Loading ...
Sorry, an error occurred while loading the content.

El Nino and flaring

Expand Messages
  • Pawnfart
    How does this happen? Actually, it is kind of simple. The gyres moving warm surface waters to the west of basins causes, for instance, the Pacific to be
    Message 1 of 702 , Sep 6, 2001
    • 0 Attachment
      How does this happen? Actually, it is kind of
      simple. The gyres moving warm surface waters to the west
      of basins causes, for instance, the Pacific to be
      substantially warmer to the west than to the east. Because
      warmer salt water is more conductive, it retains a
      higher charge capacity and has a better ability to
      enhance cirrus. HOWEVER, when an El Nino flaring event
      occurs, particles from the flaring event, be they protons
      or electrons, are attracted to the opposit regions
      of charge. So if an area is cirrus enhancing, say,
      with a negitive charge, protons will be sorted there,
      and electons the other way--just like magnets,
      opposits attract!!!!!<br><br>SSTs then become controlled
      by the suns radiation alone, and the equatorials
      become very warm, even where the western moving gyres
      would have been accumulating charges or created a
      charge seperation that would enhance cirrus. The charges
      become not relevant, and SSTs become defined by
      anomolies warm to the east. For instance, in the GOM,
      Florida gets rain as east of the basin. Check that
      out--El Nino rains are the only ones the Floridians are
      going to get with the dams and delta "subsiding"
      situations they face.<br><br>This then changes direction of
      prevailing winds, such that even after the flaring event is
      over, ocean electrical dynamics are
      changed.<br><br>Consistant with this, during the end of the last El Nino, a
      third van Allen belt was observed between the first and
      the second belts.
    • b1blancer_29501
      On Feb 28th, the Interplanetary Magnetic Field swung to a strong south-pointing orientation. That, coupled with an elevated solar wind speed and density,
      Message 702 of 702 , Mar 1 9:47 PM
      • 0 Attachment
        On Feb 28th, the Interplanetary Magnetic Field
        swung to a strong south-pointing orientation. That,
        coupled with an elevated solar wind speed and density,
        triggered a G-1 class geomagnetic storm. The result was
        some high latitude aurora. See this link for a
        photgraph of aurora observed over Quebec :
        <a href=http://www.spaceweather.com/aurora/images/01mar02/Moussette2.jpg target=new>http://www.spaceweather.com/aurora/images/01mar02/Moussette2.jpg</a> . As of right now, there are 3 sunspot regions,
        namely 9839, 9842, and 9845, that appear to be capable
        of producing M-class flares. Regions 9839 and 9842
        are close to rotating out of view over the western
        limb of the solar disk. Sunspot region 9845, however,
        is close to the sun's central meridian. A rather
        large coronal hole is also approaching the sun's
        central meridian, and coming into an Earth-pointing
        position. High speed colar wind gusts are likely around the
        first of next week.<br><br>The current solar and
        geomagnetic conditions are :<br><br>NOAA sunspot number :
        153<br>SFI : 188<br>A index : 10<br>K index : 1<br><br>Solar
        wind speed : 372.3 km/sec<br>Solar wind density : 4.4
        protons/cc<br>Solar wind pressure : 1.1 nPa<br><br>IMF : 8.4
        nT<br>IMF Orientation : 0.7 nT North<br><br>Conditions for
        the last 24 hours : <br>Solar activity was low. The
        geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Stratwarm Alert
        exists Friday.<br><br>Forecast for the next 24 hours
        :<br>Solar activity will be low to moderate. The geomagnetic
        field will be quiet to unsettled.<br><br>Solar Activity
        Forecast :<br>Solar activity is expected to be low to
        moderate for the next three days. Region 9845 is a
        possible source for isolated M-class
        flares.<br><br>Geomagnetic activity forecast :<br>Geomagnetic field activity
        is expected to be mainly quiet to unsettled, until
        the onset of high speed stream effects from a
        recurrent coronal hole begin to develop by day three of the
        forecast period. Isolated active conditions are
        anticipated thereafter.<br><br>Recent significant solar flare
        activity :<br>None
      Your message has been successfully submitted and would be delivered to recipients shortly.