Re: AI-GEOSTATS: fitting a variogram
Did you try more than one "manual" fitting? Which has the
smallest error???? The first fitting the ArcGIS is doing is very
"automatic" if i can say it - and you can do manual fittings with
better errors (i mean smaller errors). Try more than one kriging
method, change the neighbourhood and the min and max number
of known values in the neighbourhood, see if directional kriging will
not be better and so on. The idea is that you do lots of kriging
using different semi-variograms and you record their parameters
and what errors you will get. Do a cross-validation and see which
performs better. Afterwards you can compute the prediction
confidence intervals by one of the methods available - like
likelihood or bootstrapping or bayesian .... some or all of them are
implemented in R - a free environment very similar with S-PLUS.
I hope this helps,
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