Re: Solar Activity Report for 5/15/03
- I did get to see it.
What I am waiting on is what "gravity waves" may have come of it, and
perhaps to get a picture of cosmic ray flux on cloud behavior as a
--- In firstname.lastname@example.org, "David" <b1blancer1@e...>
> ** Aurora Watch In Effect **happening
> Before I get to the solar activity report, there's something
> tonight that you really should see if you have clear skies.There's a
> total lunar eclipse! Wander outside and give it a look.night
> Unfortunately, all I can see is rain and clouds!
> The solar wind speed is still well above the 600 km/sec mark, and
> aurora are a possibility tonight. Overall, however, activity is
> winding down, and is expected to continue to do so over the next few
> days. The Earth is exiting a high speed solar wind stream, and the
> solar wind speed is slowly declining. This is probably the last
> there will be a solid possibility of aurora unless somethinggusts
> unexpected happens. Now, there is a small coronal hole that's in an
> Earth-pointing position, and we might see some brief solar wind
> along or about the 19th, although I'm not really expecting much fromhave
> it. The sunspot number has increased a little, as has the backgroud
> X-ray flux. However, none of the sunspot regions visible look at
> any real potential for generating significant flares at this time.levels
> The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are :
> NOAA sunspot number : 97
> SFI : 99
> A index : 22
> K index : 3
> Solar wind speed : 625.0 km/sec
> Solar wind density : 3.5 protons/cc
> Solar wind pressure : 2.2 nPa
> IMF : 3.9 nT
> IMF Orientation : 2.1 nT North
> Conditions for the last 24 hours :
> No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.
> Forecast for the next 24 hours :
> No space weather storms are expected for the next 24 hours.
> Solar activity forecast :
> Solar activity is expected to be very low, with possible increase in
> activity over the next few days due to active regions emerging from
> the east limb. New region 362 may produce isolated flare activity.
> Geomagnetic activity forecast :
> The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to active
> for the next three days. Solar wind speeds should continue to reduce
> over the next few days, and may cause isolated minor storm levels on
> day one.
> Recent significant solar flare activity :
Very official looking info in appearance and source. A British
insurance industry expert claims that $ losses due to natural
disaster is rising 12% per an. while average world GDP growth weighs
in at a puny 3% per an. Since RATES of growth are dealt with, we are
dealing with those nasty exponential (interest rate growth) curves
12 to 3 in this racket is rough: "..value of damage
due to natural hazards could exceed the world's wealth by 2065".
Simply put, damage losses outstrip growth and by a big margin.
Even if all this is due to Mother Nature's natural cycles and has
nothing to do with CO2 level increases, it seems that prudence alone
should be sounding a wake up call to try to get a handle on the
problem. Of course, my view is that it is a double wammy of poor growth
planning respecting Gaia and defects in living earth feedbacks changing