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TS 22W (UNNAMED) - Update #001

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  • Typhoon2000.ph (Michael V. Padua)
    ... Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #001 Name: TROPICAL STORM 22W [UNNAMED] Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) WED 15 OCTOBER 2008 Source: JOINT TYPHOON WARNING
    Message 1 of 1 , Oct 14, 2008

      Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #001
      Name: TROPICAL STORM 22W [UNNAMED] 
      Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) WED 15 OCTOBER 2008
      Source: JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (JTWC) TC WARNING #003
      Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only.
      _____________________________________________________________________________
       
       
      TROPICAL STORM 22W (UNNAMED) NEWLY-FORMED OFF THE GULF OF TONKIN...
      MOVING SLOWLY CLOSER TO NORTHERN VIETNAM'S COAST.

      + FORECAST OUTLOOK: TS 22W is expected to turn Westward while moving closer
      to the coast of Northern Vietnam. The 12 to 24-hr forecast shows 22W making
      landfall over Northern Vietnam this afternoon and shall dissipate in 36
      hours over Laos.

      + EFFECTS: 22W's circulation has shrunked over the past 6 hours...its rain-
      bands continues to bring moderate to heavy rainfall across Gulf of Tonkin
      and Northern Vietnam...especially along the coast. 65 kph winds with higher
      gusts can be expected in a very small area near the center of 22W. 1-day
      rainfall accumulations of 100 up to 200 mm is possible along its rain
      bands...with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm near the center of 22W.
      Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek eva-
      cuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides
      due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautio-
      nary measures must be initiated if necessary.
       
      Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
      effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes 
      every 06 to 12 hours!

      _____________________________________________________________________________

      TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM HONG KONG TIME (21:00 GMT) WED 15 OCT 2008 
      LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 19.5º N...LONGITUDE 106.8º
      DISTANCE 1: 195 KM (105
      NM) SE OF HANOI, VIETNAM 
      DISTANCE 2: 205 KM (110 NM) WNW OF DONGFANG, HAINAN ISLAND 
      MAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER
      PEAK WIND GUSTS: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
      SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: 
      TROPICAL STORM 
      COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 0-3 FEET (0-0.9 METERS)
      MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 996 MILLIBARS (hPa)
      RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 07 KM/HR (04 KTS)
      GENERAL DIRECTION: NORTHERN VIETNAM
      STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): --- KM (--- NM)/
      N/A
      MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 11 FEET (3.3 METERS)
      VIEW TRACKING MAP: 
      2 AM MANILA TIME WED OCT 15
      TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 36 HRS LEAD  
      PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: NONE

      12, 24, 36 HR. FORECAST:
      2 PM (06 GMT) 15 OCTOBER: 19.6N 105.9E / 65-85 KPH / W @ 13 KPH
      2 AM (18 GMT) 16 OCTOBER: 19.8N 104.4E / 45-65 KPH / W @ 13 KPH
      2 PM (06 GMT) 16 OCTOBER: 19.9N 103.0E / 30-45 KPH / --- @ -- KPH

      REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 15 OCTOBER POSITION: 19.4N 107.1E.
      ^CURRENTLY THE SYSTEM IS LESS THAN 60 NM FROM THE COAST
      OF VIETNAM, AND CONTINUES TO TRACK MORE OR LESS WESTWARD ALONG
      THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL
      STEERING RIDGE. A SMALL CDO CONTINUES TO FLARE OVER AND OBSCURE
      THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LIMITING POSITION CONFIDENCE.
      BANDING FEATURES HAVE ALL BUT DIMINISHED AND LAND INTERACTION AND
      INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAVE HALTED FURTHER INTENSIFICA-
      TION. THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS BASED ON DVORAK
      INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 2.5 FROM PGTW AND KNES AND A 142229Z
      QUIKSCAT PASS
      ...
      (more)

      _____________________________________________________________________________
      _____________________________________________________________________________

      RECENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:


      _______________________________________________________________________________________

       
      RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


      > Image source:  NOAA Satellite Service (http://www.noaa.gov/)
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      NOTES:
       
        ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
            latest warning.
       
        * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
            # 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these 
            signals, visit:
      http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

       ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
            its center.

      __________________________________________________________________________________________

      >>
      To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
         used on this update visit the ff:

          http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
          http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
          http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
          http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
      __________________________________________________________________________________________

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      For the complete details on TS 22W (UNNAMED)...go visit
      our website @:

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