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Re: Solar Activity Report for 8/30/04

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  • mike@usinter.net
    This is going to be interesting in conjunction with Frances. ... visible. ... storms ... next
    Message 1 of 2 , Sep 1, 2004
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      This is going to be interesting in conjunction with Frances.

      --- In methanehydrateclub@yahoogroups.com, "David" <b1blancer1@e...>
      wrote:
      > ** G-2 Geomagnetic Storm in Progress **
      > ** Aurora Watch In Effect **
      >
      > Well folks, this one sure caught me by surprise. To tell you the
      > truth, I'm having trouble figuring out exactly which flare caused
      > this. There was a C2.8 flare early on the 30th, but if a CME from
      > that is already here, it got here in one heck of a big hurry. More
      > likely, a CME came from an event on the 27th or 28th, and the space
      > weather folks do mention an erupting prominence on the 27th. At any
      > rate, keep an eye out for aurora tonight if you're in the higher
      > latitudes. A south-pointing interplanetary magnetic field is in
      > place, and probably enhancing the geomagnetic activity. I woudn't
      > expect this to last very long, and there are no big sunspots
      visible.
      > In fact, the solar disk is almost blank.
      >
      > The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are :
      >
      > NOAA sunspot number : 30
      > SFI : 90
      > A index : 24
      > K index : 6
      >
      > Solar wind speed : 436.5 km/sec
      > Solar wind density : 6.7 protons/cc
      > Solar wind pressure : n/a
      >
      > IMF : 8.9 nT
      > IMF Orientation : 4.7 nT South
      >
      > GOES-12 Background X-ray Flux level : B1
      >
      > Conditions for the last 24 hours :
      > Space weather for the past 24 hours has been minor. Geomagnetic
      storms
      > reaching the G1 level occurred.
      >
      > Forecast for the next 24 hours :
      > Space weather for the next 24 hours is expected to be minor.
      > Geomagnetic storms reaching the G1 level are expected.
      >
      > Solar activity forecast :
      > Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. Region 663 may
      > produce C-class flares.
      >
      > Geomagnetic activity forecast :
      > Geomagnetic activity is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the
      next
      > three days. Active conditions are possible early on day one (31 Aug)
      > due to residual effects from the CME shock observed 30 Aug.
      >
      > Recent significant solar flare actviity :
      > None
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