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Solar Activity Report for 7/10/04

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  • David
    Things are beginning to get a little bit more interesting after the recent doldrums. There are now 4 small sunspot regions visible on the solar disk. At this
    Message 1 of 1 , Jul 10, 2004
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      Things are beginning to get a little bit more interesting after the
      recent doldrums. There are now 4 small sunspot regions visible on the
      solar disk. At this time, none of them apprear to have the ability to
      generate a significant flare. Of more interest is what may be an
      active sunspot region that is close to rotating into view. It is
      glowing fairly brightly in both the ultraviolet and X-ray spectra, and
      the background X-ray flux has been rising steadily for the past 24
      hours. The Solar Flux Index has risen as well. I will be interesting
      to see what comes into view over the next couple of days.

      The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are :

      NOAA sunspot number : 58
      SFI : 93
      A index : 8
      K index : 3

      Solar wind speed : 354.7 km/sec
      Solar wind density : 4.3 protons/cc
      Solar wind pressure : 0.8 nPa

      IMF : 11.8 nT
      IMF Orientation : 0.4 nT South

      GOES-12 Background X-ray Flux level : B1

      Conditions for the last 24 hours :
      No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.

      Forecast for the next 24 hours :
      No space weather storms are expected for the next 24 hours.

      Solar activity forecast :
      Solar activity is expected to be low. The chance of a small M-class
      flare is expected to increase as the new east limb regions fully
      rotate onto the disk.

      Geomagnetic activity forecast :
      The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.

      Recent significant solar flare activity :
      None
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