Solar Activity Report for 1/3/04
- ** Aurora Watch In Effect **
G-1 geomagnetic storm conditions have been observed within the last 24
hours, and an aurora watch remains in effect. The solar wind speed
continues to be elevated due to coronal hole effects, and should
remain so for at least the next couple of days. As mentioned before,
this is not a good time of year for aurora, but there is at least a
snall chance that some could be spotted in the higher latitudes.
Sunspot region 536 has a chance of producing an M-class flare,
although it has been quiet since its M1.0 flare on the 31st.
The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are :
NOAA sunspot number : 65
SFI : 116
A index : 25
K index : 3
Solar wind speed : 566.8 km/sec
Solar wind density : 2.0 protons/cc
Solar wind pressure : 1.4 nPa
IMF : 8.4 nT
IMF Orientation : 6.4 nT South
Conditions for the last 24 hours :
Space weather for the past 24 hours has been minor. Geomagnetic storms
reaching the G1 level occurred.
Forecast for the next 24 hours :
Space weather for the next 24 hours is expected to be minor.
Geomagnetic storms reaching the G1 level are expected.
Solar activity forecast :
Solar activity is expected to be low. Region 536 could produce an
isolated M-class event.
Geomagnetic activity forecast :
The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominately active to minor
storm conditions for 04-06 January due to the effects from a coronal
hole high speed stream.
Recent significant solar flare activity :