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Re: More on the NOAA's blown call

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  • fredwx
    You are correct about it being similar to last year at this time. I guess we will have to wait several more weeks to see if this dissipates or not. ... that
    Message 1 of 4 , Mar 27, 2002
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      You are correct about it being similar to last year at this time. I
      guess we will have to wait several more weeks to see if this
      dissipates or not.

      --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., pawnfart <no_reply@y...> wrote:
      > I saw that too (3/26) but I also checked out last year and it is
      > about the same as last year. I suspect that for a short period you
      > do get some "wash" of biological material from South America that
      > gives it some warm near shore warm anomalies but THE question is
      > whether it turns El Nino or like last year, not. In the past there
      > has always been warm anomalies around the Southern Oceans and for
      > that matter along the west coast and we don't even have close to
      that
      > right now, so I continue to stand by what I have been saying. Wait
      > for one more month and see!
      >
      > --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., fredwx <no_reply@y...> wrote:
      > > Seems to me the SST Anamolies are increasing over the Eastern
      > > Equatorial Pacific which is where the El Nino first appears.
      > >
      > >
      >
      http://psbsgi1.nesdis.noaa.gov:8080/PSB/EPS/SST/data/anomnight.3.26.20
      > > 02.gif
      > >
      > >
      > > --- In methanehydrateclub@y..., pawnfart <no_reply@y...> wrote:
      > > >
      > > >
      > > >
      > > > http://psbsgi1.nesdis.noaa.gov:8080/PSB/EPS/SST/climo.html
      > > >
      > > > SST anomalies still don't look like El Nino. Only things of
      > > interest
      > > > on the most recent charting is the SST cold anomalies near the
      > Rio,
      > > > Orinoco, West African rivers, and no hot anomalies near the
      > > > Mississippi, and the VERY cold anomalies off the coast of the
      NE
      > US
      > > > as well as N of Japan extending all the way to the US and the
      > cold
      > > > anomalies extending south of New Zealand as related to B-15 and
      > the
      > > > hot anomlies near B-22 and what's left of that Bay were a WEST
      > > moving
      > > > wind makes up the ONLY warm anomaly in the Southern Ocean
      > > indicative
      > > > of an El Nino.
      > > >
      > > > There not only will be no El Nino and not only are the SSTs
      > similar
      > > > as last year which led to no El Nino but the river behavior is
      > even
      > > > more set in, particularly on the east coast.
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