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Early Allison like storm . . . not yet:

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  • mike@usinter.net
    but our planetary alignment and new moon brought us a super typhoon. Dianmu s history: 1-min.Winds Warning Date/Time (in Knots) Direction of Number (in UTC)
    Message 1 of 1 , Jun 15, 2004
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      but our planetary alignment and new moon brought us a super typhoon.

      Dianmu's history:

      1-min.Winds Warning Date/Time (in Knots) Direction of Number (in
      UTC) Position Sust. Gust Movement (Kts) Status Remarks --------------
      ---------------------------------------------------------------------
      --------

      001 13/0000Z 07.8N/137.4E 30 40 WNW 03 TropDep Initial Warning

      002 13/0600Z 08.2N/136.5E 30 40 WNW 07 TropDep Organizing Well

      003 13/1200Z 09.2N/136.1E 30 40 NNW 06 TropDep ...

      004 13/1800Z 09.8N/135.8E 35 45 NNW 07 TropStm Upgraded

      005 14/0000Z 09.3N/136.4E 45 55 NE 01 TropStm Relocated/Intnsfd

      006 14/0600Z 09.6N/136.5E 55 70 NNE 02 TropStm Intensified

      007 14/1200Z 09.8N/137.0E 55 70 ENE 04 TropStm ...

      008 14/1800Z 10.7N/137.4E 65 80 NNE 08 Typhoon Upgraded

      009 15/0000Z 11.2N/137.5E 70 85 N 06 Typhoon Pinhole Eye

      010 15/0600Z 11.9N/137.2E 85 105 N 07 Typhoon Strong Intensification

      011 15/1200Z 12.7N/136.9E 120 145 NNW 09 Typhoon Becoming SuperTy

      012 15/1800Z 13.4N/136.8E 145 175 N 07 SuperTy 15-NM. Eye/S*

      Basically this storm went from Cat1-Cat5 in 12 hours. This occurred
      while the tropical feature started to move up the GOM, and as I
      stated, a reversing SOI is a really bad sign electro mechanically
      for cyclonic evolution. IOWs, in the Pacific you have this huge
      point EMF event that changes the patterns of convection, charge
      separations, and DC couplings in fair weather zones--and impacts the
      way storms form all the way to the US. In this specific example, the
      SOI ran strongly negative, and historically a strongly negative SOI
      means no hurricanes or even severe weather, which, as you may see by
      know, are related electrically:

      http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/SeasonalClimateOutlook/SouthernOsci
      llationIndex/30DaySOIValues/

      12-Jun-2004 1015.26 1013.85 0.80 10.04 -0.76

      13-Jun-2004 1013.60 1014.60 -16.10 9.28 -1.10

      14-Jun-2004 1013.90 1014.50 -13.20 8.30 -1.55

      15-Jun-2004 1013.76 1015.00 -17.70 6.87 -2.05

      16-Jun-2004 1013.59 1015.60 -23.20 5.42 -2.59

      Recall the SOI has via wind directions along the most warm and long
      conductive waters of the tropical Pacific induction and gas exchange
      via roiling meaning. The initial W. Carribean flaring starting with
      a rising SOI.

      Now, the final interesting feature here is how the intense
      convection in these shots

      http://www.weather.com/maps/maptype/satelliteworld/pacificglobalsatel
      lite_large.html

      http://www.weather.com/maps/maptype/satelliteworld/centralamericasate
      llite_large.html

      match the algae bloom here:

      http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/NaturalHazards/natural_hazards_v2.ph
      p3?img_id=12170
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