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Re: patterns

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  • Pawnfart
    The magnetic south pole actually has the characteristics of the north pole of a bar magnetic--or negitive. The current around Antarctica moves EAST, so
    Message 1 of 702 , Jan 1, 2002
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      The magnetic south pole actually has the
      characteristics of the north pole of a bar magnetic--or
      negitive.<br><br>The current around Antarctica moves EAST, so per
      Fleming right hand rule it will induct a current into the
      earth of electrons. The warmer the waters, the more
      electrons that will be inducted into the earth near the
      magnetic south (-) pole, and the more negitive it will
      become at the surface and below. Above, however, the
      isobars are close and during the winter the earth is
      tilted and close to the sun in its elliptical orbit.
      That negitive charge will attract protons from space
      and even, with a good flaring event, change the way
      cirrus behave in the air above the more negitive field.
      This interaction is complex and perhaps even
      impossible at this point to describe even qualatatively.
      That said, we have an excellant proxy--the SSTs
      themselves in the Southern Oceans, which turn anomaly warm
      about 4 months before the El Nino hits. The SSTs are
      proxy of the electrical behavior since over time,
      despite ambiant wind conditions, the cirrus clouds give a
      signal. If their is any doubt about this--see Lindzen's
      iris paper and understand he has merely found
      something which indicates direction of current and wind
      induct electrical currents and alter cirrus behavior in
      a measurable way.<br><br>The pattern indeed does
      match a celestrial event--the 22 year flaring cycle.
      Theodor over at John Daly's site has shown a very
      powerful statistical relationship between ENSO and the SO
      w/ flaring. Warren B. White of Scripps has shown
      another forcing having to do with salinity and ice
      interactions in the Southern Oceans, how there is an air ocean
      coupling. This is proof of the electrical, cirrus and
      melting glacial implications. It is hence my view that
      between the flaring cycle and likely anthropegenic caused
      melting of Antarctica -- predictions on ENSO can be made.
      This information can be used to predict SSTs, which is
      my favorite tool, used to predict weather and
      understand climate and climate change.
    • b1blancer_29501
      On Feb 28th, the Interplanetary Magnetic Field swung to a strong south-pointing orientation. That, coupled with an elevated solar wind speed and density,
      Message 702 of 702 , Mar 1 9:47 PM
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        On Feb 28th, the Interplanetary Magnetic Field
        swung to a strong south-pointing orientation. That,
        coupled with an elevated solar wind speed and density,
        triggered a G-1 class geomagnetic storm. The result was
        some high latitude aurora. See this link for a
        photgraph of aurora observed over Quebec :
        <a href=http://www.spaceweather.com/aurora/images/01mar02/Moussette2.jpg target=new>http://www.spaceweather.com/aurora/images/01mar02/Moussette2.jpg</a> . As of right now, there are 3 sunspot regions,
        namely 9839, 9842, and 9845, that appear to be capable
        of producing M-class flares. Regions 9839 and 9842
        are close to rotating out of view over the western
        limb of the solar disk. Sunspot region 9845, however,
        is close to the sun's central meridian. A rather
        large coronal hole is also approaching the sun's
        central meridian, and coming into an Earth-pointing
        position. High speed colar wind gusts are likely around the
        first of next week.<br><br>The current solar and
        geomagnetic conditions are :<br><br>NOAA sunspot number :
        153<br>SFI : 188<br>A index : 10<br>K index : 1<br><br>Solar
        wind speed : 372.3 km/sec<br>Solar wind density : 4.4
        protons/cc<br>Solar wind pressure : 1.1 nPa<br><br>IMF : 8.4
        nT<br>IMF Orientation : 0.7 nT North<br><br>Conditions for
        the last 24 hours : <br>Solar activity was low. The
        geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Stratwarm Alert
        exists Friday.<br><br>Forecast for the next 24 hours
        :<br>Solar activity will be low to moderate. The geomagnetic
        field will be quiet to unsettled.<br><br>Solar Activity
        Forecast :<br>Solar activity is expected to be low to
        moderate for the next three days. Region 9845 is a
        possible source for isolated M-class
        flares.<br><br>Geomagnetic activity forecast :<br>Geomagnetic field activity
        is expected to be mainly quiet to unsettled, until
        the onset of high speed stream effects from a
        recurrent coronal hole begin to develop by day three of the
        forecast period. Isolated active conditions are
        anticipated thereafter.<br><br>Recent significant solar flare
        activity :<br>None
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