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Gaia and Big Blue

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  • Pawnfart
    Kasporov and Big Blue. Big Blue, a super computer, beat the chess champain of the world a few years ago. Computers, as you know, can t think or
    Message 1 of 702 , Feb 7, 2002
      Kasporov and Big Blue.<br><br>Big Blue, a super
      computer, beat the chess champain of the world a few years
      ago.<br><br>Computers, as you know, can't think or learn. They can
      calculate as they are programmed and that is about it.
      However, they can make a lot of calculations. <br><br>Gaia
      is much like Big Blue. Methanogens, 1/1000th the
      size of a human cell, contain a tiny coil of DNA that
      has modulated climate for billions of years. One
      might ask how such a tiny amount of information in that
      coil could do all that--it's a valid question. How
      could that coil be smarter than the smartest cloud
      scientist out there? If you look at the output of a
      computer in a chess game, the moves don't take much space.
      It's D3 to D4, that type of thing, for 50 moves or so.
      The devil, of course, is figuring out what move is
      right.<br><br>In this case, like Big Blue, nature has provided for
      huge numbers of calculations with nature on the other
      end of the table. My view is that not only do we not
      yet appreciate what nature has given us with
      methanogens, but we doen't appreciate the player on the other
      side of the table. <br><br>Here is an example.
      Recently volcanoes were found under the Arctic ice.
      Underwater volcanic activity would seemingly change heat
      dynamics of the ocean and could provide for feedbacks that
      aren't living. Yet, methane hydrate fields have a
      tendency to melt as the field is buried deeper in the
      ocean bottom--only the surface is frozen. <br><br>We
      live in great times. Humans now are becoming, with our
      tools, more powerful then nature herself at defining
      genetic intelligence. Recently, for instance, a plea for
      PCs was put out by researchers trying to find
      chemical fits against anthrax--to find a drug cure. Huge
      chemical data bases were used and by connecting computers
      in parallel, the problem may be solved. Technology,
      however, is a double edged sword. Which indeed is what we
      are talking about here.<br><br>Haphazard electrical
      fields, say from sun flares, isn't going to change what
      are talking about. The earth's ionsphere is pretty
      stabile. So is the magnetic field. Patchs of hydrate
      fields are large enough such that a probability idea of
      the law of large numbers might start to apply. But
      all of that is secondary to a living earth that has
      been dealing with these kinds of complexity and fed
      back exactly what was required for billions of years,
      with losers outed systemically.
    • b1blancer_29501
      On Feb 28th, the Interplanetary Magnetic Field swung to a strong south-pointing orientation. That, coupled with an elevated solar wind speed and density,
      Message 702 of 702 , Mar 1, 2002
        On Feb 28th, the Interplanetary Magnetic Field
        swung to a strong south-pointing orientation. That,
        coupled with an elevated solar wind speed and density,
        triggered a G-1 class geomagnetic storm. The result was
        some high latitude aurora. See this link for a
        photgraph of aurora observed over Quebec :
        <a href=http://www.spaceweather.com/aurora/images/01mar02/Moussette2.jpg target=new>http://www.spaceweather.com/aurora/images/01mar02/Moussette2.jpg</a> . As of right now, there are 3 sunspot regions,
        namely 9839, 9842, and 9845, that appear to be capable
        of producing M-class flares. Regions 9839 and 9842
        are close to rotating out of view over the western
        limb of the solar disk. Sunspot region 9845, however,
        is close to the sun's central meridian. A rather
        large coronal hole is also approaching the sun's
        central meridian, and coming into an Earth-pointing
        position. High speed colar wind gusts are likely around the
        first of next week.<br><br>The current solar and
        geomagnetic conditions are :<br><br>NOAA sunspot number :
        153<br>SFI : 188<br>A index : 10<br>K index : 1<br><br>Solar
        wind speed : 372.3 km/sec<br>Solar wind density : 4.4
        protons/cc<br>Solar wind pressure : 1.1 nPa<br><br>IMF : 8.4
        nT<br>IMF Orientation : 0.7 nT North<br><br>Conditions for
        the last 24 hours : <br>Solar activity was low. The
        geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Stratwarm Alert
        exists Friday.<br><br>Forecast for the next 24 hours
        :<br>Solar activity will be low to moderate. The geomagnetic
        field will be quiet to unsettled.<br><br>Solar Activity
        Forecast :<br>Solar activity is expected to be low to
        moderate for the next three days. Region 9845 is a
        possible source for isolated M-class
        flares.<br><br>Geomagnetic activity forecast :<br>Geomagnetic field activity
        is expected to be mainly quiet to unsettled, until
        the onset of high speed stream effects from a
        recurrent coronal hole begin to develop by day three of the
        forecast period. Isolated active conditions are
        anticipated thereafter.<br><br>Recent significant solar flare
        activity :<br>None
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