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Re: Horrible drought in Arizona

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  • fredwx
    Here is a link to the drought index: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/regional_mon itoring/palmer.gif ... levels ... 12 ... N. ... of
    Message 1 of 2 , Apr 24, 2002
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      Here is a link to the drought index:

      http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/regional_mon
      itoring/palmer.gif


      --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., "pawnfart" <mike@u...> wrote:
      > The Arizona drought condition right now is the worst in 107 years.
      > Some rainfall records show they are -21.87" behind 2001. Water
      levels
      > in reserviors are at an ALL time low, most are at 22% or LESS
      > capacity, water wells are going dry in areas. They are loosing 10-
      12
      > acres a MONTH of Ponderosa Pines.
      >
      > I had a buddy in the Army from Arizona I used to tease about his
      > cactus in his back yard, but he used to explain to me how wrong I
      > was. Of course, I have been through there many times, especially
      N.
      > Arizona, and I knew that parts of Arizona and New Mexico are some
      of
      > the most wooded areas in the west.
      >
      > To follow the drought and wildland fire danger go to
      www.wmonline.com
      > click on fire report. You'll see this drought is just as bad if not
      > WORSE than the east coast and SE drought.
      >
      > From a cirrus standpoint, I called for this drought and was very
      > concerned about it last year.
      >
      > Allow me to explain.
      >
      > Last year, President Bush met with the Mexican President. The
      Mexican
      > President practically was begging Bush that over flows from Lake
      Mead
      > would be allowed to go through to the Gulf of California. The
      ecology
      > reason stated was for bottle neck dolphins and other wildlife in
      the
      > Gulf eustuary that suffered as a result of the poor flows from the
      > Colorado delta. Sadly, it appears that Palm Springs gulf courses
      got
      > that water.
      >
      > I realize if this is the first time you have read my words, I make
      no
      > sense. But after awhile--it does. And for starters, I must say that
      > May flowers bring April showers.
      >
      > Understand, studies have been made the correlate the SSTs in the
      Gulf
      > of California with monsoonal rain patterns to AZ. Those SSTS have
      > been cold. So, the question is why?
      >
      > The answer is all electrical.
      >
      > With warmer oceans, the North Pacific gyre conducts electrical
      > currents better. Sadly for AZ, the gyre generally contains east to
      > west moving and cirrus reducing currents to the north of the gyre
      (if
      > you go too far north you hit the Alaska current, geared of the
      gyre,
      > which does indeed move the other way and interestingly, in my view
      is
      > the cause of the start of a neo glacial, provided the oceans get
      warm
      > enough, but that is for another post). Hence, the result is that
      the
      > tropics through the regions of China and Japan get relatively more
      > cirrus enhancement, whereas the SSTs for the west coast and gulf
      area
      > get relatively cold SSTs. I know, confusing.
      >
      > Further, the electrical insulation, once cirrus enhancement
      > electrically does occur, is poor from poor hydrate conditions.
      > Despite the Hoover dam, huge amounts of biological material still
      can
      > flow from Lake Mead during some spring rains. This flows to the
      Gulf
      > of California and causes methane to be produced by methanogens, and
      > hydrates form, freezing from the methane, and coat the Gulf with
      > insulating hydrates. This allows more electrical enhancement of
      > cirrus clouds, and over ambiant winds and time, provides for warmer
      > SSTs. Warmer SSTs mean more monsoonal flow for AZ.
      >
      > Finally, the dams of China in particular have been harsh on all of
      > the N. Pacific. But mostly, it is Lake Mead, if you want to talk
      > human activity. You can also, of course, talk about world wide
      wamer
      > ocean from CO2 as methanogen food and as a GHG. But that isn't a
      > regional problem (and why CO2 is not your Gaia forcing as it cannot
      > exact a regional biological climate feedback whereas cirrus clouds
      > can). All higher CO2 can do is in general melt hydrates and ice
      which
      > means that, especially to the northern parts of the gyres, there
      will
      > be less electrical insulation. Again, as the gyres turn these
      waters
      > into the California current, there are more cold anomalies for the
      > west coast.
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