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TD 18W [UNNAMED] - Final Update

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  • Typhoon2000.ph (Michael V. Padua)
    for Sunday, 14 November 2010 [6:30 PM PhT] ... Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts! For more details: Text T2K HELP to 2800
    Message 1 of 1 , Nov 14, 2010


      for Sunday, 14 November 2010 [6:30 PM PhT]

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      Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sunday Nov 14 2010):

      Now ending the 6-hrly web and e-mail updates (except 12 AM) on TD 18W as it dissipates off Southern Laos.


      18W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

      + USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 35 km/hr
      + Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
      + Vietnam (NCHMF/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
      :: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks

      REMNANTS OF T.D. 18W [UNNAMED]
      T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 005 ***FINAL***

      6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Sun 14 November 2010
      Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/SatFixes
      View: Advisory Archives (2004-2010)
      18W (Unnamed) has weakened into an area of low pressure (tropical disturbance). Its remnants will move through the southern part of Laos tonight. Moderate to heavy rains will continue to affect Vietnam and Southern Laos.

      *This is the Final T2K Advisory on TD 18W. There will be no further updates on this system.

      Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.


      CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

      Time/Date: 6:00 PM PhT Sun Nov 13 2010
      Location of Center: 14.8º N Lat 107.8º E Lon
      Distance 1: Over Kon Tum Province (Vietnam)
      Distance 2: 150 km (80 nm) SSW of Da Nang, Vietnam
      Distance 3: 190 km (103 nm) South of Hue, Vietnam
      MaxWinds (1-min avg): 35 kph (20 kts) near the center
      Peak Wind Gusts: 55 kph (30 kts)
      Present Movement: West @ 19 kph (10 kts)
      Towards: Southern Laos
      18-hr Total Rainfall (near center): 230 mm (Heavy)
      Minimum Central Pressure: 1008 millibars (hPa)
      Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: N/A
      Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) / N/A
      Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 6 ft (1.8 m)
      Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]

      Wunder Final TrackMap (for Public): 8:00 AM PhT Sun Nov 14

      FORECAST OUTLOOK ANALYSIS (up to 12 hours)*

      18W is expected dissipate along Southern Laos within the next 06 to 12 hours.

      Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 35 km/hr (20 knots) with higher gusts.

      *Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Extended Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km on Day 3...450 km on Day 4...and 650 km on Day 5, while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

      EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

      18W remnants will still produce convective rain clouds along the affected areas. Below are the summary of the disturbance' parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

      DISSIPATING SPIRAL RAINBANDS - continues to affect Central Vietnam...from the province of Quang-Tri down to Khanh Hoa...extending across Central and Southern Laos. Where light to moderate winds (<35 kph) can be expected along these bands today. (click here to know more about Rainbands).
      18-HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 150 mm (light, moderate to heavy rain) can be expected along the rainbands...with isolated amounts of up to 230 mm (heavy) near the center of 18W, particularly along the Vietnam-Southern Laos Border. [click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic].

      CURRENT EASTERLIES INTENSITY: STRONG >> Partly sunny to mostly cloudy skies with passing rains, squalls (aka. "subasko") & thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, SOUTHERN LUZON, BICOL REGION, VISAYAS & MINDANAO. Calm & light to moderate East, SE or NE winds (not in excess of 35 kph) can be expected today. The presence of strong easterlies (trade winds) are one of the signs of a strong La Nina climate occurring across the Pacific Ocean.

      Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, extended forecast, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!



      External Links for Ex-TD 18W (UNNAMED)


      View NOAA-CIRA's Latest Wind Analysis

      JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp1810.gif
      Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
      TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 24 hrs Ahead
      NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
      EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
      Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
      Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop 
              


      JTWC (US NAVY & AIR FORCE) REMARKS:

      REMARKS (for Meteorologists): None.
      *N/A.
      .(more)
      _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

      RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM (JTWC) TRACKING CHART
      :


      _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 

      RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART
      :

      **N/A**
      _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ 
       
      RECENT MTSAT-1R "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE
      :


      > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
      ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

      RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:  


      > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
      ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

      LATEST 24 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP)
       



      > Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
      ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
       
      NOTE:
       
        * - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

         
      http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
         
      http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
          http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
          http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      For the complete details on TD 18W (UNNAMED)...go visit our website @:

      >
      color=#800080>http://www.typhoon2000.com
      http://www.maybagyo.com

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