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Link and comments--AZ geo prof

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  • Pawnfart
    http://www.tompaine.com/feature.cfm?ID=4988 Comment: This is a link to an
    Message 1 of 702 , Feb 3, 2002
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      <a href=http://www.tompaine.com/feature.cfm?ID=4988 target=new>http://www.tompaine.com/feature.cfm?ID=4988</a><br><br>Comment:<br><br>This is a link to an interview of Jonathan Overpeck, a
      professor of geosciences, who directs the Institute for the
      Study of Planet Earth at the University of Arizona in
      Tucson. What I think he is struggling with is the "chaos"
      or probability based science predicting a "range" of
      climate warming in the future and a certain level of
      uncertainty and then the distortion of that uncertainty--in
      light of paleo evidence of much wider changes
      associated with CO2. Now, I think if he starts to understand
      the BIOLOGY side of climate, and researcher like him
      start to understand the cirrus/electrical field
      mechanism of hydrates as an insulation in the dynamic of
      Gaia, we are going to see the biggest outcry from them.
      Biological math is MUCH different then probability math that
      is current the strawman of fossil fuel interests.
    • b1blancer_29501
      On Feb 28th, the Interplanetary Magnetic Field swung to a strong south-pointing orientation. That, coupled with an elevated solar wind speed and density,
      Message 702 of 702 , Mar 1, 2002
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        On Feb 28th, the Interplanetary Magnetic Field
        swung to a strong south-pointing orientation. That,
        coupled with an elevated solar wind speed and density,
        triggered a G-1 class geomagnetic storm. The result was
        some high latitude aurora. See this link for a
        photgraph of aurora observed over Quebec :
        <a href=http://www.spaceweather.com/aurora/images/01mar02/Moussette2.jpg target=new>http://www.spaceweather.com/aurora/images/01mar02/Moussette2.jpg</a> . As of right now, there are 3 sunspot regions,
        namely 9839, 9842, and 9845, that appear to be capable
        of producing M-class flares. Regions 9839 and 9842
        are close to rotating out of view over the western
        limb of the solar disk. Sunspot region 9845, however,
        is close to the sun's central meridian. A rather
        large coronal hole is also approaching the sun's
        central meridian, and coming into an Earth-pointing
        position. High speed colar wind gusts are likely around the
        first of next week.<br><br>The current solar and
        geomagnetic conditions are :<br><br>NOAA sunspot number :
        153<br>SFI : 188<br>A index : 10<br>K index : 1<br><br>Solar
        wind speed : 372.3 km/sec<br>Solar wind density : 4.4
        protons/cc<br>Solar wind pressure : 1.1 nPa<br><br>IMF : 8.4
        nT<br>IMF Orientation : 0.7 nT North<br><br>Conditions for
        the last 24 hours : <br>Solar activity was low. The
        geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Stratwarm Alert
        exists Friday.<br><br>Forecast for the next 24 hours
        :<br>Solar activity will be low to moderate. The geomagnetic
        field will be quiet to unsettled.<br><br>Solar Activity
        Forecast :<br>Solar activity is expected to be low to
        moderate for the next three days. Region 9845 is a
        possible source for isolated M-class
        flares.<br><br>Geomagnetic activity forecast :<br>Geomagnetic field activity
        is expected to be mainly quiet to unsettled, until
        the onset of high speed stream effects from a
        recurrent coronal hole begin to develop by day three of the
        forecast period. Isolated active conditions are
        anticipated thereafter.<br><br>Recent significant solar flare
        activity :<br>None
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