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TD TONYO (96W) - Update #001

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  • Typhoon2000.ph (Michael V. Padua)
    ... Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #001 Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONYO [96W] Issued: 1:00 PM MANILA TIME (05:00 GMT) FRI 14 NOVEMBER 2008 Source: PAGASA SEVERE
    Message 1 of 1 , Nov 13 9:17 PM

      Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #001
      Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONYO [96W] 
      Issued: 1:00 PM MANILA TIME (05:00 GMT) FRI 14 NOVEMBER 2008
      Source: PAGASA SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #003
      Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
      _____________________________________________________________________________
       
       
      TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONYO (96W), A NEWLY-F0RMED SYSTEM WHICH DEVELOPED
      OFF THE PHILIPPINE SEA LAST NIGHT...NOW APPROACHING THE COAST OF 
      SURIGAO DEL SUR...CIRCULATION BECOMING DISORGANIZED. SCATTERED WIDESPREAD
      RAINS WITH ACCOMPANYING SQUALLS (AKA. "SUBASKO")
      WITHIN ITS RAINBANDS
      ARE CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF MINDANAO AND
      SOUTHERN VISAYAS.

      *Interests along the Northern Mindanao and Visayas should closely monitor the progress of TONYO.

      + FORECAST OUTLOOK: TONYO is expected to continue tracking West to WNW
      within the next 12 to 24 hours...shall start crossing Surigao Del Sur
      and Agusan Provinces this afternoon...and pass between Bukidnon-Misamis
      Oriental tonight. TONYO shall be off Bohol Sea tomorrow morning and shall
      pass to the southern coast of Negros Island before noon tomorrow...near
      Puerto Princesa City or over Central Palawan before noon on Sunday Nov
      16 and over the South China Sea on Monday morning Nov 17.

      + EFFECTS: TONYO's circulation has remained a little disorganized due to
      its interaction with Mindanao's land mass...its scattered western rainbands
      continues to spread across Eastern, Northern and Central Mindanao and por-
      tions of Southern Visayas. These bands is expected to bring widespread
      rains with passing moderate to strong squalls...with wind gusts not in
      excess of 60 kph. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 150 mm is possi-
      ble along its rain bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 250 mm near
      the center of TONYO. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain
      alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods,
      mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by
      this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.
       
      + CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Moderate to strong Northeast (NE) Monsoon
      enhanced by TD TONYO is currently affecting Eastern Luzon, Bicol Region
      & Visayas. Partly cloudy to cloudy skies with light to moderate passing
      rains w/ at times heavy downpour & NE'ly winds not exceeding 45 km/hr
      can be expected along the affected areas. Landslides, mudslides, mudflows
      (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep
      mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of
      the affected areas.
       
      Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
      effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
      every 06 to 12 hours!

      _____________________________________________________________________________

      TIME/DATE: 11:00 AM MANILA TIME (03:00 GMT) FRI 14 NOV 2008 
      LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 8.3º N...LONGITUDE 126.8º
      DISTANCE 1: 55 KM (30
      NM) EAST OF BISLIG CITY, PH 
      DISTANCE 2: 160 KM (85 NM) SE OF BUTUAN CITY, PH
      DISTANCE 3: 200 KM (108 NM) EAST OF MALAYBALAY CITY, PH
      DISTANCE 4: 220 KM (120 NM) SSE OF SURIGAO CITY, PH 
      DISTANCE 5: 245 KM (132 NM) ESE OF CAGAYAN DE ORO CITY, PH 
      DISTANCE 6: 360 KM (195 NM) SE OF TAGBILARAN CITY, PH 
      DISTANCE 7: 385 KM (208 NM) ESE OF DIPOLOG CITY, PH 
      DISTANCE 8: 390 KM (210 NM) SE OF CEBU CITY, PH 
      DISTANCE 9: 400 KM (215 NM) ESE OF DUMAGUETE CITY, PH 
      MAX WINDS [10-MIN AVG]: 45 KM/HR (25 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
      PEAK WIND GUSTS: 60 KM/HR (33 KTS)
      SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: 
      TROPICAL DEPRESSION 
      COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 0 FEET (0 METERS)
      MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1002 MILLIBARS (hPa)
      RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 19 KM/HR (10 KTS)
      GENERAL DIRECTION: SURIGAO DEL SUR-AGUSAN PROVINCES AREA
      STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 400 KM (215 NM)/
      AVERAGE
      MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 8 FEET (2.4 METERS)
      VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 
      11 AM MANILA TIME FRI NOV 14

      PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*:
      #01 - SURIGAO DEL NORTE, DINAGAT ISLAND, SURIGAO DEL SUR, SIARGAO
            ISLANDS, AGUSAN DEL NORTE, AGUSAN DEL SUR, DAVAO DEL NORTE,
            DAVAO ORIENTAL, DAVAO DEL SUR, MISAMIS ORIENTAL, CAMIGUIN,
            LANAO DEL NORTE, LANAO DEL SUR, BUKIDNON, NORTH COTABATO,
            MAGUINDANAO, SULTAN KUDARAT, & SOUTH COTABATO.

      24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
      8 AM (00 GMT) 15 NOVEMBER: 9.0N 123.4E
      8 AM (00 GMT) 16 NOVEMBER: 9.7N 119.4E
      8 AM (00 GMT) 17 NOVEMBER: 10.1N 115.3E

      REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 14 NOVEMBER POSITION: 8.2N 127.4E.
      _____________________________________________________________________________
      _____________________________________________________________________________

      RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:


      _______________________________________________________________________________________

       
      RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


      > Image source:  NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.gov/)
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      NOTES:
       
        ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
            latest warning.
       
        * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
            # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these 
            signals, visit:
      http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

       ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
            its center.

      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      >>
      To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
         used on this update visit the ff:

          http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
          http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
          http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

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      For the complete details on TD TONYO (96W)...go visit
      our website @:

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