TD TONYO (96W) - Update #002
Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #002Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONYO [96W]Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) SAT 15 NOVEMBER 2008
Source: PAGASA SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #006 / T2K SAT DATA ANALYSIS
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only._____________________________________________________________________________
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONYO (96W) HAS CROSSED NORTHERN MINDANAO ANDSOUTHERN VISAYAS YESTERDAY...NOW OFF THE SEA OF SULU...A MUCHSTRONGER SECONDARY CIRCULATION WEST OF ZAMBOANGA CITY (6.6N 120.8E)MAY LIKELY BE THE NEW NEAR-SURFACE CENTER IF CONTINUED CONSOLIDATIONOCCURS.
*Interests in Palawan should closely monitor the progress of TONYO.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: TONYO is expected to maintain its WNW track for thenext 2 to 3 days...it shall cross Central Palawan later tonight, passingjust north of Puerto Princesa City. The 48-hour forecast shows TONYOmoving out into the South China Sea.
+ EFFECTS: After interacting with the terrain of Northern Mindanao,TONYO's circulation has shrunked dramatically, but a new and muchstronger circulation has been expanding west of Zamboanga City...nowspreading across much of Sulu Sea, Borneo and Western Mindanao. Thesebands is expected to bring scattered, widespread rains with passingmoderate to strong squalls...with wind gusts not in excess of 50 kph.1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 150 mm is possible along itsrain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 250 mm near thecenter of TONYO. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes mustremain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flashfloods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rainsbrought about by this system. Precautionary measures must beinitiated if necessary.+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Moderate to strong Northeast (NE) Monsoonenhanced by TD TONYO and a Monsoon Trough (ITCZ) is currently affectingEastern Luzon, Bicol Region and Eastern Visayas. Partly cloudy to cloudyskies with light to moderate passing rains w/ at times heavy downpour &NE'ly winds not exceeding 40 km/hr can be expected along the affectedareas. Landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threateningflash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes,river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) SAT 15 NOV 2008
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 9.4º N...LONGITUDE 122.2º E
DISTANCE 1: 120 KM (65 NM) WEST OF DUMAGUETE CITY, PH
DISTANCE 2: 150 KM (80 NM) NW OF DIPOLOG CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 150 KM (80 NM) SSW OF ILOILO CITY, PHDISTANCE 4: 210 KM (113 NM) SSE OF CUYO ISLAND, PH
DISTANCE 5: 385 KM (208 NM) EAST OF PUERTO PRINCESA CITY, PALAWAN, PHMAX WINDS [10-MIN AVG]: 45 KM/HR (25 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 60 KM/HR (33 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 0 FEET (0 METERS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1002 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 22 KM/HR (12 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SULU SEA-PALAWAN AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 400 KM (215 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 8 FEET (2.4 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 AM MANILA TIME SAT NOV 15
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - PALAWAN, ZAMBOANGA DEL NORTE & SOUTHERN NEGROS.
24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 16 NOVEMBER: 10.2N 118.0E2 AM (18 GMT) 17 NOVEMBER: 11.0N 113.2E
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 15 NOVEMBER POSITION: 9.4N 122.8E.
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
>>To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
:: Typhoon2000. com (T2K) Mobile
>>Powered by: href="http://www.synermaxx.com/">Synermaxx
Receive the latest 6-hrly storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To get:
Send T2K TYPHOON to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TD TONYO (96W)...go visit
our website @:
:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
Copyright © 2008 Typhoon2000.com All Rights Reserved