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The Florida Depression

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  • Pawnfart
    A few hydrated thoughts on this storm. Understand that the GOM is a gyre with currents that move from a central bulge that gets right turned by coriolis
    Message 1 of 702 , Sep 12, 2001
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      A few hydrated thoughts on this
      storm.<br>Understand that the GOM is a gyre with currents that move
      from a central bulge that gets right turned by
      coriolis forces, to move in a clockwise direction. That
      means that near the edges of the southeast part of this
      gyre, there is a WESTWARD moving current. This would
      enhance cirrus, no matter what was going on in the air
      above it.<br><br>Add to this a surface wind moving
      toward a low, in a WESTERN direction, and you are going
      to have an area of cirrus enhancement. As the low
      stalled over this area--that is what you got.<br><br>Add
      to the situation three years of drougth and earlier
      storms, and you have a pretty substantial detritus
      flow--and a very healthy methane hydrate zone. This area
      becomes electrically insulated. <br><br>If this storm has
      cold air to the northeast of it, as it moves, expect
      it to strengthen--but the biggest impact is what we
      have seen already--lots of rain to Florida. This is
      Gaia at her best, feed backing rain to those areas
      that have rich biological activity that leads to yet
      more detritus flow.<br><br>I would point out that 1998
      as an analogy year continues to hold and would
      predict several small tropical storms in the GOM, along
      w/ an NC storm, Georges, and Mitch (there were
      several central N. Atlantic storms.) All it takes is a
      short break in the flaring activity and a Cape Verde
      wave does its work.
    • b1blancer_29501
      On Feb 28th, the Interplanetary Magnetic Field swung to a strong south-pointing orientation. That, coupled with an elevated solar wind speed and density,
      Message 702 of 702 , Mar 1, 2002
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        On Feb 28th, the Interplanetary Magnetic Field
        swung to a strong south-pointing orientation. That,
        coupled with an elevated solar wind speed and density,
        triggered a G-1 class geomagnetic storm. The result was
        some high latitude aurora. See this link for a
        photgraph of aurora observed over Quebec :
        <a href=http://www.spaceweather.com/aurora/images/01mar02/Moussette2.jpg target=new>http://www.spaceweather.com/aurora/images/01mar02/Moussette2.jpg</a> . As of right now, there are 3 sunspot regions,
        namely 9839, 9842, and 9845, that appear to be capable
        of producing M-class flares. Regions 9839 and 9842
        are close to rotating out of view over the western
        limb of the solar disk. Sunspot region 9845, however,
        is close to the sun's central meridian. A rather
        large coronal hole is also approaching the sun's
        central meridian, and coming into an Earth-pointing
        position. High speed colar wind gusts are likely around the
        first of next week.<br><br>The current solar and
        geomagnetic conditions are :<br><br>NOAA sunspot number :
        153<br>SFI : 188<br>A index : 10<br>K index : 1<br><br>Solar
        wind speed : 372.3 km/sec<br>Solar wind density : 4.4
        protons/cc<br>Solar wind pressure : 1.1 nPa<br><br>IMF : 8.4
        nT<br>IMF Orientation : 0.7 nT North<br><br>Conditions for
        the last 24 hours : <br>Solar activity was low. The
        geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Stratwarm Alert
        exists Friday.<br><br>Forecast for the next 24 hours
        :<br>Solar activity will be low to moderate. The geomagnetic
        field will be quiet to unsettled.<br><br>Solar Activity
        Forecast :<br>Solar activity is expected to be low to
        moderate for the next three days. Region 9845 is a
        possible source for isolated M-class
        flares.<br><br>Geomagnetic activity forecast :<br>Geomagnetic field activity
        is expected to be mainly quiet to unsettled, until
        the onset of high speed stream effects from a
        recurrent coronal hole begin to develop by day three of the
        forecast period. Isolated active conditions are
        anticipated thereafter.<br><br>Recent significant solar flare
        activity :<br>None
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