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1028
Job offer-interested in doing industry-based research? Research Associate Faculty of Mathematics, Computing and Technology, The Open University £30,728 to £36,661 (pro rata for part time staff) VRF 9744 Based in
katieuclan
Feb 14
#1028
 
1027
Re: get a book on agile risk management Hi Lukasz I'd be happy to review it for you. Regards Chris
Chris matts
Aug 28, 2013
#1027
 
1026
get a book on agile risk management Hi all, I've enjoyed our discussions and learned quite a bit on this corner of the internet. In order to contribute a bit back to the group, I'd like to offer
lszyrmer
Aug 28, 2013
#1026
 
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1025
Clarification I'm overdue to post some clarifying comments to stuff I posted earlier in the year regarding real options, kanban system liquidity, entropy and laminar (or
David Anderson
Jul 31, 2013
#1025
 
1024
Re: How do you go about finding Real Options in a Complex System? In that reacting within the noise typically only makes things worse. So the number of options you have to consider are reduced when there's a lot of
David Peterson
Jul 5, 2013
#1024
 
1023
Re: How do you go about finding Real Options in a Complex System? David, I am curious what do you mean by that. Luke From: real_options_discussion@yahoogroups.com [mailto:real_options_discussion@yahoogroups.com] On Behalf Of
Lukasz Szyrmer
Jul 5, 2013
#1023
 
1022
Re: How do you go about finding Real Options in a Complex System? I guess you could say that, paradoxically, the uncertainty (the noise) in complex domains makes real options-thinking simpler? David On 5 Jul 2013 14:03,
David Peterson
Jul 5, 2013
#1022
 
1021
Re: How do you go about finding Real Options in a Complex System? Guy, Love the visual of the spaghetti. That's exactly the spirit of these tests. It's far from a precise scientific test; however, you can get a lot of mileage
Lukasz Szyrmer
Jul 5, 2013
#1021
 
1020
Re: How do you go about finding Real Options in a Complex System? Like, Thanks, I guess in some respects I do what you say but without thinking about it in the more meaningful terms you use. I tend run the experiments like I
Guy Winterbotham
Jul 4, 2013
#1020
 
1019
Re: How do you go about finding Real Options in a Complex System? Guy, I wasn't aware of the Nyqvist rate, thanks for that. Yeah, I'm a feedback junkie because I've found that running experiments is the best way for me to
Ola Ellnestam
Jul 3, 2013
#1019
 
1018
Re: How do you go about finding Real Options in a Complex System? Guy, You can try structuring things as a series of experiments, where you define an expected range of results for each technique/approach/technology. This
Lukasz Szyrmer
Jul 3, 2013
#1018
 
1017
Re: How do you go about finding Real Options in a Complex System? Ola, I see two ideas, that there be stability in the system which nudges it towards the Complicated domain where expert opinion can be applied. The next point
Guy Winterbotham
Jul 3, 2013
#1017
 
1016
Re: How do you go about finding Real Options in a Complex System? David, Thanks for the clarification. Yes I meant to imply the need for options. I assume they are there but to your point on the cost to retrofit, it's never
Guy Winterbotham
Jul 3, 2013
#1016
 
1015
Re: How do you go about finding Real Options in a Complex System? Hi all, TLDR; I'm not sure if this qualifies as identifying but I always start by installing sensors, tightening feedback loops and then forming an undo
Ola Ellnestam
Jul 3, 2013
#1015
 
1014
Re: How do you go about finding Real Options in a Complex System? When you say "probe for options" do you mean probe for the need for options? Or are you seeing it as a way to generate options? I can see how it can help with
David Peterson
Jul 3, 2013
#1014
 
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1013
How do you go about finding Real Options in a Complex System? What sort of approaches are there for identifying real options in a (using Cynefin definition) of a complex system? As an example, I'm working on a program
glwinter
Jul 2, 2013
#1013
 
1012
Re: real options vs. cost of delay Patrick, This is excellent! I can also see how these cost of delay functions map onto marketing concepts for features, like price of entry vs. point of
lszyrmer
Jun 22, 2013
#1012
 
1011
Thanks and investment vs product delay Chris, Thanks for pointing out that real options can just model the flip side of a delay. Seems intuitively obvious after the fact...somehow missed that one.
lszyrmer
Jun 22, 2013
#1011
 
1010
Re: real options vs. cost of delay I think it is easier to understand when you look at different classes of cost of delay functions in the way the Kanban community does. The classes of cost of
Patrick Steyaert
Jun 21, 2013
#1010
 
1009
Re: real options vs. cost of delay Chris, As far as I understand the Reinertsen cost of delay, it's referring to the cost of delay in releasing a new product/feature set, as opposed to just
Lukasz Szyrmer
Jun 20, 2013
#1009
 
1008
Re: real options vs. cost of delay David I see cost of delay as a tool to assist in choosing the ordering of investments when there are constrained resources. ( Joshua is better placed to
Chris Matts
Jun 20, 2013
#1008
 
1007
Re: real options vs. cost of delay I think it is also an example of "Strategy as Active Waiting". (See: http://paws.wcu.edu/gjones/ba133/strategyasactivewaiting_d-sull.pdf ) I see that the
David Peterson
Jun 20, 2013
#1007
 
1006
Re: real options vs. cost of delay David In the early paper on Real Options by McKinsey, they call this strategy "Reserving the right to play". Meme theory tells us that at the start there is a
Chris Matts
Jun 20, 2013
#1006
 
1005
Re: real options vs. cost of delay Chris, Can you explain this in terms of Lukaz's example of Steve Jobs active-waiting strategy for the iPod? David ... Chris, Can you explain this in terms of
David Peterson
Jun 20, 2013
#1005
 
1004
Re: real options vs. cost of delay Lukasz They are actually the flip side of the same coin. Cost of delay says "The option to delay this item goes up according to this function". In other words,
Chris Matts
Jun 20, 2013
#1004
 
1003
Re: real options vs. cost of delay David, Yes sure. One of the benefits of real options that they give a framework for talking about intentional delay, particularly when you are unsure or don't
Lukasz Szyrmer
Jun 20, 2013
#1003
 
1002
Re: real options vs. cost of delay Hi Lukasz This sounds like an interesting topic for discussion. Can you say a bit more about what you mean by "the strategic procrastination of real options"?
David Peterson
Jun 19, 2013
#1002
 
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1001
real options vs. cost of delay Hi all, As there are a few Don Reinertsen fans on this list, I was wondering how you-in practice-reconcile the strategic procrastination of real options with
Lukasz Szyrmer
Jun 19, 2013
#1001
 
1000
Re: RoV of R&D Project with Technical Success < 100% in each Phase Hi, I don't have experience with compound option valuation specifically, but I did find the following tool after consulting Dr Google for a few minutes:
Lukasz Szyrmer
Jun 18, 2013
#1000
 
999
Re: RoV of R&D Project with Technical Success < 100% in each Phase Hello, In agile methods we don't do projects in phases. The technical probability of success is not stable nor computable. It is a non-linear multi-variate
Robin Dymond
Jun 18, 2013
#999
 
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