Solar Activity Report for 7/10/04
- Things are beginning to get a little bit more interesting after the
recent doldrums. There are now 4 small sunspot regions visible on the
solar disk. At this time, none of them apprear to have the ability to
generate a significant flare. Of more interest is what may be an
active sunspot region that is close to rotating into view. It is
glowing fairly brightly in both the ultraviolet and X-ray spectra, and
the background X-ray flux has been rising steadily for the past 24
hours. The Solar Flux Index has risen as well. I will be interesting
to see what comes into view over the next couple of days.
The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are :
NOAA sunspot number : 58
SFI : 93
A index : 8
K index : 3
Solar wind speed : 354.7 km/sec
Solar wind density : 4.3 protons/cc
Solar wind pressure : 0.8 nPa
IMF : 11.8 nT
IMF Orientation : 0.4 nT South
GOES-12 Background X-ray Flux level : B1
Conditions for the last 24 hours :
No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.
Forecast for the next 24 hours :
No space weather storms are expected for the next 24 hours.
Solar activity forecast :
Solar activity is expected to be low. The chance of a small M-class
flare is expected to increase as the new east limb regions fully
rotate onto the disk.
Geomagnetic activity forecast :
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.
Recent significant solar flare activity :