Solar Activity Report for 11/30/03
- Conditions remain pretty quiet, and sunspot regions 506 and 508,
formerly 486 and 488, are approaching the western limb of the solar
disk. Fortunately, or unfortunately, depending on your viewpoint,
they've been quiet this trip around. Contrast that with the
incredible activity that we saw in October and early November. More
beautiful aurora pictures are coming into spaceweather.com, and they
now have 11 pages of pics in their aurora gallery, starting in early
November. If you haven't seen it yet, take a look!
Getting back to the present, there are now 8 numbered sunspot regions
visible. For the time being, 506 and 508 are the only ones that
appear to have any real flare potential, although as I said, they've
been quiet. There is a small coronal hole that is now in an
Earth-pointing position, and the solar wind speed is approaching 500
km/sec after being down in the mid-300's yesterday. It doesn't look
like we'll see any significant geomagnetic activity from this,
however, and things should remain relatively calm for the next several
days. I will qualify that by noting that the interplanetary magnetic
field is in a south-pointing orientation. If that holds, don't rule
out the possibility of some minor geomagnetic storm conditions.
The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are :
NOAA sunspot number : 177
SFI : 166
A index : 8
K index : 3
Solar wind speed : 495.0 km/sec
Solar wind density : 5.6 protons/cc
Solar wind pressure : 2.3 nPa
IMF : 9.8 nT
IMF Orientation : 4.3 nT South
Conditions for the last 24 hours :
No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.
Forecast for the next 24 hours :
No space weather storms are expected for the next 24 hours.
Solar activity forecast :
Solar activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels.
Geomagnetic activity forecast :
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to active levels.
Isolated active conditions are anticipated beginning on 30 Nov and
continuing through 1 Dec due to a recurrent transequatorial coronal
hole speed stream. 2 Dec should experience a return to predominantly
Recent sigfnificant solar flare activity :