TS JANGMI (OFEL) weakened rapidly... [Update #009]
Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #009Name: TROPICAL STORM JANGMI [OFEL/19W/0815]Issued: 1:00 PM MANILA TIME (05:00 GMT) MON 29 SEPTEMBER 2008
Source: JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (JTWC) TC WARNING #022
Note: Kindly refer to your country's official warnings or bulletins. This update is for additional information purposes only._____________________________________________________________________________
JANGMI (OFEL) HAS RAPIDLY WEAKENED INTO A TROPICAL STORM...NOW OFF THENORTHERN COAST OF TAIWAN.
*Interests along Fujian Province of China should closely monitor the progress of JANGMI (OFEL).
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: JANGMI is expected to begin recurving towards theNorth to NNE later today & shall accelerate ENE-ward tomorrow acrossthe cooler waters of the East China Sea...becoming an ExtratropicalCyclone while passing to the south of Kyushu, Japan on October 1st.
+ EFFECTS: JANGMI's main circulation remains over Taiwan...heavy rainsand strong winds to continue over the area today...outer bands affectingcoastal areas of SE China and Extreme Northern Luzon...Passing moderateto heavy squalls associated with its outer bands...with gusts not inexcess of 75 kph...with higher winds along the inner bands can be expec-ed. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 200 up to 400 mm is possible alongthe inner bands...with isolated accumulations of 500 mm near the centerof JANGMI espcially along the mountain slopes of Northern and CentralTaiwan. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert& seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods & land-lides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system.Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary. Possible coastalStorm Surge flooding of up to 3 feet above normal tide levels...accompa-ied by large and dangerous battering waves...is possible near the centerof JANGMI. Minimal damage is possible on this type of storm surge. Dangerfrom Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be also be expected along the beach-front areas of Extreme Northern Luzon, Batanes-Calayan-Babuyan Group andalong the beach front areas of Southeastern China...with possible far-fetched storm surge is possible along coastal areas of Eastern Luzonwith surf reaching 1 to 3 feet at most.
+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Light to moderate Southwest (SW) Monsooncontinues to be enhanced by Typhoon JANGMI (OFEL) across Western Luzon.Partly Cloudy to Cloudy skies with possible light to moderate passingrains w/ at times heavy downpour & strong SW'ly winds not exceeding55 km/hr can be expected.Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch changes
every 06 to 12 hours!
TIME/DATE: 11:00 AM MANILA TIME (03:00 GMT) MON 29 SEP 2008
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 25.9º N...LONGITUDE 121.2º E
DISTANCE 1: 110 KM (60 NM) NNW OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN
DISTANCE 2: 190 KM (103 NM) EAST OF FUZHOU CITY, CHINA
DISTANCE 3: 680 KM (367 NM) WSW OF OKINAWA, JAPANMAX WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 110 KM/HR (60 KTS) NEAR THE CENTER12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST:
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 140 KM/HR (75 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: TROPICAL STORM
COASTAL STORM SURGE HEIGHT: 0-3 FEET (0-0.9 METERS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 978 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NNW @ 17 KM/HR (09 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: EAST CHINA SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 590 KM (320 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 28 FEET (8.5 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 8 AM MANILA TIME MON SEP 29
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 96 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: Now lowered.
8 PM (12 GMT) 29 SEPTEMBER: 27.0N 121.7E / 110-140 KPH / NE @ 19 KPH_____________________________________________________________________________8 AM (00 GMT) 30 SEPTEMBER: 28.4N 123.3E / 110-140 KPH / NE @ 24 KPH8 AM (00 GMT) 01 OCTOBER: 30.4N 129.4E / 85-100 KPH / ENE @ 33 KPH
8 AM (00 GMT) 02 OCTOBER: 31.9N 137.4E / 65-85 KPH / ENE @ 37 KPHREMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 29 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 25.6N 121.0E.
^TROPICAL STORM (TS) JANGMI HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY OVER
THE PAST 12 HOURS OVER NORTHERN TAIWAN AND HAS ONLY RECENTLY TRACKED
BACK OVER WATER. THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED GENERALLY NORTHWARD DURING
THE PAST 12 HOURS AFTER A PERIOD OF ERRATIC MOVEMENT, AND HAS
ACCELERATED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS.
THE MODELS HAVE REMAINED IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH TAU 36 AND
CONTINUE TO DIVERGE AFTER THIS TIME WHILE REMAINING IN FAIR
PAGASA FINAL POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):> 10 AM (02 GMT) 29 SEPTEMBER: 25.8N 121.3E / NNE @ 15 KPH / 95 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
RECENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. For more explanations on these
signals, visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
>>To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
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