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Re: SOI=14 postitive.

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  • fredwx
    I emailed the Austrailian Climnate Information site: http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/index.html regarding the 10 years that the current SOI matched in the
    Message 1 of 5 , Jun 11, 2002
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      I emailed the Austrailian Climnate Information site:
      http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/index.html
      regarding the 10 years that the current SOI matched in the past. I
      received this information in response:


      "The first 10 SOI analogue years are as follows:

      1 5 1895
      2 4 1991 el nino
      3 6 1946 el nino
      4 6 1949
      5 4 1980
      6 4 1888 el nino
      7 5 1913 el nino
      8 6 1965 el nino
      9 5 1977 el nino
      10 6 1969 el nino

      The analogues are listed by the last month of the
      nine-month matching period. For example, analogue number 1 matched
      the SOI from Sep 1894 to May 1895, number 2 from Aug 1990 to April
      1991 etc.....

      Now I will try to go back and look at those hurricane seasons.

      Fred




      --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., "pawnfart" <mike@u...> wrote:
      > With Boris gone now,
      >
      > SOI has gone positive big time. My veiw is that SSTs will cool
      very
      > rapidly with the induction from winds, as warm as they are.
      >
      >
      >
      http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/SeasonalClimateOutlook/SouthernOscil
      > lationIndex/30DaySOIValues/
      >
      > 6-Jun-2002 1014.84 1013.55 0.00 -20.10 -9.61
      > 7-Jun-2002 1014.59 1013.25 0.30 -20.25 -9.54
      > 8-Jun-2002 1014.45 1013.05 0.70 -19.13 -9.52
      > 9-Jun-2002 1013.50 1012.25 -0.20 -17.59 -9.57
      > 10-Jun-2002 1015.06 1012.60 8.20 -16.13 -9.36
      > 11-Jun-2002 1015.56 1012.25 14.20 -14.86 -8.88
    • fredwx
      A quick check of those 10 years showed that on 5 or the 10 a hurricane or TS affected the Central West Coast of Florida (Tampa Area)... ...
      Message 2 of 5 , Jun 11, 2002
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        A quick check of those 10 years showed that on 5 or the 10 a
        hurricane or TS affected the Central West Coast of Florida (Tampa
        Area)...


        --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., fredwx <no_reply@y...> wrote:
        > I emailed the Austrailian Climnate Information site:
        > http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/index.html
        > regarding the 10 years that the current SOI matched in the past. I
        > received this information in response:
        >
        >
        > "The first 10 SOI analogue years are as follows:
        >
        > 1 5 1895
        > 2 4 1991 el nino
        > 3 6 1946 el nino
        > 4 6 1949
        > 5 4 1980
        > 6 4 1888 el nino
        > 7 5 1913 el nino
        > 8 6 1965 el nino
        > 9 5 1977 el nino
        > 10 6 1969 el nino
        >
        > The analogues are listed by the last month of the
        > nine-month matching period. For example, analogue number 1 matched
        > the SOI from Sep 1894 to May 1895, number 2 from Aug 1990 to April
        > 1991 etc.....
        >
        > Now I will try to go back and look at those hurricane seasons.
        >
        > Fred
        >
        >
        >
        >
        > --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., "pawnfart" <mike@u...> wrote:
        > > With Boris gone now,
        > >
        > > SOI has gone positive big time. My veiw is that SSTs will cool
        > very
        > > rapidly with the induction from winds, as warm as they are.
        > >
        > >
        > >
        >
        http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/SeasonalClimateOutlook/SouthernOscil
        > > lationIndex/30DaySOIValues/
        > >
        > > 6-Jun-2002 1014.84 1013.55 0.00 -20.10 -9.61
        > > 7-Jun-2002 1014.59 1013.25 0.30 -20.25 -9.54
        > > 8-Jun-2002 1014.45 1013.05 0.70 -19.13 -9.52
        > > 9-Jun-2002 1013.50 1012.25 -0.20 -17.59 -9.57
        > > 10-Jun-2002 1015.06 1012.60 8.20 -16.13 -9.36
        > > 11-Jun-2002 1015.56 1012.25 14.20 -14.86 -8.88
      • fredwx
        Of the 5, only 2 were hurricanes, one tropical storm and 2 TD s. Also 4 of the five occured during the El-Nino years. ... I ... matched ... April ...
        Message 3 of 5 , Jun 11, 2002
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          Of the 5, only 2 were hurricanes, one tropical storm and 2 TD's. Also
          4 of the five occured during the El-Nino years.


          --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., fredwx <no_reply@y...> wrote:
          > A quick check of those 10 years showed that on 5 or the 10 a
          > hurricane or TS affected the Central West Coast of Florida (Tampa
          > Area)...
          >
          >
          > --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., fredwx <no_reply@y...> wrote:
          > > I emailed the Austrailian Climnate Information site:
          > > http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/index.html
          > > regarding the 10 years that the current SOI matched in the past.
          I
          > > received this information in response:
          > >
          > >
          > > "The first 10 SOI analogue years are as follows:
          > >
          > > 1 5 1895
          > > 2 4 1991 el nino
          > > 3 6 1946 el nino
          > > 4 6 1949
          > > 5 4 1980
          > > 6 4 1888 el nino
          > > 7 5 1913 el nino
          > > 8 6 1965 el nino
          > > 9 5 1977 el nino
          > > 10 6 1969 el nino
          > >
          > > The analogues are listed by the last month of the
          > > nine-month matching period. For example, analogue number 1
          matched
          > > the SOI from Sep 1894 to May 1895, number 2 from Aug 1990 to
          April
          > > 1991 etc.....
          > >
          > > Now I will try to go back and look at those hurricane seasons.
          > >
          > > Fred
          > >
          > >
          > >
          > >
          > > --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., "pawnfart" <mike@u...> wrote:
          > > > With Boris gone now,
          > > >
          > > > SOI has gone positive big time. My veiw is that SSTs will cool
          > > very
          > > > rapidly with the induction from winds, as warm as they are.
          > > >
          > > >
          > > >
          > >
          >
          http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/SeasonalClimateOutlook/SouthernOscil
          > > > lationIndex/30DaySOIValues/
          > > >
          > > > 6-Jun-2002 1014.84 1013.55 0.00 -20.10 -9.61
          > > > 7-Jun-2002 1014.59 1013.25 0.30 -20.25 -9.54
          > > > 8-Jun-2002 1014.45 1013.05 0.70 -19.13 -9.52
          > > > 9-Jun-2002 1013.50 1012.25 -0.20 -17.59 -9.57
          > > > 10-Jun-2002 1015.06 1012.60 8.20 -16.13 -9.36
          > > > 11-Jun-2002 1015.56 1012.25 14.20 -14.86 -8.88
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