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Typhoon NIDA (26W) remains almost stationary... [Update #023]

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  • Typhoon2000.ph (Michael V. Padua)
    ... for Monday, 30 November 2009 [7:25 AM PST] ... Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts! For more details: Text T2K HELP to 2800
    Message 1 of 1 , Nov 29, 2009

      for Monday, 30 November 2009 [7:25 AM PST]

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      Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu November 26 2009):

      We would like to inform our constant viewers of this website, that the T2K StormTrack (activetrack.gif) will only be created once the system poses a threat to the Philippines or is within the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). Currently issuing 6-hrly Advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TY NIDA (27W).


      NIDA (26W) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

      + USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 205 km/hr
      + Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 160 km/hr
      + Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 165 km/hr
      + Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 185 km/hr
      + Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 160 km/hr
      + Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 185 kph

      TYPHOON NIDA [26W/0922]
      T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 023

      6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Mon 30 November 2009
      Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC Warning #032 & SatFix
      View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

      The tenacious and powerful Typhoon NIDA (26W) remains nearly stationary over the Western Pacific Ocean...downgraded to Category 3.

      *Residents and visitors along the Iwo To and Chichi Jima Islands should closely monitor the progress of NIDA.

      *Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

      Current Storm Information

      Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Mon Nov 30 2009
      Location of Eye: 19.5º N Lat 139.3º E Lon
      Distance 1: 625 km (338 nm) SSW of Iwo To
      Distance 2: 450 km (240 nm) East of P.A.R.
      Distance 3: 1,790 km (965 nm) ENE of Extreme N.Luzon, PH
      MaxWinds (1-min avg):
      205 kph (110 kts) near the center
      Peak Wind Gusts: 250 kph (135 kts)
      6-hr Rain Amounts (near the center): 250 mm [Heavy]
      Minimum Central Pressure: 941 millibars (hPa)
      Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 3
      Present Movement: Quasi-Stationary
      Towards: Western Pacific Ocean
      Size (in Diameter): 815 km (440 nm) / Large
      Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 35 ft (10.6 m)
      Coastal Storm Surge Height: 9-12 feet [2.7-3.9 m]

      Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Mon Nov 30

      + Forecast Outlook: NIDA is expected to drift very slowly West to WNW and continues to weaken within the next 2 days. The 3 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system just a Tropical Storm as strong upper-level winds (Vertical Wind Shear) affects the system by early Thursday morning (2AM Dec 03: 20.8N 136.0E). NIDA will rapidly dissipate along the NE coast of Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) while moving WSW slowly on Friday until Saturday (2AM Dec 04: 20.5N 135.2E...2AM Dec 05: 20.1N 134.5E). Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, so a turn to the left or right of its future track and other possibilities must be considered.

      + Effects & Hazards: NIDA is not affecting any major islands at this time. 6-hr total rainfall amounts of 5 up to 150 mm (light to moderate rain) can be expected along the outer and inner bands...with isolated amounts of 250 mm (heavy rain) near the center or EyeWall of Nida. Click here to view the latest NOAA's eTRaP graphic on the storm's rainfall amount

      Current NE Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE
      >> Mostly cloudy skies with passing occasional rains and squalls (subasko) can be expected along the following affected areas: EASTERN LUZON, BICOL REGION AND NORTHERN SAMAR. Light to moderate northeasterly winds (not in excess of 35 kph) can be expected on these areas.

      [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
      External Links for TY NIDA (27W)

      View NOAA-CIRA's
      Latest Wind Analysis

      JTWC Latest Tracking Chart:
      wp2609.gif
      TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
      NASA-JAXA TMI Page: Latest Rainrate 01
      EORC-JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate 02
      Zoomed Satellite Pic:
      NOAA's Near Real-Time
      Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
       
      JTWC (US NAVY / AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:

      2 PM (06 GMT) 30 NOVEMBER: 19.6N 138.7E / 185-230 KPH (TY-Cat 3) / WNW @ 07 KPH 
      2 AM (18 GMT) 01 DECEMBER: 19.9N 138.0E / 165-205 KPH (TY-Cat 2) / NW @ 07 KPH 
      2 AM (18 GMT) 02 DECEMBER: 20.7N 136.8E / 120-150 KPH (TY-Cat 1) / W @ 04 KPH
      2 AM (18 GMT) 03 DECEMBER: 20.8N 136.0E / 85-100 KPH (TS) / WSW @ 04 KPH

      REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) MON 30 NOVEMBER POSITION: 19.6N 139.2E.

      *ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES WEAKENING CORE
      CONVECTION, HOWEVER, A 291739Z TRMM IMAGE SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS
      MAINTAINED A ROUND 50 NM EYE WITH A SYMMETRIC EYEWALL. THERE IS HIGH
      CONFIDENCE IN THE CURRENT POSITION BASED ON THE TRMM 37 GHZ WHICH
      SHOWS A SMALLER MICROWAVE EYE SIGNATURE. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS
      BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING FROM 102 TO 127 KNOTS. NUMERICAL
      GUIDANCE REMAINS IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH TWO DISTINCT CLUSTERS.
      NOGAPS, GFDN, AND WBAR STILL FAVOR A RECURVATURE SCENARIO AND TRACK
      THE SYSTEM NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD RAPIDLY, WHILE JGSM,
      TC-LAPS, UKMO, ECMWF, AND GFS FAVOR A SLOWER WESTWARD TRACK WITH
      DISSIPATION. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FAVORS THE SLOW WESTWARD MOVEMENT
      WITH DISSIPATION AFTER 72 HOURS. ANALYSIS DATA CONTINUES TO INDICATE
      STRONG LOW-LEVEL RIDGING NORTH OF THE SYSTEM WITH HIGH ZONAL UPPER-
      LEVEL FLOW NORTH OF 25N, WHICH SUPPORTS THE CURRENT FORECAST
      SCENARIO...
      (
      more)

      >> color=#000080>NIDA, meaning: Name of womanName contributed by: Thailand.
      __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
        
      _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


      RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART
      :


      _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

       
      RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


      > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
      ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

      RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION


      > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
      ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
      LATEST 6 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL (eTRaP) 



      > Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
      ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
      NOTE:
       
        ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

         
      http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
         
      http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
          http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
          http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      For the complete details on STY NIDA (26W)...go visit our website @:

      >
      color=#800080>http://www.typhoon2000.com
      http://www.maybagyo.com

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