TD AURING heading North...threat to Bicol remains [Update #002]
Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #002Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION AURING [99W]Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) MON 05 JANUARY 2009
Source: PAGASA SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #007 / T2K XTRAPOLATION
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only._____________________________________________________________________________
TROPICAL DEPRESSION AURING (99W) HAS ACCELERATED NORTHWARD...REMAINSA THREAT TO BICOL REGION. SURGE OF NORTHEAST MONSOON AFFECTING NCR,LUZON, BICOL AND VISAYAS.
*Residents and visitors along Northern Visayas & Bicol Region should closely monitor the progress
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: AURING is expected to continue moving North to NNEin the direction of the Central Philippine Sea. The 2 to 3-day mediumforecast shows the depression recurving NE across the open waters ofthe Central Philippine Sea as a developing frontal system off Taiwanis expected to absorb the depression.
+ EFFECTS: AURING's circulation has become broad over the PhilippineSea with multiple circulation centers located within the system. Itsconvective rain bands is expected to bring widespread rains with heavysqualls and winds not exceeding 60 kph across Eastern Samar today.1-day rainfall accumulations of 75 up to 100 mm is possible along itsrain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 200 mm near thecenter of AURING. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes mustremain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flashfloods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rainsbrought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiatedif necessary. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expectedalong the beach-front areas of Visayas and along the beach front areasof Bicol Region and Northern Mindanao.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Strong surge of Northeast (NE) Monsoon
continues to affect Metro Manila, Luzon, & Visayas becoming moreintense across Eastern Luzon, Bicol Region and Eastern Visayas.Clear to cloudy skies with possible passing drizzle to "on andoff" rainshowers & NE'ly winds not exceeding 60 km/hr willprevail on these areas for the next 24 hours.Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
TIME/DATE: 6:00 AM MANILA TIME (22:00 GMT) MON 05 JAN 2009
LOCATION OF MID-LEVEL CENTER: LATITUDE 12.9º N...LONGITUDE 126.8º E
DISTANCE 1: 280 KM (150 NM) ESE OF VIRAC, CATANDUANES, PH
DISTANCE 2: 210 KM (113 NM) NE OF BORONGAN, EASTERN SAMAR, PH
DISTANCE 3: 245 KM (132 NM) ESE OF CATARMAN, NORTHERN SAMAR, PHDISTANCE 4: 335 KM (182 NM) ESE OF LEGAZPI CITY, PH
DISTANCE 5: 395 KM (215 NM) ESE OF NAGA CITY, PHMAX WINDS [10-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 70 KM/HR (38 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 0 FEET (0 METER)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NORTH @ 13 KM/HR (07 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: CENTRAL PHILIPPINE SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 335 KM (180 NM)/SMALL/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 15 FEET (4.5 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 6 AM MANILA TIME MON JAN 05
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: NONE
2 AM (18 GMT) 06 JANUARY: 15.4N 127.4E_____________________________________________________________________________2 AM (18 GMT) 07 JANUARY: 18.0N 129.4E2 AM (18 GMT) 08 JANUARY: 19.7N 130.8E
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 05 JANUARY POSITION: 12.5N 126.6E.
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
NOTES:^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
>>To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
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