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Re: Solar Activity Report for 2/4/03

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  • Mike Doran <mike@usinter.net>
    Fiona forms South of Java... http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi ... and ... An ... is ... storms
    Message 1 of 2 , Feb 5, 2003
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      Fiona forms South of Java...

      http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi



      --- In methanehydrateclub@yahoogroups.com, "David <b1blancer1@e...>"
      <b1blancer1@e...> wrote:
      > ** Aurora Watch in Effect **
      >
      > The CME arrival of two days ago has kept the solar wind speed
      > elevated, and this evening it's hovering around the 600 km/sec mark.
      > G-1 class (minor) geomagnetic storms have been happening on and off
      > for the last 24 hours. Some great aurora displays have been seen
      and
      > photographed in Alaska, as can been seen here :
      > http://science.nasa.gov/spaceweather/aurora/gallery_01feb03.htm .
      An
      > aurora watch remains in effect as a result of the high solar wind
      > speed, and there could be more activity on the way. A coronal hole
      is
      > in an Earth-pointing position. We should be seeing the high speed
      > solar wind gusts from it sometime on the 4th. There are three
      > numbered sunspot regions visible tonight. Region 276 poses a slim
      > threat for M-class flares.
      >
      > The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are :
      >
      > NOAA sunspot number : 77
      > SFI : 135
      > A index : 16
      > K index : 3
      >
      > Solar wind speed : 603.8 nT
      > Solar wind density : 1.7 nPa
      > Solar wind pressure : 1.0 nPa
      >
      > IMF : 6.4 nT
      > IMF Orientation : 0.4 nT South
      >
      > Conditions for the last 24 hours :
      > Space weather for the past 24 hours has been minor. Geomagnetic
      storms
      > reaching the G1 level occurred.
      >
      > Forecast forecast for the next 24 hours :
      > No space weather storms are expected for the next 24 hours.
      >
      > Solar activity forecast :
      > Solar activity is expected to be mostly low, but there is a slight
      > chance for an isolated M-class event from regions 276, 277, or 278
      > sometime during the next three days.
      >
      > Geomagnetic activity forecast :
      > The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly unsettled tomorrow,
      > with a chance for some isolated active periods later in the day. An
      > increase to active levels is expected for the second day due to
      > favorable position of coronal hole.
      >
      > Recent significant solar flare activity :
      > None
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