02]

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  • Typhoon2000.com (Michael Padua)
    ... Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #02 Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION HENRY [96W] Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) SAT 29 JULY 2006 Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00
    Message 1 of 1 , Jul 29, 2006


      Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #02
      Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION HENRY [96W] 
      Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) SAT 29 JULY 2006
      Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) SUN 30 JULY 2006
      Source: PAGASA BULLETIN-WARNING #004
      _______________________________________________________________________
       
       
      TROPICAL DEPRESSION HENRY (96W) HAS REMAINED ALMOST
      STATIONARY 12 HOURS AGO AND IS NOW DRIFTING WEST-
      NORTHWEST TOWARDS BICOL REGION
      ..NEW CLOUD CLUSTER
      GROWING RAPIDLY NEAR ITS POORLY-DEFINED CENTER.

      + FORECAST OUTLOOK: HENRY is expected to move slowly WNW
      for the next 2 days, passing close to the Northern Coast
      of Catanduanes & Camarines Norte. 3-day forecast (72
      hours) shows the system approaching Polillo Islands around
      Tuesday afternoon (Aug 1). HENRY may intensify into a
      Tropical Storm if the strong upper-level winds (wind
      shear) above it weakens.


      + EFFECTS: HENRY's disorganized western outer bands con-
      tinues to spread across Bicol Region and Samar Provinces,
      bringing cloudy skies with scattered moderate to sometimes
      heavy rains. Residents living along river banks, steep
      mountain slopes and low-lying areas are advised to stay
      alert and foresee evacuation for possible flashfloods and
      mudslides. People living around the slopes of Mayon Vol-
      cano in Albay especially along the area where possible
      LAHAR FLOWS (mixture of volcanic mud and water) are
      located - must stay on alert at all times for immediate
      evacuation.

      + CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Weak to Moderate Southwest
      (SW) Monsoon continues to affect Mindanao especially the
      western sections & is now spreading across Western Visa-
      yas. Cloudy weather conditions with light to moderate &
      sometimes heavy rainfall can be expected tonight and to-
      morrow. Southwesterly winds of 30 km/hr with higher
      gusts may be expected along the affected areas.

      Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
      outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, and tropical
      cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
      _______________________________________________________________________

      TIME/DATE: 4:00 PM MANILA TIME (08:00 GMT) 29 JULY
      LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 13.2º N...LONGITUDE 127.4º E
      DISTANCE 1: 315 KM (170 NM) ENE OF CATARMAN, N. SAMAR, PH
      DISTANCE 2: 400 KM (215 NM) EAST OF LEGAZPI CITY, PH
      DISTANCE 3: 340 KM (185 NM) ESE OF VIRAC, CATANDUANES, PH
      DISTANCE 4: 455 KM (245 NM) ESE OF NAGA CITY, PH
      MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [10-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS)
      PEAK WIND GUSTS: 70 KM/HR (38 KTS)
      MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
      MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 06 FEET (1.8 METERS)
      SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
      RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 07 KM/HR (04 KTS)
      GENERAL DIRECTION: BICOL REGION-QUEZON AREA
      STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 555 KM (300 NM)/AVERAGE
      VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 4 PM SAT JULY 29

      PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
      #01 -
      CAMARINES NORTE, CAMARINES SUR, ALBAY, SORSOGON 
            & CATANDUANES.

                 
      24-48 HR. FORECAST:
      > 2 PM (06 GMT) 30 JULY: 13.5N 126.0E
      > 2 PM (06 GMT) 31 JULY: 14.4N 124.7E

      REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 29 JULY POSITION: 13.1N 127.6E.

      _________________________________________________________________________________
      _________________________________________________________________________________
       
      LATEST T2K TRACKING CHART:


      _______________________________________________________________________________________

      RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


      > Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics, Japan) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      NOTES:
       
        ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
            latest warning.
       
        * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
            # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
            being hoisted.
      For more explanations on these signals, 
            visit: 
      http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

       ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Sea Wave Height near 
            its center.

      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      >>
      To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
         used on this update visit the ff:

          http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
          http://www.srh.........noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
          http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

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      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      For the complete details on the TD HENRY (96W)...go visit
      our website @:

      >
      href="http://www.typhoon2000.com/">http://www.typhoon2000.com
      href="http://www.maybagyo.com">http://www.maybagyo.com

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