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Re: ENSO and Cirrus

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  • Pawnfart
    Good. Now read and consider very carefully. Lindzen himself only speculates as to what is causing this, and like you he thinks it is the clouds that create the
    Message 1 of 702 , Jul 31 11:45 AM
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      Good. Now read and consider very carefully.
      Lindzen himself only speculates as to what is causing
      this, and like you he thinks it is the clouds that
      create the cirrus. Yet his own drawings (and water vapor
      radar images) clearly show what is at issue is cirrus
      literally 75 miles away from the cloud tops, where
      curvature of the earth or any initial conditions of the ice
      crystals would surely have little meaning.<br><br>KEY:
      <br><br>Lindzen takes very small pixals to make his conclusions,
      and does not take into account biology, El Nino, AND
      DIRECTION OF CURRENT. Per Fleming's left hand rule,
      negitive induction will occur with a east moving current.
      It so happens that in the tropical West Pacific that
      is the subject of the study, the warmest water along
      the equator is also where the east moving equatorial
      current is moving. Colder water will be in the WEST
      moving North and South Equatorial currents. Get
      it?<br><br>And did you see the flaring 1998 El Nino winds and
      what west moving winds had in terms of SST anomalies?
    • b1blancer_29501
      On Feb 28th, the Interplanetary Magnetic Field swung to a strong south-pointing orientation. That, coupled with an elevated solar wind speed and density,
      Message 702 of 702 , Mar 1, 2002
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        On Feb 28th, the Interplanetary Magnetic Field
        swung to a strong south-pointing orientation. That,
        coupled with an elevated solar wind speed and density,
        triggered a G-1 class geomagnetic storm. The result was
        some high latitude aurora. See this link for a
        photgraph of aurora observed over Quebec :
        <a href=http://www.spaceweather.com/aurora/images/01mar02/Moussette2.jpg target=new>http://www.spaceweather.com/aurora/images/01mar02/Moussette2.jpg</a> . As of right now, there are 3 sunspot regions,
        namely 9839, 9842, and 9845, that appear to be capable
        of producing M-class flares. Regions 9839 and 9842
        are close to rotating out of view over the western
        limb of the solar disk. Sunspot region 9845, however,
        is close to the sun's central meridian. A rather
        large coronal hole is also approaching the sun's
        central meridian, and coming into an Earth-pointing
        position. High speed colar wind gusts are likely around the
        first of next week.<br><br>The current solar and
        geomagnetic conditions are :<br><br>NOAA sunspot number :
        153<br>SFI : 188<br>A index : 10<br>K index : 1<br><br>Solar
        wind speed : 372.3 km/sec<br>Solar wind density : 4.4
        protons/cc<br>Solar wind pressure : 1.1 nPa<br><br>IMF : 8.4
        nT<br>IMF Orientation : 0.7 nT North<br><br>Conditions for
        the last 24 hours : <br>Solar activity was low. The
        geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Stratwarm Alert
        exists Friday.<br><br>Forecast for the next 24 hours
        :<br>Solar activity will be low to moderate. The geomagnetic
        field will be quiet to unsettled.<br><br>Solar Activity
        Forecast :<br>Solar activity is expected to be low to
        moderate for the next three days. Region 9845 is a
        possible source for isolated M-class
        flares.<br><br>Geomagnetic activity forecast :<br>Geomagnetic field activity
        is expected to be mainly quiet to unsettled, until
        the onset of high speed stream effects from a
        recurrent coronal hole begin to develop by day three of the
        forecast period. Isolated active conditions are
        anticipated thereafter.<br><br>Recent significant solar flare
        activity :<br>None
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