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Solar Activity Report for 5/5/03

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  • David
    ** Aurora Watch In Effect ** In 48 short hours, the solar wind speed has shot up well above the 600 km/sec mark, and an aurora watch is in effect for the
    Message 1 of 2 , May 5, 2003
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      ** Aurora Watch In Effect **

      In 48 short hours, the solar wind speed has shot up well above the 600
      km/sec mark, and an aurora watch is in effect for the higher
      latitudes. If you live in the northern US, Canada, or northern Europe
      and happen to be out and about around your local midnight, take a
      moment to glance up at the sky. Here's a beautiful scene photographed
      in Alaska on 4/30 created by the combination of aurora and the setting
      sun.
      http://science.nasa.gov/spaceweather/aurora/images2003/30apr03/page1/Haug1.jpg
      . The elevated solar wind speeds are expected to persist for the next
      three days or so, with a chance of geomagnetic storm conditions each
      day. On the flare side of things, there isn't much to report. While
      the sunspot number is still up in the 140's, the background X-ray flux
      is low, indicating that none of the sunspots visible are very
      energetic. Look for the sunspot number to start dropping soon as we
      begin losing sunspot regions over the western limb of the solar disk.
      There is, however, at least an outside chance of an M-class flare
      from either sunspot region 348 or 349 before they depart.

      The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are :

      NOAA sunspot number : 144
      SFI : 129
      A index : 11
      K index : 3

      Solar wind speed : 642.0 km/sec
      Solar wind density : 5.2 protons/cc
      Solar wind pressure : 3.7 nPa

      IMF : 12.2 nT
      IMF Orientation : 3.3 nT North

      Conditions for the last 24 hours :
      No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours.

      Forecast for the next 24 hours :
      Space weather for the next 24 hours is expected to be minor.
      Geomagnetic storms reaching the G1 level are expected. Radio blackouts
      reaching the R1 level are expected.

      Solar activity forecast :
      Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. Region 348 and 349
      both have the potential to produce an M-class event.

      Geomagnatic activity forecast :
      The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to active
      conditions. Isolated minor storm conditions are also possible for the
      forecast period. These conditions are expected due to the onset of a
      recurrent coronal hole.

      Recent significant solar flare activity :
      None
    • mike
      A MILE WIDE tornado has just passed thru Springfield,MO. There s clearly a connection between these severe tornados and the fact that the earth is inside a
      Message 2 of 2 , May 7, 2003
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        A MILE WIDE tornado has just passed thru Springfield,MO.

        There's clearly a connection between these severe tornados and the fact
        that the earth is inside a solar wind stream flowing from a coronal hole
        in the sun--as your most recent report discusses, David.

        My interest is closer to the ground:

        http://www.lightingstorm.com

        What this link shows is a more frontal EMF event, which means strong
        rains but less likely to produce and outbreak, IMHO.

        The outbreak of a few days ago was accompanied by less of a solar event
        concurrent with the outbreak but there was some before that help the
        thing organize. The organization was from the north magnetic pole, where
        the isobars are closest, and a wave can then occur to a convective, or
        negative to ground area, which was wrapped around the north magnetic
        pole. This area was largely strike free. Then there was a zone of fair
        weather associated with the convective, and finally the area further
        south where the outbreak occurred and where there were point EMF
        concentrations (negative to ground areas in the ionosphere).

        This time of year provides excellent signal to noise amplification of
        these kinds of electrical events.

        A more frontal event like this is also somewhat timed to the spring in
        that you could get cold air organized to the north, only to be drawn
        south with the CME, solar activity and resulting strikes and cirrus
        behavior, infra red values changing in the cirrus in reaction to the EMF
        on them between ionosphere and cloud and ground.



        -----Original Message-----
        From: "David" <b1blancer1@...>
        To: methanehydrateclub@yahoogroups.com
        Date: Tue, 06 May 2003 03:34:02 -0000
        Subject: [Methane Hydrate Club] Solar Activity Report for 5/5/03

        > <html><body>
        >
        >
        > <tt>
        > ** Aurora Watch In Effect **<BR>
        > <BR>
        > In 48 short hours, the solar wind speed has shot up well above the
        > 600<BR>
        > km/sec mark, and an aurora watch is in effect for the higher<BR>
        > latitudes.  If you live in the northern US, Canada, or northern
        > Europe<BR>
        > and happen to be out and about around your local midnight, take a<BR>
        > moment to glance up at the sky.  Here's a beautiful scene
        > photographed<BR>
        > in Alaska on 4/30 created by the combination of aurora and the
        > setting<BR>
        > sun. <BR>
        > <a
        > href="http://science.nasa.gov/spaceweather/aurora/images2003/30apr03/pa
        > ge1/Haug1.jpg">http://science.nasa.gov/spaceweather/aurora/images2003/3
        > 0apr03/page1/Haug1.jpg</a><BR>
        > .  The elevated solar wind speeds are expected to persist for the
        > next<BR>
        > three days or so, with a chance of geomagnetic storm conditions
        > each<BR>
        > day.  On the flare side of things, there isn't much to
        > report.  While<BR>
        > the sunspot number is still up in the 140's, the background X-ray
        > flux<BR>
        > is low, indicating that none of the sunspots visible are very<BR>
        > energetic.  Look for the sunspot number to start dropping soon as
        > we<BR>
        > begin losing sunspot regions over the western limb of the solar
        > disk.<BR>
        > There is, however, at least an outside chance of an M-class flare<BR>
        > from either sunspot region 348 or 349 before they depart.<BR>
        > <BR>
        > The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are : <BR>
        > <BR>
        > NOAA sunspot number : 144<BR>
        > SFI : 129<BR>
        > A index : 11<BR>
        > K index : 3<BR>
        > <BR>
        > Solar wind speed : 642.0 km/sec<BR>
        > Solar wind density : 5.2 protons/cc<BR>
        > Solar wind pressure : 3.7 nPa<BR>
        > <BR>
        > IMF : 12.2 nT<BR>
        > IMF Orientation : 3.3 nT North<BR>
        > <BR>
        > Conditions for the last 24 hours : <BR>
        > No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours. <BR>
        > <BR>
        > Forecast for the next 24 hours : <BR>
        > Space weather for the next 24 hours is expected to be minor.<BR>
        > Geomagnetic storms reaching the G1 level are expected. Radio
        > blackouts<BR>
        > reaching the R1 level are expected.<BR>
        > <BR>
        > Solar activity forecast : <BR>
        > Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. Region 348 and
        > 349<BR>
        > both have the potential to produce an M-class event.<BR>
        > <BR>
        > Geomagnatic activity forecast : <BR>
        > The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to active<BR>
        > conditions. Isolated minor storm conditions are also possible for
        > the<BR>
        > forecast period. These conditions are expected due to the onset of
        > a<BR>
        > recurrent coronal hole.<BR>
        > <BR>
        > Recent significant solar flare activity : <BR>
        > None<BR>
        > <BR>
        > </tt>
        >
        > <br>
        >
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