Loading ...
Sorry, an error occurred while loading the content.
 

TD TONYO (96W) - Update #002

Expand Messages
  • Typhoon2000.ph (Michael V. Padua)
    ... Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #002 Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONYO [96W] Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) SAT 15 NOVEMBER 2008 Source: PAGASA SEVERE
    Message 1 of 1 , Nov 14 7:14 PM

      Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #002
      Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONYO [96W] 
      Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) SAT 15 NOVEMBER 2008
      Source: PAGASA SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #006 / T2K SAT DATA ANALYSIS
      Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
      _____________________________________________________________________________
       
       
      TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONYO (96W) HAS CROSSED NORTHERN MINDANAO AND
      SOUTHERN VISAYAS YESTERDAY...NOW OFF THE SEA OF SULU...A MUCH
      STRONGER SECONDARY CIRCULATION WEST OF ZAMBOANGA CITY (6.6N 120.8E)
      MAY LIKELY BE THE NEW NEAR-SURFACE CENTER IF CONTINUED CONSOLIDATION
      OCCURS.

      *Interests in Palawan should closely monitor the progress of TONYO.

      + FORECAST OUTLOOK: TONYO is expected to maintain its WNW track for the
      next 2 to 3 days...it shall cross Central Palawan later tonight, passing
      just north of Puerto Princesa City. The 48-hour forecast shows TONYO
      moving out into the South China Sea.

      + EFFECTS: After interacting with the terrain of Northern Mindanao,
      TONYO's circulation has shrunked dramatically, but a new and much
      stronger circulation has been expanding west of Zamboanga City...now
      spreading across much of Sulu Sea, Borneo and Western Mindanao. These
      bands is expected to bring scattered, widespread rains with passing
      moderate to strong squalls...with wind gusts not in excess of 50 kph.
      1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 150 mm is possible along its
      rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 250 mm near the
      center of TONYO. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must
      remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash
      floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains
      brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be
      initiated if necessary.
       
      + CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Moderate to strong Northeast (NE) Monsoon
      enhanced by TD TONYO and a Monsoon Trough (ITCZ) is currently affecting
      Eastern Luzon, Bicol Region and Eastern Visayas. Partly cloudy to cloudy
      skies with light to moderate passing rains w/ at times heavy downpour &
      NE'ly winds not exceeding 40 km/hr can be expected along the affected
      areas. Landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening
      flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes,
      river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
       
      Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
      effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
      every 06 to 12 hours!

      _____________________________________________________________________________

      TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) SAT 15 NOV 2008 
      LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 9.4º N...LONGITUDE 122.2º
      DISTANCE 1: 120 KM (65
      NM) WEST OF DUMAGUETE CITY, PH 
      DISTANCE 2: 150 KM (80 NM) NW OF DIPOLOG CITY, PH
      DISTANCE 3: 150 KM (80 NM) SSW OF ILOILO CITY, PH
      DISTANCE 4: 210 KM (113 NM) SSE OF CUYO ISLAND, PH 
      DISTANCE 5: 385 KM (208 NM) EAST OF PUERTO PRINCESA CITY, PALAWAN, PH 
      MAX WINDS [10-MIN AVG]: 45 KM/HR (25 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
      PEAK WIND GUSTS: 60 KM/HR (33 KTS)
      SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: 
      TROPICAL DEPRESSION 
      COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 0 FEET (0 METERS)
      MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1002 MILLIBARS (hPa)
      RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 22 KM/HR (12 KTS)
      GENERAL DIRECTION: SULU SEA-PALAWAN AREA
      STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 400 KM (215 NM)/
      AVERAGE
      MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 8 FEET (2.4 METERS)
      VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 
      5 AM MANILA TIME SAT NOV 15

      PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
      #01 - PALAWAN, ZAMBOANGA DEL NORTE & SOUTHERN NEGROS
      .

      24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
      2 AM (18 GMT) 16 NOVEMBER: 10.2N 118.0E
      2 AM (18 GMT) 17 NOVEMBER: 11.0N 113.2E

      REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 15 NOVEMBER POSITION: 9.4N 122.8E.
      _____________________________________________________________________________
      _____________________________________________________________________________

      RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:


      _______________________________________________________________________________________

       
      RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


      > Image source:  NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.gov/)
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      NOTES:
       
        ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
            latest warning.
       
        * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
            # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these 
            signals, visit:
      http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

       ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
            its center.

      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      >>
      To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
         used on this update visit the ff:

          http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
          http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
          http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      :: Typhoon2000. com (T2K) Mobile
      >>
       
      Powered by: href="http://www.synermaxx.com/">Synermaxx
      Receive the latest 6-hrly storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To get:
      Send T2K TYPHOON to: 2800
      (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN) 
      Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      For the complete details on TD TONYO (96W)...go visit
      our website @:

      >
      href="http://www.typhoon2000.com/">http://www.typhoon2000.com
      href="http://www.maybagyo.com/">http://www.maybagyo.com

      :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
         
      http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


      Copyright © 2008 Typhoon2000.com All Rights Reserved
    Your message has been successfully submitted and would be delivered to recipients shortly.