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Re: Solar flare information

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  • Pawnfart
    B1, Thanks. If you have a chance, check out these two links:
    Message 1 of 702 , Aug 15, 2001
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      B1,<br><br>Thanks.<br><br><br>If you have a
      chance, check out these two
      links:<br><br><a href=http://psbsgi1.nesdis.noaa.gov:8080/PSB/EPS/SST/data/anomnight.4.2.2001.gif target=new>http://psbsgi1.nesdis.noaa.gov:8080/PSB/EPS/SST/data/anomnight.4.2.2001.gif</a><br><br><a href=http://psbsgi1.nesdis.noaa.gov:8080/PSB/EPS/SST/data/anomnight.5.19.2001.gif target=new>http://psbsgi1.nesdis.noaa.gov:8080/PSB/EPS/SST/data/anomnight.5.19.2001.gif</a><br><br>Pay particular attention to the El Nino waters off
      the coast of Peru. The flaring event you describe in
      April must be considered in light of the proximaty of
      the earth to the sun--in the winter it is closest and
      with its elliptical path in April the earth is really
      starting to move away from the sun, and seasonal winds
      that would decrease cirrus from flaring are starting
      to kick in, as the Equatorial is a counter
      wind/current and moving EAST. But one can CLEARLY see a warm
      anomaly forming from the flaring (see
      <a href=http://www.ssiatty.com/climate/flaring.html target=new>http://www.ssiatty.com/climate/flaring.html</a> ). They one can see the lack of flaring later in
      May. That warm anomaly then moved, as you can see,
      northwest to the west of Central America. It was then, in
      May, AFTER the flaring, we had our only May CAT 4 East
      Pac cane in recorded history. Flaring is bad on canes
      because you have cirrus enhancement not connected to
      ocean SSTs and current direction, so that it is
      difficult to have ambiant wind connections form where all
      levels of the atmosphere are favorable. But what
      happened there is a very warm anomaly massed during the
      flaring and then the flaring ended and that warm anomaly
      moved WEST, were it was both warm and inducting
      west.<br><br>Question. That data you presented. How much of it is
      particle information of protons or electrons moving in the
      solar winds? What comprises the flaring. My theory is
      simply that the flaring causes both a greater ionosphere
      AND greater movement of the ionosphere, which in turn
      creates upward electrical vectors that enhance cirrus.
      <br><br>BTW, I wonder if that Cape Verde depression is going
      to be the Alberto II I forecasted in April. If you
      go to my link
      <a href=http://www.ssiatty.com/climate/2001hurricane.html target=new>http://www.ssiatty.com/climate/2001hurricane.html</a> you can see my prediction for it. Since then the
      prediction is the same but the rationale has varied. It
      isn't just the dams along the Great Lakes but the fact
      that the Great Lakes are themselves low, ultimately
      from the China dams situation. Africa dams are not
      starting to kick in delayed sed and flows and you can see
      from the recent anomalies off the coast of Africa how
      this is so, combined with the persistant cool
      anomalies off the US east coast--spells Alberto II.
    • b1blancer_29501
      On Feb 28th, the Interplanetary Magnetic Field swung to a strong south-pointing orientation. That, coupled with an elevated solar wind speed and density,
      Message 702 of 702 , Mar 1, 2002
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        On Feb 28th, the Interplanetary Magnetic Field
        swung to a strong south-pointing orientation. That,
        coupled with an elevated solar wind speed and density,
        triggered a G-1 class geomagnetic storm. The result was
        some high latitude aurora. See this link for a
        photgraph of aurora observed over Quebec :
        <a href=http://www.spaceweather.com/aurora/images/01mar02/Moussette2.jpg target=new>http://www.spaceweather.com/aurora/images/01mar02/Moussette2.jpg</a> . As of right now, there are 3 sunspot regions,
        namely 9839, 9842, and 9845, that appear to be capable
        of producing M-class flares. Regions 9839 and 9842
        are close to rotating out of view over the western
        limb of the solar disk. Sunspot region 9845, however,
        is close to the sun's central meridian. A rather
        large coronal hole is also approaching the sun's
        central meridian, and coming into an Earth-pointing
        position. High speed colar wind gusts are likely around the
        first of next week.<br><br>The current solar and
        geomagnetic conditions are :<br><br>NOAA sunspot number :
        153<br>SFI : 188<br>A index : 10<br>K index : 1<br><br>Solar
        wind speed : 372.3 km/sec<br>Solar wind density : 4.4
        protons/cc<br>Solar wind pressure : 1.1 nPa<br><br>IMF : 8.4
        nT<br>IMF Orientation : 0.7 nT North<br><br>Conditions for
        the last 24 hours : <br>Solar activity was low. The
        geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Stratwarm Alert
        exists Friday.<br><br>Forecast for the next 24 hours
        :<br>Solar activity will be low to moderate. The geomagnetic
        field will be quiet to unsettled.<br><br>Solar Activity
        Forecast :<br>Solar activity is expected to be low to
        moderate for the next three days. Region 9845 is a
        possible source for isolated M-class
        flares.<br><br>Geomagnetic activity forecast :<br>Geomagnetic field activity
        is expected to be mainly quiet to unsettled, until
        the onset of high speed stream effects from a
        recurrent coronal hole begin to develop by day three of the
        forecast period. Isolated active conditions are
        anticipated thereafter.<br><br>Recent significant solar flare
        activity :<br>None
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