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TS MORAKOT (KIKO) - Update #016

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  • Typhoon2000.com (Michael Padua)
    ... for Sunday, 09 August 2009 [6:36 AM PST] ... Get the latest 6-hrly SMS Storm Alerts on KIKO! For more details: Text T2K
    Message 1 of 1 , Aug 8, 2009

      for Sunday, 09 August 2009 [6:36 AM PST]

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      Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Thu August 06 2009):

      Currently issuing 6-hrly updates (except 12:00 AM) on TS MORAKOT (KIKO).


      MORAKOT (KIKO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

      + Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 130 km/hr
      + Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 130 km/hr
      + Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 125 km/hr
      + Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
      + Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 110 km/hr
      + Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 105 km/hr
      + USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 65 km/hr

      TROPICAL STORM MORAKOT [KIKO/09W/0908]
      T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 016

      6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Sun 09 August 2009
      Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #021
      View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

      Tropical Storm MORAKOT (KIKO) exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as it remains over Taiwan Strait while drifting very slowly NNW...Landfall over Coastal Fujian expected this afternoon.

      *Residents and visitors along Southeastern & Eastern China should closely monitor the progress of MORAKOT.

      *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.


      + Forecast Outlook: MORAKOT is expected to continue moving slowly NNW and shall make its last landfall off Fujian Province in China this afternoon. MORAKOT shall dissipate Monday as it accelerates further inland over mainland China.

      + Effects: MORAKOT's weakening circulation continues to affect SE China and Taiwan. The storm's inner (rain) bands continues to affect Western and Northern Taiwan...Taiwan Strait...and the coastal areas of Fujian Province, China. Its outer (feeder) bands spreads across other parts of SE China, including the small islands of Yaeyama Group and Batanes Group (Philippines). Widespread rains w/ violent winds of not more than 100 kph can be expected near its center...while violent winds of 60-80 kph w/ moderate to heavy rains can be expected along its inner bands. On the outer bands, moderate to strong winds of 30-60 kph w/ occasional rains, squalls can be expected. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 300 mm can be expected along the storm's inner and outer bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 400 mm near the center of MORAKOT and along mountain slopes closest to the center. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastal Storm Surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible along the coastal areas of Taiwan and Southeastern China today. Very minimal damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Eastern & SE China.

      + Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 60 kph with some few passing occasional showers or rains can be expected along the following affected areas: WESTERN, CENTRAL & NORTHERN LUZON. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

      [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
      Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Sun August 09 2009
      Location of Center: 25.4º N Lat 120.3º E Lon
      Distance 1: 125 km (68 nm) ESE of Fuzhou, China
      Distance 2: 140 km (75 nm) WNW of Taipei, Taiwan
      Distance 3: 290 km (157 nm) SSW of Wenzhou, China
      Distance 4: 570 km (308 nm) NNW of Basco, Batanes
      MaxWinds (1-min avg):
      65 kph (35 kts) near the center
      Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
      Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
      Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 meters]

      Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
      Recent Movement: NNW @ 07 kph (04 kts)
      General Direction: Fujian Province, China
      Size (in Diameter): 1,295 km (700 nm) / Very Large
      Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 18 ft (5.4 m)
      Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Sun Aug 09
      JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18Z Sat Aug 08
      Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 AM Sun Aug 09
      TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 36 hrs lead
      Zoomed Satellite Pic:
      Near Real-Time
      Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

      PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1) click to know meaning
      In Effect: BATANES-BABUYAN-CALAYAN GROUP OF ISLANDS.

      The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph this morning. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.

      Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides...while those living in coastal & beach-front areas are advised to seek higher grounds due to possible storm surge that could reach a high of 1 to 3 feet.

      JTWC 12, 24, & 36 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:

      2 PM (06 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 26.0N 119.4E / 55-75 KPH (Tropical Depression) / NNW @ 11 KPH
      2 AM (18 GMT) 10 AUGUST: 27.1N 119.0E / 35-55 KPH (Tropical Disturbance / LPA) / N @ 13 KPH
      2 PM (06 GMT) 10 AUGUST: 28.5N 118.8E / 35-55 KPH (Tropical Disturbance / LPA) / .. @ .. KPH

      REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 09 AUGUST POSITION: 25.1N 119.9E.
      ^ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW
      LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS BECOME PARTIALLY EXPOSED WITH
      THE DEEPEST PORTION OF CONVECTION LOCATED ON THE NORTHEASTERN
      QUADRANT OF TS 09W. OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS THE LLCC STRUCTURE HAS
      BECOME LESS ORGANIZED, WITH AN ELONGATION IN THE NORTHEAST-SOUTHWEST
      AXIS, MAKING IDENTIFICATION DIFFICULT. THE CURRENT FORECAST
      INDICATES THAT TS 09W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK INTO MAINLAND CHINA,
      BEGIN TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND AT TAU 12, WITH COMPLETE DISSIPATION BY
      TAU 24...
      (
      more)

      >> color=#000080>MORAKOT, meaning: EmeraldName contributed by: Thailand.
      __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

      PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
       
      > 4 AM (20 GMT) 09 AUGUST: 24.9N 120.1E / WNW Slowly / 110 kph

      :: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 
         
      http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml   
      _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


      RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART
      :


      _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

       
      RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


      > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
      ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

      RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:


      > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
      ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

      NOTE:
       
        ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

         
      http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
         
      http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
          http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
          http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      For the complete details on TS MORAKOT (KIKO/09W)...go visit our website @:

      >
      color=#800080>http://www.typhoon2000.com
      http://www.maybagyo.com

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