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Solar Activity Report for 8/6/03

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  • David
    ** Aurora Watch in Effect ** You wouldn t necessarily know it to look at the solar wind speed, but the Earth entered a high speed coronal hole solar wind
    Message 1 of 1 , Aug 6 9:17 PM
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      ** Aurora Watch in Effect **

      You wouldn't necessarily know it to look at the solar wind speed, but
      the Earth entered a high speed coronal hole solar wind stream today.
      Actually, the solar wind speed has risen some from yesterday.
      However, the main indicator came when a G-3 (strong) geomagnetic storm
      was detected earlier today. There is often a spike in geomagnetic
      activity when the Earth crosses the boundary of a high speed solar
      wind stream. This time, the effect was intensified when the
      Interplanetary Magnetic Field took on a persistent south-pointing
      orientation at the time of the boundary crossing. The active
      geomagnetic conditions are expected to last for at least the next 48
      hours before settling down again. Actually, I wouldn't be at all
      surprised to see the elevated conditions last longer than that, as
      this coronal hole covers a pretty large piece of solar territory.
      Sunspot region 424 also got into the act by kicking off an M-class
      flare on Tuesday.

      The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are :

      NOAA sunspot number : 155
      SFI : 129
      A index : 45
      K index : 2

      Solar wind speed : 492.9 km/sec
      Solar wind density : 6.2 protons/cc
      Solar wind pressure : 2.4 nPa

      IMF : 7.9 nT
      IMF Orientation : 1.2 nT South

      Conditions for the last 24 hours :
      Space weather for the past 24 hours has been strong. Geomagnetic
      storms reaching the G3 level occurred.

      Forecast for the next 24 hours :
      No space weather storms are expected for the next 24 hours.

      Solar activity forecast :
      Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. Region 424 may
      produce C-class flares and isolated M-class flares.

      Geomagnetic activity forecast :
      Geomagnetic activity for the next two days is expected to be unsettled
      to active, with isolated minor storm conditions, due to the increased
      solar wind stream from an associated coronal hole in geoeffective
      position. On day three, geomagnetic activity is expected at quiet to
      unsettled conditions, as the coronal hole moves out of geoeffective
      position.

      Recent significant solar flare activity :
      05-Aug-2003 1249Z M1.7
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