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20% of Democrats to vote for McCain?

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  • Greg Cannon
    I don t belong to any organized party; I m a Democrat. -Will Rogers http://www.cnsnews.com/ViewPolitics.asp?Page=/Politics/archive/200803/POL20080321a.html
    Message 1 of 1 , Mar 21, 2008
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      I don't belong to any organized party; I'm a Democrat.
      -Will Rogers

      http://www.cnsnews.com/ViewPolitics.asp?Page=/Politics/archive/200803/POL20080321a.html

      Poll: Divisive Dem Contest Could Boost McCain
      By Fred Lucas
      CNSNews.com Staff Writer
      March 21, 2008

      (CNSNews.com) - The lengthy Democratic primary contest
      bodes well for Republican chances of holding the White
      House, a new poll suggests.

      As Democratic Senators Barack Obama of Illinois and
      Hillary Clinton of New York slug it out for the
      nomination, many of their supporters -- at least in
      Pennsylvania, site of the next major primary -- aren't
      committed to the party's ticket in November, according
      to a Franklin & Marshall College Poll.

      Among Obama supporters, 20 percent said they would
      vote for Sen. John McCain of Arizona, the Republican
      nominee, if Clinton beats their candidate for the
      nomination. Among Clinton supporters, 19 percent said
      they would support McCain in November if Obama is the
      Democratic nominee. (See poll)

      The significant number of potential defectors
      underscores how divisive the Democratic primary has
      been.

      Democrats won Pennsylvania in the 2000 and 2004
      presidential races, but it was a competitive state in
      both election cycles. McCain, meanwhile, has touted
      his appeal to swing voters.

      "Pennsylvania is a must-win state for a Democratic
      presidential nominee," Nathan Gonzalez, political
      editor of the Rothenberg Political Report, told
      Cybercast News Service. "If there is a significant
      weakness for a Democrat in Pennsylvania, it could
      indicate a weakness in Ohio or other key states."

      Even a few months ago, the presidential race looked
      like a major uphill climb for any Republican
      candidate. But recent polls suggest a toss-up between
      McCain and either Democratic candidate.

      Obama and Clinton both have many negatives, which
      doesn't make the Pennsylvania poll too surprising,
      said Doris Graber, a political science professor at
      the University of Illinois.

      "Obama is very liberal, more liberal than we've seen
      on the campaign trail. Also, there is still racism out
      there," Graber told Cybercast News Service . "Hillary,
      we've known all along, has strong supporters. But
      there are also a lot of people who would never vote
      for her. There is some antipathy from the Clinton
      years. Some wouldn't vote for her because she's a
      woman."

      Graber believes it is "almost a certainty" that the
      Obama-Clinton battle will be decided at the Democratic
      National Convention, which could drive a wedge through
      the party.

      "Democratic voters could be persuaded not to vote for
      a candidate with vulnerabilities," she continued. "A
      vote for McCain wouldn't be that difficult. He does
      appeal to the middle."

      However, Gonzales cautioned not to read too much into
      a single poll, or discount the desire of Democratic
      voters to move beyond the George W. Bush years, of
      which McCain has become the heir.

      "This is a very personal and competitive Democratic
      primary," he said. "Clinton and Obama supporters have
      trouble seeing themselves with the other now. A
      healing period will have to happen."
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