Fwd: President Edwards?
- --- Julia Ohl <jaohl@...> wrote:
> Date: Fri, 29 Oct 2004 06:28:55 -0600 (Mountain
> Daylight Time)
> From: "Julia Ohl" <jaohl@...>
> To: "Carter, Bobbi" <galpaso@...>, "Cannon,
> Greg" <gregcannon1@...>, "Green, Dan"
> <dgreen@...>, "Green, Julia"
> <woodyjake2000@...>, "Green, Tom"
> <tom@...>, "Ohl, Ann"
> Subject: President Edwards?
> October 29, 2004
> OP-ED CONTRIBUTOR
> President Edwards?
> By STEPHEN J. MARMON
> It's Jan. 20, 2005, and a stunned America watches as
> John Edwards is sworn
> in as both vice president and acting president of
> the United States.
> Impossible? No, nor is a Bush-Edwards
> There are just a few upsets needed in states where
> the presidential race is
> very close. Even if President Bush wins Wisconsin
> and Minnesota - two states
> he lost in 2000 - Senator John Kerry would force a
> 269-269 Electoral College
> tie if he carries Colorado, Missouri, Nevada and New
> Hampshire, and Al Gore
> s states.
> But Colorado's ballot initiative to divide its
> electoral votes by popular
> ballot, rather than have them be winner take all,
> could change all that. If
> it's approved, and voting in that state splits as it
> did in 2000, Mr. Bush
> would pick up four votes, and win 273-265.
> If recounts, challenges to provisional ballots and
> other legal actions don't
> overturn that result, the Supreme Court could again
> be called upon to decide
> the election. Imagine a ruling that applies the
> results of the Colorado
> initiative only to future presidential elections,
> not the 2004 contest. That
> would reinstate the Electoral College 269-269
> deadlock, and send the tied
> contests to Congress; the House would choose the
> president and the Senate
> the vice president.
> In the Senate, at least 51 votes would be required
> to elect a vice president
> Given current polls, the Democrats can gain control
> of the Senate by
> picking up seats in Alaska, Colorado, Illinois,
> Kentucky and Oklahoma, while
> losing seats in Florida, Georgia and South Carolina.
> Senator Edwards would
> be elected as vice president.
> The House, however, votes for president by state,
> with 26 delegations
> required for election. If members of the House then
> voted as their states
> did, President Bush, in this scenario, would carry
> 28 states, thus leading
> to a Bush-Edwards administration.
> Both Minnesota and Wisconsin, however, have House
> delegations that are
> evenly divided and are expected to remain that way.
> Members in those two
> states could decide to vote in line with the results
> of their districts, not
> the statewide result, thus their states would not be
> able to cast a vote
> because they deadlocked. If the Congressional
> delegation in one other state
> that also voted for Mr. Bush happened to deadlock,
> or defied the state
> result and voted for Senator Kerry, President Bush
> would get only 25 states.
> The Constitution provides that the vice president
> becomes president if the
> president dies, resigns or is removed from office.
> But the 20th Amendment
> states that: "If a president shall not have been
> chosen before the time
> fixed for the beginning of his term, or if the
> president-elect shall have
> failed to qualify, then the vice president-elect
> shall act as president
> until a president shall have qualified."
> The House could remain deadlocked for two years, and
> perhaps even four,
> depending on the results of the 2006 Congressional
> elections. And until the
> House reaches a decision, Acting President John
> Edwards would occupy the
> Oval Office.
> Stephen J. Marmon, who reported on the House of
> Representatives for The Times from 1971 to 1973, is
> an investment banker.