TD TONYO (96W) - Update #001
Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #001Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONYO [96W]Issued: 1:00 PM MANILA TIME (05:00 GMT) FRI 14 NOVEMBER 2008
Source: PAGASA SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #003
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only._____________________________________________________________________________
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONYO (96W), A NEWLY-F0RMED SYSTEM WHICH DEVELOPEDOFF THE PHILIPPINE SEA LAST NIGHT...NOW APPROACHING THE COAST OFSURIGAO DEL SUR...CIRCULATION BECOMING DISORGANIZED. SCATTERED WIDESPREAD
RAINS WITH ACCOMPANYING SQUALLS (AKA. "SUBASKO") WITHIN ITS RAINBANDS
ARE CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF MINDANAO ANDSOUTHERN VISAYAS.
*Interests along the Northern Mindanao and Visayas should closely monitor the progress of TONYO.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: TONYO is expected to continue tracking West to WNWwithin the next 12 to 24 hours...shall start crossing Surigao Del Surand Agusan Provinces this afternoon...and pass between Bukidnon-MisamisOriental tonight. TONYO shall be off Bohol Sea tomorrow morning and shallpass to the southern coast of Negros Island before noon tomorrow...nearPuerto Princesa City or over Central Palawan before noon on Sunday Nov16 and over the South China Sea on Monday morning Nov 17.
+ EFFECTS: TONYO's circulation has remained a little disorganized due toits interaction with Mindanao's land mass...its scattered western rainbandscontinues to spread across Eastern, Northern and Central Mindanao and por-tions of Southern Visayas. These bands is expected to bring widespreadrains with passing moderate to strong squalls...with wind gusts not inexcess of 60 kph. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 150 mm is possi-ble along its rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 250 mm nearthe center of TONYO. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remainalert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods,mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about bythis system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Moderate to strong Northeast (NE) Monsoonenhanced by TD TONYO is currently affecting Eastern Luzon, Bicol Region& Visayas. Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with light to moderate passingrains w/ at times heavy downpour & NE'ly winds not exceeding 45 km/hrcan be expected along the affected areas. Landslides, mudslides, mudflows(lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steepmountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas ofthe affected areas.Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
TIME/DATE: 11:00 AM MANILA TIME (03:00 GMT) FRI 14 NOV 2008
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 8.3º N...LONGITUDE 126.8º E
DISTANCE 1: 55 KM (30 NM) EAST OF BISLIG CITY, PH
DISTANCE 2: 160 KM (85 NM) SE OF BUTUAN CITY, PH
DISTANCE 3: 200 KM (108 NM) EAST OF MALAYBALAY CITY, PHDISTANCE 4: 220 KM (120 NM) SSE OF SURIGAO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 5: 245 KM (132 NM) ESE OF CAGAYAN DE ORO CITY, PH
DISTANCE 6: 360 KM (195 NM) SE OF TAGBILARAN CITY, PHDISTANCE 7: 385 KM (208 NM) ESE OF DIPOLOG CITY, PHDISTANCE 8: 390 KM (210 NM) SE OF CEBU CITY, PHDISTANCE 9: 400 KM (215 NM) ESE OF DUMAGUETE CITY, PHMAX WINDS [10-MIN AVG]: 45 KM/HR (25 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 60 KM/HR (33 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 0 FEET (0 METERS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1002 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 19 KM/HR (10 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: SURIGAO DEL SUR-AGUSAN PROVINCES AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 400 KM (215 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 8 FEET (2.4 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 11 AM MANILA TIME FRI NOV 14
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
#01 - SURIGAO DEL NORTE, DINAGAT ISLAND, SURIGAO DEL SUR, SIARGAOISLANDS, AGUSAN DEL NORTE, AGUSAN DEL SUR, DAVAO DEL NORTE,DAVAO ORIENTAL, DAVAO DEL SUR, MISAMIS ORIENTAL, CAMIGUIN,LANAO DEL NORTE, LANAO DEL SUR, BUKIDNON, NORTH COTABATO,MAGUINDANAO, SULTAN KUDARAT, & SOUTH COTABATO.
24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
8 AM (00 GMT) 15 NOVEMBER: 9.0N 123.4E8 AM (00 GMT) 16 NOVEMBER: 9.7N 119.4E8 AM (00 GMT) 17 NOVEMBER: 10.1N 115.3E
REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 14 NOVEMBER POSITION: 8.2N 127.4E.
RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
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