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Re: SOI=14 postitive.

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  • fredwx
    A quick check of those 10 years showed that on 5 or the 10 a hurricane or TS affected the Central West Coast of Florida (Tampa Area)... ...
    Message 1 of 5 , Jun 11, 2002
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      A quick check of those 10 years showed that on 5 or the 10 a
      hurricane or TS affected the Central West Coast of Florida (Tampa
      Area)...


      --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., fredwx <no_reply@y...> wrote:
      > I emailed the Austrailian Climnate Information site:
      > http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/index.html
      > regarding the 10 years that the current SOI matched in the past. I
      > received this information in response:
      >
      >
      > "The first 10 SOI analogue years are as follows:
      >
      > 1 5 1895
      > 2 4 1991 el nino
      > 3 6 1946 el nino
      > 4 6 1949
      > 5 4 1980
      > 6 4 1888 el nino
      > 7 5 1913 el nino
      > 8 6 1965 el nino
      > 9 5 1977 el nino
      > 10 6 1969 el nino
      >
      > The analogues are listed by the last month of the
      > nine-month matching period. For example, analogue number 1 matched
      > the SOI from Sep 1894 to May 1895, number 2 from Aug 1990 to April
      > 1991 etc.....
      >
      > Now I will try to go back and look at those hurricane seasons.
      >
      > Fred
      >
      >
      >
      >
      > --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., "pawnfart" <mike@u...> wrote:
      > > With Boris gone now,
      > >
      > > SOI has gone positive big time. My veiw is that SSTs will cool
      > very
      > > rapidly with the induction from winds, as warm as they are.
      > >
      > >
      > >
      >
      http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/SeasonalClimateOutlook/SouthernOscil
      > > lationIndex/30DaySOIValues/
      > >
      > > 6-Jun-2002 1014.84 1013.55 0.00 -20.10 -9.61
      > > 7-Jun-2002 1014.59 1013.25 0.30 -20.25 -9.54
      > > 8-Jun-2002 1014.45 1013.05 0.70 -19.13 -9.52
      > > 9-Jun-2002 1013.50 1012.25 -0.20 -17.59 -9.57
      > > 10-Jun-2002 1015.06 1012.60 8.20 -16.13 -9.36
      > > 11-Jun-2002 1015.56 1012.25 14.20 -14.86 -8.88
    • fredwx
      Of the 5, only 2 were hurricanes, one tropical storm and 2 TD s. Also 4 of the five occured during the El-Nino years. ... I ... matched ... April ...
      Message 2 of 5 , Jun 11, 2002
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        Of the 5, only 2 were hurricanes, one tropical storm and 2 TD's. Also
        4 of the five occured during the El-Nino years.


        --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., fredwx <no_reply@y...> wrote:
        > A quick check of those 10 years showed that on 5 or the 10 a
        > hurricane or TS affected the Central West Coast of Florida (Tampa
        > Area)...
        >
        >
        > --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., fredwx <no_reply@y...> wrote:
        > > I emailed the Austrailian Climnate Information site:
        > > http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/index.html
        > > regarding the 10 years that the current SOI matched in the past.
        I
        > > received this information in response:
        > >
        > >
        > > "The first 10 SOI analogue years are as follows:
        > >
        > > 1 5 1895
        > > 2 4 1991 el nino
        > > 3 6 1946 el nino
        > > 4 6 1949
        > > 5 4 1980
        > > 6 4 1888 el nino
        > > 7 5 1913 el nino
        > > 8 6 1965 el nino
        > > 9 5 1977 el nino
        > > 10 6 1969 el nino
        > >
        > > The analogues are listed by the last month of the
        > > nine-month matching period. For example, analogue number 1
        matched
        > > the SOI from Sep 1894 to May 1895, number 2 from Aug 1990 to
        April
        > > 1991 etc.....
        > >
        > > Now I will try to go back and look at those hurricane seasons.
        > >
        > > Fred
        > >
        > >
        > >
        > >
        > > --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., "pawnfart" <mike@u...> wrote:
        > > > With Boris gone now,
        > > >
        > > > SOI has gone positive big time. My veiw is that SSTs will cool
        > > very
        > > > rapidly with the induction from winds, as warm as they are.
        > > >
        > > >
        > > >
        > >
        >
        http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/SeasonalClimateOutlook/SouthernOscil
        > > > lationIndex/30DaySOIValues/
        > > >
        > > > 6-Jun-2002 1014.84 1013.55 0.00 -20.10 -9.61
        > > > 7-Jun-2002 1014.59 1013.25 0.30 -20.25 -9.54
        > > > 8-Jun-2002 1014.45 1013.05 0.70 -19.13 -9.52
        > > > 9-Jun-2002 1013.50 1012.25 -0.20 -17.59 -9.57
        > > > 10-Jun-2002 1015.06 1012.60 8.20 -16.13 -9.36
        > > > 11-Jun-2002 1015.56 1012.25 14.20 -14.86 -8.88
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