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Re: Polynomials

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  • djbroadhurst
    ... I was wondering how many messages it would take for you to mention, at last, the word degree :-) In fact, Al devised 60 contests up to degree 10. Of
    Message 1 of 33 , Jul 27, 2013
      --- In primenumbers@yahoogroups.com,
      Jose Ramón Brox <ambroxius@...> wrote:

      > a constraint on the degree

      I was wondering how many messages it would take
      for you to mention, at last, the word "degree" :-)

      In fact, Al devised 60 contests up to degree 10.
      Of course, the team of Jaroslaw and Jean-Charles
      walked away with 60 gold medals:
      http://www.recmath.org/contest/PGP/standings.php

      David
    • djbroadhurst
      ... Bad models. ... No. Rather it is that n1, the begining of the sampling interval, needs to be substantially larger than sqrt(a), for the HL heuristic to win
      Message 33 of 33 , Jul 28, 2013
        --- In primenumbers@yahoogroups.com,
        "WarrenS" <warren.wds@...> wrote:

        > > Let N(a,n1,n2) be the number of primes of the form
        > > n^2+n+a with n in [n1,n1+n2]. Then the data
        > >
        > > N(247757,0,10^6) = 324001
        > > N(3399714628553118047,0,10^6) = 251841
        > >
        > > seem to favour the smaller value of a. Yet these data
        > >
        > > N(247757,10^12,10^6) = 148817
        > > N(3399714628553118047,10^12,10^6) = 193947
        > >
        > > indicate that the larger value of a is better, in the long run.
        >
        > --these numbers seem to be in vast violation of naive statistical
        > models.

        Bad models.

        > Is the reason, that the length n2 of the sampling interval,
        > needs to be substantially larger than a, in order for naive
        > statistical models to become reasonably valid?

        No. Rather it is that n1, the begining of the sampling
        interval, needs to be substantially larger than sqrt(a),
        for the HL heuristic to win out. Clearly when
        n1 < sqrt(3399714628553118047), Marion was comparing apples
        and oranges, since log(n^2+n+a) was dominated by "a".

        All I did was to level the playing field, here:

        > N(247757,10^12,10^6) = 148817
        > N(3399714628553118047,10^12,10^6) = 193947

        to allow the HL heuristic to show through.

        It's a simple as that. No shock-horror for statisticians;
        Just a trivial observation by a log-lover :-)

        David
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