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SOI=14 postitive.

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  • pawnfart
    With Boris gone now, SOI has gone positive big time. My veiw is that SSTs will cool very rapidly with the induction from winds, as warm as they are.
    Message 1 of 5 , Jun 10, 2002
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      With Boris gone now,

      SOI has gone positive big time. My veiw is that SSTs will cool very
      rapidly with the induction from winds, as warm as they are.


      http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/SeasonalClimateOutlook/SouthernOscil
      lationIndex/30DaySOIValues/

      6-Jun-2002 1014.84 1013.55 0.00 -20.10 -9.61
      7-Jun-2002 1014.59 1013.25 0.30 -20.25 -9.54
      8-Jun-2002 1014.45 1013.05 0.70 -19.13 -9.52
      9-Jun-2002 1013.50 1012.25 -0.20 -17.59 -9.57
      10-Jun-2002 1015.06 1012.60 8.20 -16.13 -9.36
      11-Jun-2002 1015.56 1012.25 14.20 -14.86 -8.88
    • fredwx
      I emailed the Austrailian Climnate Information site: http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/index.html regarding the 10 years that the current SOI matched in the
      Message 2 of 5 , Jun 11, 2002
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        I emailed the Austrailian Climnate Information site:
        http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/index.html
        regarding the 10 years that the current SOI matched in the past. I
        received this information in response:


        "The first 10 SOI analogue years are as follows:

        1 5 1895
        2 4 1991 el nino
        3 6 1946 el nino
        4 6 1949
        5 4 1980
        6 4 1888 el nino
        7 5 1913 el nino
        8 6 1965 el nino
        9 5 1977 el nino
        10 6 1969 el nino

        The analogues are listed by the last month of the
        nine-month matching period. For example, analogue number 1 matched
        the SOI from Sep 1894 to May 1895, number 2 from Aug 1990 to April
        1991 etc.....

        Now I will try to go back and look at those hurricane seasons.

        Fred




        --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., "pawnfart" <mike@u...> wrote:
        > With Boris gone now,
        >
        > SOI has gone positive big time. My veiw is that SSTs will cool
        very
        > rapidly with the induction from winds, as warm as they are.
        >
        >
        >
        http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/SeasonalClimateOutlook/SouthernOscil
        > lationIndex/30DaySOIValues/
        >
        > 6-Jun-2002 1014.84 1013.55 0.00 -20.10 -9.61
        > 7-Jun-2002 1014.59 1013.25 0.30 -20.25 -9.54
        > 8-Jun-2002 1014.45 1013.05 0.70 -19.13 -9.52
        > 9-Jun-2002 1013.50 1012.25 -0.20 -17.59 -9.57
        > 10-Jun-2002 1015.06 1012.60 8.20 -16.13 -9.36
        > 11-Jun-2002 1015.56 1012.25 14.20 -14.86 -8.88
      • fredwx
        A quick check of those 10 years showed that on 5 or the 10 a hurricane or TS affected the Central West Coast of Florida (Tampa Area)... ...
        Message 3 of 5 , Jun 11, 2002
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          A quick check of those 10 years showed that on 5 or the 10 a
          hurricane or TS affected the Central West Coast of Florida (Tampa
          Area)...


          --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., fredwx <no_reply@y...> wrote:
          > I emailed the Austrailian Climnate Information site:
          > http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/index.html
          > regarding the 10 years that the current SOI matched in the past. I
          > received this information in response:
          >
          >
          > "The first 10 SOI analogue years are as follows:
          >
          > 1 5 1895
          > 2 4 1991 el nino
          > 3 6 1946 el nino
          > 4 6 1949
          > 5 4 1980
          > 6 4 1888 el nino
          > 7 5 1913 el nino
          > 8 6 1965 el nino
          > 9 5 1977 el nino
          > 10 6 1969 el nino
          >
          > The analogues are listed by the last month of the
          > nine-month matching period. For example, analogue number 1 matched
          > the SOI from Sep 1894 to May 1895, number 2 from Aug 1990 to April
          > 1991 etc.....
          >
          > Now I will try to go back and look at those hurricane seasons.
          >
          > Fred
          >
          >
          >
          >
          > --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., "pawnfart" <mike@u...> wrote:
          > > With Boris gone now,
          > >
          > > SOI has gone positive big time. My veiw is that SSTs will cool
          > very
          > > rapidly with the induction from winds, as warm as they are.
          > >
          > >
          > >
          >
          http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/SeasonalClimateOutlook/SouthernOscil
          > > lationIndex/30DaySOIValues/
          > >
          > > 6-Jun-2002 1014.84 1013.55 0.00 -20.10 -9.61
          > > 7-Jun-2002 1014.59 1013.25 0.30 -20.25 -9.54
          > > 8-Jun-2002 1014.45 1013.05 0.70 -19.13 -9.52
          > > 9-Jun-2002 1013.50 1012.25 -0.20 -17.59 -9.57
          > > 10-Jun-2002 1015.06 1012.60 8.20 -16.13 -9.36
          > > 11-Jun-2002 1015.56 1012.25 14.20 -14.86 -8.88
        • fredwx
          Of the 5, only 2 were hurricanes, one tropical storm and 2 TD s. Also 4 of the five occured during the El-Nino years. ... I ... matched ... April ...
          Message 4 of 5 , Jun 11, 2002
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            Of the 5, only 2 were hurricanes, one tropical storm and 2 TD's. Also
            4 of the five occured during the El-Nino years.


            --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., fredwx <no_reply@y...> wrote:
            > A quick check of those 10 years showed that on 5 or the 10 a
            > hurricane or TS affected the Central West Coast of Florida (Tampa
            > Area)...
            >
            >
            > --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., fredwx <no_reply@y...> wrote:
            > > I emailed the Austrailian Climnate Information site:
            > > http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/index.html
            > > regarding the 10 years that the current SOI matched in the past.
            I
            > > received this information in response:
            > >
            > >
            > > "The first 10 SOI analogue years are as follows:
            > >
            > > 1 5 1895
            > > 2 4 1991 el nino
            > > 3 6 1946 el nino
            > > 4 6 1949
            > > 5 4 1980
            > > 6 4 1888 el nino
            > > 7 5 1913 el nino
            > > 8 6 1965 el nino
            > > 9 5 1977 el nino
            > > 10 6 1969 el nino
            > >
            > > The analogues are listed by the last month of the
            > > nine-month matching period. For example, analogue number 1
            matched
            > > the SOI from Sep 1894 to May 1895, number 2 from Aug 1990 to
            April
            > > 1991 etc.....
            > >
            > > Now I will try to go back and look at those hurricane seasons.
            > >
            > > Fred
            > >
            > >
            > >
            > >
            > > --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., "pawnfart" <mike@u...> wrote:
            > > > With Boris gone now,
            > > >
            > > > SOI has gone positive big time. My veiw is that SSTs will cool
            > > very
            > > > rapidly with the induction from winds, as warm as they are.
            > > >
            > > >
            > > >
            > >
            >
            http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/SeasonalClimateOutlook/SouthernOscil
            > > > lationIndex/30DaySOIValues/
            > > >
            > > > 6-Jun-2002 1014.84 1013.55 0.00 -20.10 -9.61
            > > > 7-Jun-2002 1014.59 1013.25 0.30 -20.25 -9.54
            > > > 8-Jun-2002 1014.45 1013.05 0.70 -19.13 -9.52
            > > > 9-Jun-2002 1013.50 1012.25 -0.20 -17.59 -9.57
            > > > 10-Jun-2002 1015.06 1012.60 8.20 -16.13 -9.36
            > > > 11-Jun-2002 1015.56 1012.25 14.20 -14.86 -8.88
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