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Fred,

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  • Pawnfart
    I am a scientist, not a believer . I even have difficulty with God. And if you took a look at that paper, the SSTs arent the only thing in his munipulated
    Message 1 of 702 , Nov 5, 2001
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      I am a scientist, not a "believer". I even have
      difficulty with God. And if you took a look at that paper,
      the SSTs arent the only thing in his munipulated data
      set--he forgets to mention direction of current--which is
      EAST for the equatorial and WEST for the north and
      south equatorials. There is your explaination. You need
      to think it over.<br><br>On Michelle. That high
      piled warm waters along the Florida coast. These warm
      salt waters are going to have a higher specific
      conductivity than colder salt waters. This is hard, testible
      science. If you don't agree get some saltwater and
      electrons and microwave the water and test again. Warm salt
      water will induct a current better, and hold it better,
      and the electrical surface makes the ionosphere more
      positively charge and enhances cirrus. OTOH, colder waters
      will be more positively charged and will attract
      negitive charges in the ionosphere and repell
      cirrus.<br><br>Now, the reason I bring this up is the convection from
      Michelle is all to Florida's side of the eye, which looks
      like it is dry and HUGE. You have very cold cold
      waters on the surface and nothing is conducting and we
      have some pretty dramatic flaring conditions right now
      according to B-1 and there is a strong electron stream with
      that proton stream--coming from the sun. When these
      particles get sorted in the ionosphere and magnesphere,
      SSTs play a HUGE role. At the end of the day, seasonal
      problems with tropical activity are all about cold SSTs
      because the eye gets too big from too much of a positive
      charge in the "eye" and you can't form a convective
      high. Pinhole eyes, OTOH, have HUGE positive charges
      but SO much convection near the center that there is
      massive pressures, electrical and thermal--this requires
      VERY warm SSTs so that specific conductivity can
      handle the electrical currents involved.
    • b1blancer_29501
      On Feb 28th, the Interplanetary Magnetic Field swung to a strong south-pointing orientation. That, coupled with an elevated solar wind speed and density,
      Message 702 of 702 , Mar 1, 2002
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        On Feb 28th, the Interplanetary Magnetic Field
        swung to a strong south-pointing orientation. That,
        coupled with an elevated solar wind speed and density,
        triggered a G-1 class geomagnetic storm. The result was
        some high latitude aurora. See this link for a
        photgraph of aurora observed over Quebec :
        <a href=http://www.spaceweather.com/aurora/images/01mar02/Moussette2.jpg target=new>http://www.spaceweather.com/aurora/images/01mar02/Moussette2.jpg</a> . As of right now, there are 3 sunspot regions,
        namely 9839, 9842, and 9845, that appear to be capable
        of producing M-class flares. Regions 9839 and 9842
        are close to rotating out of view over the western
        limb of the solar disk. Sunspot region 9845, however,
        is close to the sun's central meridian. A rather
        large coronal hole is also approaching the sun's
        central meridian, and coming into an Earth-pointing
        position. High speed colar wind gusts are likely around the
        first of next week.<br><br>The current solar and
        geomagnetic conditions are :<br><br>NOAA sunspot number :
        153<br>SFI : 188<br>A index : 10<br>K index : 1<br><br>Solar
        wind speed : 372.3 km/sec<br>Solar wind density : 4.4
        protons/cc<br>Solar wind pressure : 1.1 nPa<br><br>IMF : 8.4
        nT<br>IMF Orientation : 0.7 nT North<br><br>Conditions for
        the last 24 hours : <br>Solar activity was low. The
        geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Stratwarm Alert
        exists Friday.<br><br>Forecast for the next 24 hours
        :<br>Solar activity will be low to moderate. The geomagnetic
        field will be quiet to unsettled.<br><br>Solar Activity
        Forecast :<br>Solar activity is expected to be low to
        moderate for the next three days. Region 9845 is a
        possible source for isolated M-class
        flares.<br><br>Geomagnetic activity forecast :<br>Geomagnetic field activity
        is expected to be mainly quiet to unsettled, until
        the onset of high speed stream effects from a
        recurrent coronal hole begin to develop by day three of the
        forecast period. Isolated active conditions are
        anticipated thereafter.<br><br>Recent significant solar flare
        activity :<br>None
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